SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
There are 3 teams who have 2000/1 odds to win the championship. They have no chance to win the championship. They are not a good value to win the West either at 1000/1, 0.1%. They are projected to win 36 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 45.5. Their playoff chances stand at 4.7% (0% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the West.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NBA games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 30.1-32.9. At 27-36 they are short of expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down quite a bit (473 units). They are not good against the spread (25-37-1) for a -1570 loss. Their over-under record is 39-24. Based on computer simulations they only have a 47% chance to beat the Nuggets in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H ATS||H2H OU|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
SHOOTING (STRENGTH): This is an above average shooting team with a true FG% of 56.8% (#11 in League). They average 111.7 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 110.8. On the road they average 110.5 (109.6 expected), and at home 112.8 ppg (112 expected).
DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): This is a below average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 57.5 true FG% (#21 in League). They allow 110 pts per game vs an expected value of 109. They are allowing 114 (110.7 expected) on the road, and at home 106 ppg (107.4 expected).
REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 1.3 per game (#19 in league).
TURNOVERS (ABOVE AVERAGE): They have an Average turnover margin of 0.7 per game (#11 in league).
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by DeMar DeRozan who is projected to be the #8 Guard the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|DeMar DeRozan||100||8||Stephen Curry||Zach LaVine|
|LaMarcus Aldridge||100||14||Pascal Siakam||Kristaps Porzingis|
|Dejounte Murray||86||46||Shabazz Napier||Bogdan Bogdanovic|
|Derrick White||46||51||Goran Dragic||Kevin Huerter|
|Rudy Gay||23||69||James Johnson||Bobby Portis|
|Bryn Forbes||12||76||Malik Monk||Tyler Herro|
|Trey Lyles||24||72||Cedi Osman||P.J. Tucker|
|Patty Mills||9||93||Justin Holiday||Aaron Holiday|
|Lonnie Walker IV||5||102||Alex Caruso||Tony Snell|
|Keldon Johnson||2||129||Brad Wanamaker||Timothe Luwawu|