NBA Power Ranking: Miami Heat Are #12, Behind the Pacers and Ahead of Magic In Computer Projection

1MILWAUKEE BUCKS 37-6 | 2020 Projection: 64 Wins
Win 69% of Neutral Court Simulations

Even with the juice, the Bucks are a good betting value. Their 30.4% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #1 in the league. Current Odds are 13/4, 23.5%. They are projected to win 64 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 57.5. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the East. After 43 games, their expected win percentage is 78% based on the money line odds. They are ahead of expectations with their 37-6 record.

2LOS ANGELES LAKERS 33-8 | 2020 Projection: 62 Wins
Win 70% of Neutral Court Simulations

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 24% chance is #2 in the league. Current Odds are 5/2, 28.6%. They are projected to win 62 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 48.5. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 28.4-12.6. They are ahead of expectations with their 33-8 record.

3LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS 29-13 | 2020 Projection: 54 Wins
Win 67% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 12.4% chance is #3 in the league. Current Odds are 5/2, 28.6%. They are projected to win 54 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 52.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 28.2-13.8. At 29-13 they are in line with these expectations.

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4DENVER NUGGETS 29-12 | 2020 Projection: 54 Wins
Win 63% of Neutral Court Simulations

Even with the juice, the Nuggets are a good betting value. Their 6.8% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #4 in the league. Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. They are projected to win 54 games and live up to their pre-season futures line of 53.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 27.1-13.9. At 29-12 they are in line with these expectations.

5DALLAS MAVERICKS 27-15 | 2020 Projection: 52 Wins
Win 62% of Neutral Court Simulations

They win the championship in 4.1% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 30/1, 3.2%. They are projected to win 52 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 42.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the West. After 42 games, their expected win percentage is 61% based on the money line odds. At 27-15 they are in line with these expectations.

6PHILADELPHIA 76ERS 27-16 | 2020 Projection: 50 Wins
Win 60% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 4% chance is #6 in the league. Current Odds are 18/1, 5.3%. They are projected to win 50 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 55. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the East. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 27.2-15.8. At 27-16 they are in line with these expectations.

7BOSTON CELTICS 27-13 | 2020 Projection: 52 Wins
Win 59% of Neutral Court Simulations

Their championship based ranking is better than their #9 ranking based on our neutral court simulations. They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 3.8% chance is #7 in the league. Current Odds are 16/1, 5.9%. They are projected to win 52 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 49.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the East. After 40 games, their expected win percentage is 63% based on the money line odds. At 27-13 they ahead of expectations.

8UTAH JAZZ 28-13 | 2020 Projection: 53 Wins
Win 62% of Neutral Court Simulations

If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Jazz would be a good betting value. Their 3.8% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #8 in the league. Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. They are projected to win 53 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 53.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 26-15. At 28-13 they ahead of expectations. If healthy on a neutral court they have a much better power ranking (#5 in the league).

9TORONTO RAPTORS 27-14 | 2020 Projection: 51 Wins
Win 59% of Neutral Court Simulations

They win the championship in 3.2% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 60/1, 1.6%. They are projected to win 51 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 46. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the East. After 41 games, their expected win percentage is 56% based on the money line odds. At 27-14 they ahead of expectations.

10HOUSTON ROCKETS 26-14 | 2020 Projection: 50 Wins
Win 60% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are better in our neutral power ranking. Their sim win percentage vs every other team on a neutral court has them as the #8 team in the league. Their 2.7% chance is #10 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 12/1, 7.7%. They are projected to win 50 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 54.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 27.4-12.6. They are coming up short of expectations at 26-14.

11INDIANA PACERS 27-15 | 2020 Projection: 49 Wins
Win 55% of Neutral Court Simulations

They win the championship in 1.7% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 100/1, 1%. They are projected to win 49 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 46.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the East. After 42 games, their expected win percentage is 57% based on the money line odds. At 27-15 they are in line with these expectations.

12MIAMI HEAT 29-12 | 2020 Projection: 52 Wins
Win 52% of Neutral Court Simulations

Their power ranking is much worse than their record would indicate. Their 1.5% chance is #12 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. They are projected to win 52 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 44.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the East. After 41 games, their expected win percentage is 57% based on the money line odds. At 29-12 they ahead of expectations.

13ORLANDO MAGIC 20-22 | 2020 Projection: 41 Wins
Win 52% of Neutral Court Simulations

They win the championship in 0.6% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 1000/1, 0.1%. They are projected to win 41 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 42.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the East. After 42 games, their expected win percentage is 47% based on the money line odds. At 20-22 they are in line with these expectations.

14MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES 20-22 | 2020 Projection: 41 Wins
Win 55% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are a good bet to win the championship (0.4 percent chance). Current Odds are 1000/1, 0.1%. They are projected to win 41 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 27.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 15.2-26.8. They are ahead of expectations with their 20-22 record. If healthy on a neutral court they have a better power ranking (#12 in the league).

15BROOKLYN NETS 18-22 | 2020 Projection: 40 Wins
Win 51% of Neutral Court Simulations

If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Nets would be a good betting value. Their 0.3% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #15 in the league. Current Odds are 300/1, 0.3%. They are projected to win 40 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 42.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the East. After 40 games, their expected win percentage is 49% based on the money line odds. They are coming up short of expectations at 18-22.

16OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER 23-19 | 2020 Projection: 43 Wins
Win 50% of Neutral Court Simulations

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.2% chance is #16 in the league. Current Odds are 300/1, 0.3%. They are projected to win 43 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 32. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the West. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 20.1-21.9. At 23-19 they are in line with these expectations.

17SAN ANTONIO SPURS 17-23 | 2020 Projection: 37 Wins
Win 49% of Neutral Court Simulations

They win the championship in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 1000/1, 0.1%. They are projected to win 37 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 45.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the West. After 40 games, their expected win percentage is 51% based on the money line odds. At 17-23 they are short of expectations.

18DETROIT PISTONS 15-27 | 2020 Projection: 33 Wins
Win 41% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are much worse in our neutral power ranking where they are ranked just #25 in the league. They do not have any real chance to win the championship. Current Odds are 2000/1. They are projected to win 32 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 37.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the East. After 42 games, their expected win percentage is 44% based on the money line odds. At 15-27 they are in line with these expectations.

19PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS 18-25 | 2020 Projection: 37 Wins
Win 47% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 37 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 45.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the West. Their playoff chances stand at 15.7% (0% to win the division). After 43 games, their expected win percentage is 51% based on the money line odds. They are coming up short of expectations at 18-25.

20CHARLOTTE HORNETS 15-29 | 2020 Projection: 32 Wins
Win 41% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are much worse in our neutral power ranking where they are ranked just #23 in the league. They are projected to win 32 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 23. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the East. Their playoff chances stand at 4% (0% to win the division). Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 14.3-29.7. At 15-29 they are in line with these expectations.

21NEW ORLEANS PELICANS 16-26 | 2020 Projection: 33 Wins
Win 46% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 33 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 39. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the West. Their playoff chances stand at 2.3% (0% to win the division). After 42 games, their expected win percentage is 40% based on the money line odds. At 16-26 they are in line with these expectations.

22CHICAGO BULLS 15-28 | 2020 Projection: 31 Wins
Win 41% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 31 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 34. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the East. Their playoff chances stand at 2.5% (0% to win the division). After 43 games, their expected win percentage is 46% based on the money line odds. They are coming up well short of expectations with their 15-28 record. They are worse in our neutral power ranking where they are ranked just #24 in the league.

23PHOENIX SUNS 17-24 | 2020 Projection: 34 Wins
Win 44% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 34 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 29.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the West. Their playoff chances stand at 2.2% (0% to win the division). After 41 games, their expected win percentage is 47% based on the money line odds. At 17-24 they are short of expectations.

24MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES 15-26 | 2020 Projection: 34 Wins
Win 47% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are much better in our neutral power ranking. Their sim win percentage vs every other team on a neutral court has them as the #18 team in the league. They are projected to win 34 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 35.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the West. Their playoff chances stand at 2.1% (0% to win the division). After 41 games, their expected win percentage is 45% based on the money line odds. At 15-26 they are in line with these expectations.

25SACRAMENTO KINGS 15-26 | 2020 Projection: 33 Wins
Win 45% of Neutral Court Simulations

If healthy on a neutral court they have a much better power ranking (#21 in the league). They are projected to win 33 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 38.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the West. Their playoff chances stand at 1.8% (0% to win the division). Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 18.2-22.8. At 15-26 they are in line with these expectations.

26WASHINGTON WIZARDS 13-28 | 2020 Projection: 27 Wins
Win 28% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 26 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 26.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the East. Their playoff chances are under 1%. After 41 games, their expected win percentage is 34% based on the money line odds. At 13-28 they are in line with these expectations.

27CLEVELAND CAVALIERS 12-30 | 2020 Projection: 26 Wins
Win 31% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 26 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 24. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the East. Their playoff chances are under 1%. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 11.9-30.1. At 12-30 they are in line with these expectations.

28ATLANTA HAWKS 10-32 | 2020 Projection: 23 Wins
Win 29% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 23 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 34. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the East. Their playoff chances are under 1%. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 12.6-29.4. At 10-32 they are short of expectations.

29NEW YORK KNICKS 11-31 | 2020 Projection: 23 Wins
Win 28% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 23 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 27.5. In simulations they finish last in the East based on projected wins. Their playoff chances are under 1%. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 12.9-29.1. At 11-31 they are in line with these expectations.

30GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS 9-34 | 2020 Projection: 22 Wins
Win 36% of Neutral Court Simulations

They are projected to win 22 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 47.5. In simulations they finish last in the West based on projected wins. Their playoff chances are under 1%. After 43 games, their expected win percentage is 30% based on the money line odds. They are coming up short of expectations at 9-34.