NBA Outlook: The Sacramento Kings are Projected to Finish Ahead of the Spurs and Behind the Trail Blazers in the West

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

They are one of 3 teams with 2000/1 odds to win the championship. They do not win the championship in any simulations. They are not a good value to win the West either at 1000/1, 0.1%. They are projected to win 37 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 38.5. Their playoff chances stand at 11% (0% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the West.

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NBA games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

After 64 games, their expected win percentage is 44% based on the money line odds. At 28-36 they are in line with these expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be up big (+635 units). They are one of the best teams against the spread (34-29-1) for a 210 profit. Their over-under record is 33-29 with 2 pushes. Their next game vs the Pelicans should be close. The Kings are winning 51 percent of computer simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H ATSH2H OU
3/11 NO51%1-41-45-0
3/15 BKN62%0-30-31-2
3/17 DAL47%4-24-1-14-1-1
3/19 HOU49%1-51-53-3
3/21 ORL45%2-12-11-2

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (WEAKNESS): This is a below average shooting team with a true FG% of 56.3% (#18 in League). Despite the weak shooting %, they still average more points per game (114.2) than expected (113.1). On the road they average 113.4 (111.6 expected), and at home 114.9 ppg (114.7 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): This is a below average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 57.9 true FG% (#23 in League). They allow 115.3 pts per game vs an expected value of 115.3. They are allowing 117.1 (116.2 expected) on the road, and at home 113.5 ppg (114.4 expected).

REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 1.1 per game (#17 in league). However, the team has recently outrebounded opponents by 5.

TURNOVERS (ABOVE AVERAGE): They have an Average turnover margin of 0.7 per game (#10 in league). Worst in their past 7 games with a turnover margin of -1.4.

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by De`Aaron Fox who is projected to be the #12 Guard the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
De`Aaron Fox10012Jrue HolidayDonovan Mitchell
Buddy Hield9943Marcus SmartJosh Richardson
Harrison Barnes8436Serge IbakaOtto Porter
Bogdan Bogdanovic7847Dejounte MurrayTomas Satoransky
Nemanja Bjelica7551Mikal BridgesCarmelo Anthony
Kent Bazemore2383Seth CurryTroy Brown
Richaun Holmes7829Jarrett AllenAron Baynes
Harry Giles3284Justise WinslowMaximilian Kleber
Alex Len1733Mohamed BambaKelly Olynyk
Cory Joseph2105Dennis Smith Jr.Langston Galloway