NBA Power Ranking: Houston Rockets Are #7, Behind the Nuggets and Ahead of Mavericks In Computer Projection

1LOS ANGELES LAKERS 21-3 | 2020 Projection: 61 Wins
Win 72% of Neutral Court Simulations

If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Lakers would be a good betting value. Their 27.9% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #1 in the league. Current Odds are 5/2, 28.6%. They are projected to win 61 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 48.5. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 16.9-7.1. They are beating expectations with their 21-3 record. They were expected to win 47% of their games last season so their 37-45 met expectations.

2MILWAUKEE BUCKS 21-3 | 2020 Projection: 62 Wins
Win 70% of Neutral Court Simulations

Even with the juice, the Bucks are a good betting value. Their 26.7% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #2 in the league. Current Odds are 4/1, 20%. They are projected to win 62 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 57.5. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the East. After 24 games, their expected win percentage is 77% based on the money line odds. At 21-3 they ahead of expectations. Their 60-22 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 56.8-25.2.

3LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS 18-7 | 2020 Projection: 55 Wins
Win 70% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 17.9% chance is #3 in the league. Current Odds are 5/2, 28.6%. They are projected to win 55 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 52.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the West. After 25 games, their expected win percentage is 64% based on the money line odds. They are ahead of expectations with their 18-7 record. Their 48-34 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 42.4-39.6.

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4PHILADELPHIA 76ERS 18-7 | 2020 Projection: 53 Wins
Win 63% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 5.6% chance is #4 in the league. Current Odds are 8/1, 11.1%. They are projected to win 53 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 55. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 16.5-8.5. At 18-7 they are in line with these expectations. They were expected to win 60% of their games last season so their 51-31 met expectations.

5BOSTON CELTICS 17-5 | 2020 Projection: 53 Wins
Win 62% of Neutral Court Simulations

If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Celtics would be a good betting value. Their 5% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #5 in the league. Current Odds are 16/1, 5.9%. They are projected to win 53 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 49.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the East. After 22 games, their expected win percentage is 60% based on the money line odds. They are beating expectations with their 17-5 record. Oddsmakers expected them to win 52.1 based on their money line game odds. Their 49-33 record last season failed to meet expectations.

6DENVER NUGGETS 14-8 | 2020 Projection: 51 Wins
Win 63% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are better in our neutral power ranking. Their sim win percentage vs every other team on a neutral court has them as the #4 team in the league. If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Nuggets would be a good betting value. Their 4.6% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #6 in the league. Current Odds are 20/1, 4.8%. They are projected to win 51 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 53.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 14.2-7.8. At 14-8 they are in line with these expectations. Based on last season's game odds they 'should have had' 50.6 wins. Their 54-28 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them.

7HOUSTON ROCKETS 15-8 | 2020 Projection: 48 Wins
Win 60% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 2% chance is #7 in the league. Current Odds are 10/1, 9.1%. They are projected to win 48 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 54.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 15.6-7.4. At 15-8 they are in line with these expectations. They were expected to win 64% of their games last season so their 53-29 met expectations. Their championship based ranking is better than their #9 ranking based on our neutral court simulations.

8DALLAS MAVERICKS 16-7 | 2020 Projection: 50 Wins
Win 60% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 2% chance is #8 in the league. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. They are projected to win 50 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 42.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the West. After 23 games, their expected win percentage is 62% based on the money line odds. At 16-7 they ahead of expectations. They were expected to win 43% of their games last season so their 33-49 met expectations.

9UTAH JAZZ 13-11 | 2020 Projection: 49 Wins
Win 61% of Neutral Court Simulations

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 2% chance is #9 in the league. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. They are projected to win 49 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 53.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 14.9-9.1. At 13-11 they are short of expectations. Their 50-32 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their game-by-game odds projected record was 53.7-28.3. If healthy on a neutral court they have a better power ranking (#7 in the league).

10TORONTO RAPTORS 16-7 | 2020 Projection: 51 Wins
Win 58% of Neutral Court Simulations

Even with the juice, the Raptors are a good betting value. Their 2% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #10 in the league. Current Odds are 60/1, 1.6%. They are projected to win 51 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 46. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 12.8-10.2. They are ahead of expectations with their 16-7 record. Based on last season's game odds they 'should have had' 55.2 wins. Their 58-24 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their power ranking is worse than their record would indicate. They are worse in our neutral power ranking where they are ranked just #12 in the league.

11INDIANA PACERS 15-9 | 2020 Projection: 49 Wins
Win 58% of Neutral Court Simulations

They win the championship in 1.8% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 100/1, 1%. They are projected to win 49 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 46.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 13.5-10.5. At 15-9 they are in line with these expectations. Their 48-34 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was 55%.

12MIAMI HEAT 18-6 | 2020 Projection: 51 Wins
Win 55% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are a good bet to win the championship (1.2 percent chance). Current Odds are 80/1, 1.2%. They are projected to win 51 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 44.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 13.5-10.5. At 18-6 they are well ahead of expectations. They were expected to win 49% of their games last season so their 39-43 met expectations. Their power ranking is worse than their record would indicate.

13PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS 10-15 | 2020 Projection: 42 Wins
Win 58% of Neutral Court Simulations

Even with the juice, the Trail Blazers are a good betting value. Their 0.7% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #13 in the league. Current Odds are 300/1, 0.3%. They are projected to win 42 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 45.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 12.8-12.2. At 10-15 they are short of expectations. They overachieved last season. Their game odds projected to 46.9 wins. Their 53-29 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. If healthy on a neutral court they have a better power ranking (#11 in the league).

14BROOKLYN NETS 13-10 | 2020 Projection: 44 Wins
Win 52% of Neutral Court Simulations

Their 0.3% chance is #14 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 200/1, 0.5%. They are projected to win 44 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 42.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the East. After 23 games, their expected win percentage is 49% based on the money line odds. At 13-10 they ahead of expectations. Their 42-40 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 36.4-45.6.

15DETROIT PISTONS 10-14 | 2020 Projection: 40 Wins
Win 52% of Neutral Court Simulations

They win the championship in 0.1% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 2000/1. They are projected to win 40 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 37.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the East. After 24 games, their expected win percentage is 46% based on the money line odds. They are coming up short of expectations at 10-14. They were expected to win 50% of their games last season so their 41-41 met expectations.

16ORLANDO MAGIC 11-12 | 2020 Projection: 42 Wins
Win 52% of Neutral Court Simulations

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.1% chance is #16 in the league. Current Odds are 500/1, 0.2%. They are projected to win 42 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 42.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the East. After 23 games, their expected win percentage is 51% based on the money line odds. At 11-12 they are in line with these expectations. Their 42-40 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was just 45%.

17PHOENIX SUNS 11-12 | 2020 Projection: 38 Wins
Win 48% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 38 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 29.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the West. Their playoff chances stand at 30.6% (0% to win the division). Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 10.4-12.6. At 11-12 they are in line with these expectations. Their 19-63 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their expected win percentage was 27%.

18OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER 11-12 | 2020 Projection: 40 Wins
Win 44% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 40 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 32. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the West. Their playoff chances stand at 51% (0.4% to win the division). After 23 games, their expected win percentage is 45% based on the money line odds. They are ahead of expectations with their 11-12 record. They were expected to win 62% of their games last season so their 49-33 met expectations.

19SACRAMENTO KINGS 10-13 | 2020 Projection: 38 Wins
Win 44% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 38 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 38.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the West. Their playoff chances stand at 33.1% (0% to win the division). Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 9.2-13.8. At 10-13 they are in line with these expectations. Based on last season's game odds they 'should have had' 35.6 wins. Their 39-43 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them.

20CHARLOTTE HORNETS 10-16 | 2020 Projection: 35 Wins
Win 44% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 35 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 23. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the East. Their playoff chances stand at 7% (0.2% to win the division). Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 9.2-16.8. At 10-16 they are in line with these expectations. They were expected to win 49% of their games last season so their 39-43 met expectations.

21MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES 10-13 | 2020 Projection: 33 Wins
Win 40% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 33 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 35.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the West. Their playoff chances stand at 3.4% (0% to win the division). After 23 games, their expected win percentage is 49% based on the money line odds. At 10-13 they are short of expectations. They were expected to win 46% of their games last season so their 36-46 met expectations. They are much worse in our neutral power ranking where they are ranked just #24 in the league.

22MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES 7-16 | 2020 Projection: 32 Wins
Win 43% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 32 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 27.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the West. Their playoff chances stand at 1.8% (0% to win the division). After 23 games, their expected win percentage is 31% based on the money line odds. At 7-16 they are in line with these expectations. They were expected to win 41% of their games last season so their 33-49 met expectations.

23SAN ANTONIO SPURS 9-14 | 2020 Projection: 32 Wins
Win 40% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are worse in our neutral power ranking where they are ranked just #25 in the league. They are projected to win 32 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 45.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the West. Their playoff chances stand at 1.7% (0% to win the division). Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 12.4-10.6. At 9-14 they are short of expectations. Their 48-34 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 45.5-36.5.

24CHICAGO BULLS 8-17 | 2020 Projection: 31 Wins
Win 41% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 31 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 34. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the East. Their playoff chances are under 1%. After 25 games, their expected win percentage is 46% based on the money line odds. At 8-17 they are coming up well short of expectations. Their 22-60 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their expected win percentage was 30%.

25WASHINGTON WIZARDS 7-16 | 2020 Projection: 29 Wins
Win 28% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 29 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 26.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the East. Their playoff chances are under 1%. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 8.2-14.8. At 7-16 they are short of expectations. Their 32-50 record last season was very disappointing. Their game-by-game odds projected record was 38.3-43.7.

26NEW ORLEANS PELICANS 6-18 | 2020 Projection: 28 Wins
Win 39% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 28 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 39. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the West. Their playoff chances are under 1%. After 24 games, their expected win percentage is 40% based on the money line odds. At 6-18 they are coming up well short of expectations. Oddsmakers expected them to win 37.4 based on their money line game odds. Their 33-49 record last season failed to meet expectations.

27GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS 5-20 | 2020 Projection: 27 Wins
Win 42% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 27 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 47.5. In simulations they finish last in the West based on projected wins. Their playoff chances are under 1%. After 25 games, their expected win percentage is 31% based on the money line odds. At 5-20 they are short of expectations. Their 57-25 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their game-by-game odds projected record was 60.9-21.1. If healthy on a neutral court they have a much better power ranking (#22 in the league).

28ATLANTA HAWKS 6-18 | 2020 Projection: 25 Wins
Win 32% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 25 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 34. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the East. Their playoff chances are under 1%. After 24 games, their expected win percentage is 30% based on the money line odds. At 6-18 they are short of expectations. Their 29-53 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was 31%.

29CLEVELAND CAVALIERS 5-18 | 2020 Projection: 21 Wins
Win 26% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 21 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 24. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the East. Their playoff chances are under 1%. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 6.9-16.1. They are coming up short of expectations at 5-18. They were expected to win 25% of their games last season so their 19-63 met expectations.

30NEW YORK KNICKS 4-20 | 2020 Projection: 18 Wins
Win 23% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 18 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 27.5. In simulations they finish last in the East based on projected wins. Their playoff chances are under 1%. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 7.6-16.4. At 4-20 they are short of expectations. Oddsmakers had low expectations for them last season (expected win percentage = 27%) and they failed to live up to even these low expectations going 17-65.