NBA Power Ranking: Toronto Raptors Are Holding At #2

1GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (10-1, 90.9%): Winning 78 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 68-14 (Projected to win just 81.7% 58-13 rest of the season)

Their current odds of winning the West are 1/4 and in simulations they win the conference 79.7% of the time. The odds of them winning the NBA Championship are 2/5 and they win it all in 69.3 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances are up significantly since 10/21 where they were at 38.4%.

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2TORONTO RAPTORS (11-1, 91.7%): Winning 68 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 61-21 (Projected to win just 71.4% 50-20 rest of the season)

Computer simulations give them a 34.1% chance of winning the East with Vegas odds at 6/5. The odds of them winning the NBA Championship are 6/1 and they win it all in 10.7 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances are down from 24.2% on October 26.

3BOSTON CELTICS (6-4): Winning 64 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 54-28

They have a 26.1 percent chance of reaching the Finals (Odds stand at 6/5). They have a 5.8% chance of winning the championship with Vegas odds at 6/1. Their chances have dropped since 10/19 when they were at 17.5 percent.

4LOS ANGELES LAKERS (5-6, 45.5%): Winning 62 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 47-35 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 59.2% 42-29 record)

Their current odds of winning the West are 20/1 and in simulations they win the conference 5.9% of the time. The odds of them winning the NBA Championship are 40/1 and they win it all in 2.6 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances are down from 7.5% on October 19. While the odds are still in their favor, there is a 8 percent chance that they slide out of the playoffs. They are better than their projected win-loss record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #10.

Sportsline uses these situations where a team's power ranking is not in line with what oddsmakers and the public think to find great values against the spread.

5MILWAUKEE BUCKS (8-2): Winning 61 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 53-29

Their current odds of winning the East are 6/1 and in simulations they win the conference 15.3% of the time. They have a 3.2% chance of winning the championship with Vegas odds at 25/1. Their chances are up significantly since 10/12 where they were at 0.2%. Their power ranking is up 10 spots since 10/20.

6PHILADELPHIA 76ERS (7-5, 58.3%): Winning 59 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 49-33 (42-28 rest of season)

Their current odds of winning the East are 7/1 and in simulations they win the conference 9.4% of the time. The odds of them winning the NBA Championship are 30/1 and they win it all in 1.4 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances are down from 7% on October 12.

7PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS (8-3, 72.7%): Winning 58 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 50-32 (Projected to win just 59.2% 42-29 rest of the season)

Their current odds of winning the West are 50/1 and in simulations they win the conference 4% of the time. They have a 1.6 percent chance of winning the championship (Odds 100/1). They had basically no chance of winning the championship back on 10/17. Their power ranking is up 7 spots since 10/25.

8OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER (6-4): Winning 58 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 49-33

Computer simulations give them a 2.9% chance of winning the West with Vegas odds at 20/1. They have a 1.2 percent chance of winning the championship (Odds 40/1). Their chances have held steady over the past month. Their power ranking is up 6 spots since 11/1.

9INDIANA PACERS (7-5, 58.3%): Winning 58 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 49-33 (42-28 rest of season)

Their current odds of winning the East are 40/1 and in simulations they win the conference 8% of the time. They have a 1.4 percent chance of winning the championship (Odds 100/1). Their chances have dropped since 10/24 when they were at 3.3 percent.

10DENVER NUGGETS (9-2, 81.8%): Winning 56 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 48-34 (Projected to win just 54.9% 39-32 rest of the season)

Computer simulations give them a 2.6% chance of winning the West with Vegas odds at 25/1. They have a 0.7 percent chance of winning the championship (Odds 50/1). The simulation based percentages have held steady over the past 30 days. Their power ranking is up 5 spots since 11/1.

11HOUSTON ROCKETS (4-5): Winning 55 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 43-39

They make the playoffs in 65% of simulations. Their chances are down from 100% back on 10/12. They have a 11% chance of getting home court advantage in the first round. Their power ranking is down 8 spots since 10/12. They are better than their projected win-loss record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #16.

12UTAH JAZZ (5-6, 45.5%): Winning 54 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 44-38 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 54.9% 39-32 record)

Their playoff chances currently stand at 72 percent. Their chances are down from 98% back on 10/31. If they do make the playoffs, they have a 21% chance of getting home court advantage in the first round. Their power ranking is down 5 spots since 10/20.

13CHARLOTTE HORNETS (6-5, 54.5%): Winning 54 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 46-36 (40-31 rest of season)

Their current odds of winning the East are 120/1 and in simulations they win the conference 3.7% of the time. They have a 0.4 percent chance of winning the championship (Odds 300/1). The simulation based percentages have held steady over the past 30 days. Their power ranking is up 10 spots since 10/19.

14NEW ORLEANS PELICANS (5-6, 45.5%): Winning 53 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 44-38 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 54.9% 39-32 record)

They make the playoffs in 71% of simulations. Their chances are down from 100% back on 10/27. If they do make the playoffs, they have a 19% chance of getting home court advantage in the first round. Their power ranking is down 10 spots since 10/22.

15MIAMI HEAT (5-5): Winning 53 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 45-37

They make the playoffs in 93% of simulations. This is a big jump from the 64% chance they had back on 10/24. They have a 12% chance of getting home court advantage in the first round. Their power ranking is down 5 spots since 10/31.

16SAN ANTONIO SPURS (6-4): Winning 52 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 44-38

They have a 77% chance of making the playoffs. This is a big jump from the 21% chance they had back on 10/18. If they do make the playoffs, they have a 25% chance of getting home court advantage in the first round. Their power ranking is down 5 spots since 10/16.

17BROOKLYN NETS (5-6, 45.5%): Winning 48 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 38-44 (33-38 rest of season)

Their playoff chances currently stand at 40 percent. This is a big jump from the 1% chance they had back on 10/18. They have virtually no chance of getting home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. Their power ranking is up 10 spots since 10/22.

18NEW YORK KNICKS (4-8, 33.3%): Winning 47 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 39-43 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 50% 35-35 record)

They make the playoffs in 44% of simulations. This is a big jump from the 0% chance they had back on 10/27. They have virtually no chance of getting home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. Their power ranking is up 9 spots since 10/20.

19MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES (4-8, 33.3%): Winning 46 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 37-45 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 47.1% 33-37 record)

They make the playoffs in 10% of simulations. Their chances are down from 74% back on 10/26. They have virtually no chance of getting home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. Their power ranking is down 10 spots since 10/25.

20MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (6-4): Winning 44 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 37-45

They make the playoffs in 12% of simulations. This is a big jump from the 0% chance they had back on 10/20. They have virtually no chance of getting home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. Their power ranking is up 9 spots since 10/22.

21DETROIT PISTONS (5-5): Winning 44 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 37-45

They make the playoffs in 26% of simulations. Their chances are down from 93% back on 10/22. If they do make the playoffs, they have next to no chance of getting home court advantage in the first round. Their power ranking is down 6 spots since 10/24.

22LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS (6-4): Winning 44 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 36-46

They make the playoffs in 9% of simulations. Their chances are down from 45% back on 10/29. If they do make the playoffs, they have next to no chance of getting home court advantage in the first round. Their power ranking is down 7 spots since 10/30.

23DALLAS MAVERICKS (3-8, 27.3%): Winning 43 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 32-50 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 40.8% 29-42 record)

Their projected win total is down from 39 wins on October 12. While not great, they still have an outside shot at making the playoffs (1.1%). Their power ranking is down 6 spots since 10/12.

24WASHINGTON WIZARDS (2-8): Winning 41 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 32-50

Their projected win total is down from 42 wins on October 18. Their power ranking is down 9 spots since 10/22.

25ATLANTA HAWKS (3-8, 27.3%): Winning 38 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 28-54 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 35.2% 25-46 record)

Their projected win total is down from 35 wins on October 27. Their power ranking is up 5 spots since 10/20.

26SACRAMENTO KINGS (6-5, 54.5%): Winning 34 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 28-54 (Projected to win just 31% 22-49 rest of the season)

Their projection is up from 22 wins on October 21. Their power ranking is up 4 spots since 10/24.

27ORLANDO MAGIC (4-7, 36.4%): Winning 33 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 27-55 (Projected to win just 32.4% 23-48 rest of the season)

On 2/2 their projected win total was up to 34 wins. Their power ranking is down 4 spots since 10/27.

28PHOENIX SUNS (2-8): Winning 33 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 24-58

On 1/29 their projected win total was up to 31 wins. Their power ranking is down 5 spots since 10/22.

29CLEVELAND CAVALIERS (1-10, 9.1%): Winning 30 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 20-62 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 26.8% 19-52 record)

On 1/31 their projected win total was up to 33 wins. Their power ranking is down 8 spots since 10/22.

30CHICAGO BULLS (3-9, 25%): Winning 29 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 22-60 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 27.1% 19-51 record)

On 1/28 their projected win total was up to 29 wins. Their power ranking is down 5 spots since 10/12.

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