NBA Outlook: The San Antonio Spurs are Projected to Finish Ahead of the Suns and Behind the Kings in the West

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

There are 3 teams who have 2000/1 odds to win the championship. They have no chance to win the championship. They are not a good value to win the West either at 1000/1, 0.1%. They are projected to win 36 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 45.5. Their playoff chances stand at 4.7% (0% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the West.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 30.1-32.9. At 27-36 they are short of expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down quite a bit (473 units). They are not good against the spread (25-37-1) for a -1570 loss. Their over-under record is 39-24. Based on computer simulations they only have a 47% chance to beat the Nuggets in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H ATSH2H OU
3/13 DEN47%5-76-65-7
3/14 MIN71%3-33-35-1
3/16 MEM61%3-42-54-3
3/18 NO37%4-13-23-2
3/20 CHI60%1-21-21-1-1

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (STRENGTH): This is an above average shooting team with a true FG% of 56.8% (#11 in League). They average 111.7 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 110.8. On the road they average 110.5 (109.6 expected), and at home 112.8 ppg (112 expected).

DEFENSE (WEAKNESS): This is a below average defensive team allowing opponents to shoot 57.5 true FG% (#21 in League). They allow 110 pts per game vs an expected value of 109. They are allowing 114 (110.7 expected) on the road, and at home 106 ppg (107.4 expected).

REBOUNDING (WEAKNESS): They are outrebounded by opponents by 1.3 per game (#19 in league).

TURNOVERS (ABOVE AVERAGE): They have an Average turnover margin of 0.7 per game (#11 in league).

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by DeMar DeRozan who is projected to be the #8 Guard the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
DeMar DeRozan1008Stephen CurryZach LaVine
LaMarcus Aldridge10014Pascal SiakamKristaps Porzingis
Dejounte Murray8646Shabazz NapierBogdan Bogdanovic
Derrick White4651Goran DragicKevin Huerter
Rudy Gay2369James JohnsonBobby Portis
Bryn Forbes1276Malik MonkTyler Herro
Trey Lyles2472Cedi OsmanP.J. Tucker
Patty Mills993Justin HolidayAaron Holiday
Lonnie Walker IV5102Alex CarusoTony Snell
Keldon Johnson2129Brad WanamakerTimothe Luwawu