NBA Power Ranking: Clippers #2 But Raptors Rising Without Kawhi

1LOS ANGELES LAKERS 17-3 | 2020 Projection: 58 Wins
Win 72% of Neutral Court Simulations

They win the championship in 31.8% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 5/2, 28.6%. They are projected to win 58 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 48.5. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the West. After 20 games, their expected win percentage is 73% based on the money line odds. At 17-3 they ahead of expectations. They were expected to win 47% of their games last season so their 37-45 met expectations.

2LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS 15-6 | 2020 Projection: 53 Wins
Win 68% of Neutral Court Simulations

Their power ranking is better than their record would indicate. They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 13.2% chance is #2 in the league. Current Odds are 5/2, 28.6%. They are projected to win 53 games and live up to their pre-season futures line of 52.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 13.6-7.4. They are ahead of expectations with their 15-6 record. Their 48-34 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was just 52%.

3UTAH JAZZ 12-8 | 2020 Projection: 54 Wins
Win 67% of Neutral Court Simulations

Even with the juice, the Jazz are a good betting value. Their 11.6% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #3 in the league. Current Odds are 18/1, 5.3%. They are projected to win 54 games and live up to their pre-season futures line of 53.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 12.4-7.6. At 12-8 they are in line with these expectations. Oddsmakers expected them to win 53.7 based on their money line game odds. Their 50-32 record last season failed to meet expectations.

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4MILWAUKEE BUCKS 17-3 | 2020 Projection: 57 Wins
Win 64% of Neutral Court Simulations

Their 11.1% chance is #4 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 6/1, 14.3%. They are projected to win 57 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 57.5. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 15.3-4.7. At 17-3 they are in line with these expectations. Their 60-22 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 56.8-25.2.

5TORONTO RAPTORS 15-4 | 2020 Projection: 57 Wins
Win 63% of Neutral Court Simulations

They win the championship in 8.3% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 60/1, 1.6%. They are projected to win 57 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 46. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 10.5-8.5. At 15-4 they are well ahead of expectations. Their 58-24 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was 67%.

6BOSTON CELTICS 14-5 | 2020 Projection: 53 Wins
Win 62% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are a good bet to win the championship (6.2 percent chance). Current Odds are 16/1, 5.9%. They are projected to win 53 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 49.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 11.1-7.9. At 14-5 they ahead of expectations. Their 49-33 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their game-by-game odds projected record was 52.1-29.9.

7HOUSTON ROCKETS 13-6 | 2020 Projection: 50 Wins
Win 61% of Neutral Court Simulations

Their 3.7% chance is #7 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 8/1, 11.1%. They are projected to win 50 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 54.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 12.7-6.3. At 13-6 they are in line with these expectations. They were expected to win 64% of their games last season so their 53-29 met expectations.

8DENVER NUGGETS 13-4 | 2020 Projection: 51 Wins
Win 61% of Neutral Court Simulations

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 3.4% chance is #8 in the league. Current Odds are 16/1, 5.9%. They are projected to win 51 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 53.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 11.5-5.5. At 13-4 they ahead of expectations. Based on last season's game odds they 'should have had' 50.6 wins. Their 54-28 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them.

9MIAMI HEAT 14-5 | 2020 Projection: 53 Wins
Win 58% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are a good bet to win the championship (3.4 percent chance). Current Odds are 80/1, 1.2%. They are projected to win 53 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 44.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 10.6-8.4. They are ahead of expectations with their 14-5 record. They were expected to win 49% of their games last season so their 39-43 met expectations.

10PHILADELPHIA 76ERS 14-6 | 2020 Projection: 50 Wins
Win 59% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 2.5% chance is #10 in the league. Current Odds are 8/1, 11.1%. They are projected to win 50 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 55. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 13-7. At 14-6 they are in line with these expectations. They were expected to win 60% of their games last season so their 51-31 met expectations.

11INDIANA PACERS 12-7 | 2020 Projection: 48 Wins
Win 58% of Neutral Court Simulations

Even with the juice, the Pacers are a good betting value. Their 2.4% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #11 in the league. Current Odds are 100/1, 1%. They are projected to win 48 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 46.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the East. After 19 games, their expected win percentage is 55% based on the money line odds. At 12-7 they are in line with these expectations. Their 48-34 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 45.5-36.5.

12DALLAS MAVERICKS 13-6 | 2020 Projection: 49 Wins
Win 57% of Neutral Court Simulations

If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Mavericks would be a good betting value. Their 1.1% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #12 in the league. Current Odds are 80/1, 1.2%. They are projected to win 49 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 42.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the West. After 19 games, their expected win percentage is 60% based on the money line odds. At 13-6 they ahead of expectations. They were expected to win 43% of their games last season so their 33-49 met expectations.

13PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS 8-12 | 2020 Projection: 44 Wins
Win 58% of Neutral Court Simulations

They win the championship in 0.8% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 300/1, 0.3%. They are projected to win 44 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 45.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the West. After 20 games, their expected win percentage is 51% based on the money line odds. They are coming up short of expectations at 8-12. Their 53-29 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 46.9-35.1. They are better in our neutral power ranking. Their sim win percentage vs every other team on a neutral court has them as the #11 team in the league.

14BROOKLYN NETS 10-10 | 2020 Projection: 42 Wins
Win 51% of Neutral Court Simulations

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.2% chance is #14 in the league. Current Odds are 200/1, 0.5%. They are projected to win 42 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 42.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 9.7-10.3. At 10-10 they are in line with these expectations. Their 42-40 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was just 44%.

15ORLANDO MAGIC 8-11 | 2020 Projection: 39 Wins
Win 50% of Neutral Court Simulations

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.1% chance is #15 in the league. Current Odds are 300/1, 0.3%. They are projected to win 39 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 42.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the East. After 19 games, their expected win percentage is 52% based on the money line odds. They are coming up short of expectations at 8-11. Their 42-40 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 36.8-45.2.

16DETROIT PISTONS 7-13 | 2020 Projection: 37 Wins
Win 50% of Neutral Court Simulations

They do not have any real chance to win the championship. Current Odds are 1000/1, 0.1%. They are projected to win 37 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 37.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the East. After 20 games, their expected win percentage is 46% based on the money line odds. At 7-13 they are short of expectations. They were expected to win 50% of their games last season so their 41-41 met expectations.

17SACRAMENTO KINGS 8-10 | 2020 Projection: 39 Wins
Win 46% of Neutral Court Simulations

They win the championship in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 500/1, 0.2%. They are projected to win 39 games and live up to their pre-season futures line of 38.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 7.4-10.6. At 8-10 they are in line with these expectations. Their 39-43 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was 43%.

18CHARLOTTE HORNETS 8-13 | 2020 Projection: 34 Wins
Win 42% of Neutral Court Simulations

Their championship based ranking is much better than their #22 ranking based on our neutral court simulations. They are projected to win 34 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 23. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the East. Their playoff chances stand at 13.1% (0% to win the division). After 21 games, their expected win percentage is 33% based on the money line odds. They are ahead of expectations with their 8-13 record. They were expected to win 49% of their games last season so their 39-43 met expectations.

19MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES 10-9 | 2020 Projection: 37 Wins
Win 44% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 36 games and live up to their pre-season futures line of 35.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the West. Their playoff chances stand at 23.5% (0% to win the division). Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 9.9-9.1. At 10-9 they are in line with these expectations. They were expected to win 46% of their games last season so their 36-46 met expectations.

20PHOENIX SUNS 8-10 | 2020 Projection: 33 Wins
Win 42% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 33 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 29.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the West. Their playoff chances stand at 6.6% (0% to win the division). After 18 games, their expected win percentage is 45% based on the money line odds. At 8-10 they are short of expectations. Their 19-63 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their game-by-game odds projected record was 22.4-59.6.

21OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER 8-11 | 2020 Projection: 37 Wins
Win 36% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are much worse in our neutral power ranking where they are ranked just #25 in the league. They are projected to win 37 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 32. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the West. Their playoff chances stand at 24.6% (0% to win the division). After 19 games, their expected win percentage is 45% based on the money line odds. At 8-11 they are short of expectations. They were expected to win 62% of their games last season so their 49-33 met expectations.

22WASHINGTON WIZARDS 6-12 | 2020 Projection: 33 Wins
Win 34% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 33 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 26.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the East. Their playoff chances stand at 9.4% (0% to win the division). Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 6.5-11.5. They are coming up short of expectations at 6-12. Their 32-50 record last season was very disappointing. Their game-by-game odds projected record was 38.3-43.7.

23MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES 6-13 | 2020 Projection: 33 Wins
Win 42% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 33 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 27.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the West. Their playoff chances stand at 6.8% (0% to win the division). Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 6.1-12.9. At 6-13 they are in line with these expectations. They were expected to win 41% of their games last season so their 33-49 met expectations.

24NEW ORLEANS PELICANS 6-14 | 2020 Projection: 30 Wins
Win 42% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 30 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 39. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the West. Their playoff chances stand at 1.2% (0% to win the division). After 20 games, their expected win percentage is 39% based on the money line odds. At 6-14 they are short of expectations. Their 33-49 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their expected win percentage was 46%. They are much better in our neutral power ranking. Their sim win percentage vs every other team on a neutral court has them as the #21 team in the league.

25SAN ANTONIO SPURS 7-14 | 2020 Projection: 30 Wins
Win 38% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 30 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 45.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the West. Their playoff chances are under 1%. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 11.5-9.5. At 7-14 they are coming up well short of expectations. Their 48-34 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was 55%.

26CHICAGO BULLS 6-14 | 2020 Projection: 28 Wins
Win 36% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 28 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 34. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the East. Their playoff chances are under 1%. After 20 games, their expected win percentage is 46% based on the money line odds. They are coming up well short of expectations with their 6-14 record. Their 22-60 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their game-by-game odds projected record was 25-57.

27GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS 4-17 | 2020 Projection: 28 Wins
Win 42% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 28 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 47.5. In simulations they finish last in the West based on projected wins. Their playoff chances are under 1%. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 6-15. They are coming up short of expectations at 4-17. Oddsmakers expected them to win 60.9 based on their money line game odds. Their 57-25 record last season failed to meet expectations. If healthy on a neutral court they have a much better power ranking (#20 in the league).

28ATLANTA HAWKS 4-16 | 2020 Projection: 26 Wins
Win 36% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 26 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 34. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the East. Their playoff chances are under 1%. After 20 games, their expected win percentage is 27% based on the money line odds. At 4-16 they are short of expectations. Based on last season's game odds they 'should have had' 25.6 wins. Their 29-53 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them.

29CLEVELAND CAVALIERS 5-14 | 2020 Projection: 25 Wins
Win 30% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 25 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 24. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the East. Their playoff chances are under 1%. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 5.9-13.1. At 5-14 they are in line with these expectations. They were expected to win 25% of their games last season so their 19-63 met expectations.

30NEW YORK KNICKS 4-16 | 2020 Projection: 23 Wins
Win 31% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 23 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 27.5. In simulations they finish last in the East based on projected wins. Their playoff chances are under 1%. After 20 games, their expected win percentage is 34% based on the money line odds. At 4-16 they are short of expectations. Oddsmakers had low expectations for them last season (expected win percentage = 27%) and they failed to live up to even these low expectations going 17-65.