NBA Power Ranking: Toronto Raptors Are Up to #3

1GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (17-9, 65.4%): Winning 74 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 58-24 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 73.2% 41-15 record)

They have a 55.5 percent chance of reaching the Finals (Odds stand at 1/3). They have a 39.3% chance of winning the championship with Vegas odds at 1/2. Their chances have dropped since 11/8 when they were at 69.3 percent.

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2HOUSTON ROCKETS (11-12, 47.8%): Winning 68 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 51-31 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 67.8% 40-19 record)

Computer simulations give them a 26.1% chance of winning the West with Vegas odds at 7/1. They have a 14.8 percent chance of winning the championship (Odds 14/1). Their chances are up significantly from 0.2% on 11/10. Their power ranking is up 12 spots since 11/3. They are better than their projected win-loss record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #4.

3TORONTO RAPTORS (21-5, 80.8%): Winning 67 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 60-22 (Projected to win just 69.6% 39-17 rest of the season)

Computer simulations give them a 37.3% chance of winning the East with Vegas odds at 7/5. They have an 18.9% chance of winning the championship with Vegas odds at 6/1. Their chances are up significantly since 11/6 where they were at 10.3%. They are not as good as their projected win-loss record would indicate. Their rank based on projected wins is #1.

Sportsline uses these situations where a team's power ranking is not in line with what oddsmakers and the public think to find great values against the spread.

4BOSTON CELTICS (13-10, 56.5%): Winning 67 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 54-28 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 69.5% 41-18 record)

Computer simulations give them a 35.6% chance of winning the East with Vegas odds at 7/4. They have a 15.2% chance of winning the championship with Vegas odds at 8/1. Their chances are up significantly from 4.8% on 11/12.

5LOS ANGELES LAKERS (15-9, 62.5%): Winning 59 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 47-35 (Projected to win just 55.2% 32-26 rest of the season)

They have a 4.7 percent chance of reaching the Finals (Odds stand at 10/1). The odds of them winning the NBA Championship are 20/1 and they win it all in 1.7 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances have dropped since 11/16 when they were at 3.4 percent. While the odds are still in their favor, there is a 13 percent chance that they slide out of the playoffs. Their power ranking is down 3 spots since 10/20. They are better than their projected win-loss record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #10.

6MILWAUKEE BUCKS (16-7, 69.6%): Winning 58 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 51-31 (Projected to win just 59.3% 35-24 rest of the season)

They have a 10.2 percent chance of reaching the Finals (Odds stand at 4/1). They have a 2.7 percent chance of winning the championship (Odds 16/1). Their chances are down from 5.6% on November 23. Their power ranking is up 9 spots since 10/20.

7MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES (13-12, 52%): Winning 58 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 45-37 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 56.1% 32-25 record)

Their current odds of winning the West are 50/1 and in simulations they win the conference 3.1% of the time. They have a 0.9% chance of winning the championship with Vegas odds at 100/1. The simulation based percentages have held steady over the past 30 days. While the odds are still in their favor, there is a 27 percent chance that they slide out of the playoffs. Their power ranking is up 13 spots since 10/27. They are better than their projected win-loss record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #12.

8PHILADELPHIA 76ERS (17-9, 65.4%): Winning 57 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 50-32 (Projected to win just 58.9% 33-23 rest of the season)

They have a 7.9 percent chance of reaching the Finals (Odds stand at 4/1). They have a 2 percent chance of winning the championship (Odds 16/1). Their chances have dropped since 11/13 when they were at 6.5 percent. Their power ranking is down 5 spots since 11/12.

9DENVER NUGGETS (17-7, 70.8%): Winning 56 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 50-32 (Projected to win just 56.9% 33-25 rest of the season)

They have a 4.5 percent chance of reaching the Finals (Odds stand at 50/1). They have a 1.3% chance of winning the championship with Vegas odds at 40/1. Their chances are up significantly since 11/18 where they were at 0.1%. Their power ranking is up 9 spots since 11/16.

10OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER (16-7, 69.6%): Winning 55 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 49-33 (Projected to win just 55.9% 33-26 rest of the season)

Computer simulations give them a 2.7% chance of winning the West with Vegas odds at 10/1. They have a 0.8% chance of winning the championship with Vegas odds at 20/1. Their chances have held steady over the past month. Their power ranking is up 4 spots since 11/1.

11INDIANA PACERS (14-10, 58.3%): Winning 55 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 47-35 (33-25 rest of season)

Their current odds of winning the East are 30/1 and in simulations they win the conference 4.6% of the time. The odds of them winning the NBA Championship are 100/1 and they win it all in 1 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances have dropped since 11/21 when they were at 2.4 percent. Their power ranking is down 4 spots since 10/25.

12LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS (16-8, 66.7%): Winning 54 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 47-35 (Projected to win just 53.4% 31-27 rest of the season)

Their playoff chances currently stand at 90 percent. This is a big jump from the 9% chance they had back on 11/9. If they do make the playoffs, they have a 38% chance of getting home court advantage in the first round. Their power ranking is up 14 spots since 10/22.

13PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS (13-11, 54.2%): Winning 52 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 44-38 (31-27 rest of season)

Their playoff chances currently stand at 66 percent. Their chances are down from 99% back on 11/14. If they do make the playoffs, they have a 14% chance of getting home court advantage in the first round. Their power ranking is down 8 spots since 11/10.

14UTAH JAZZ (12-13, 48%): Winning 52 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 42-40 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 52.6% 30-27 record)

Their playoff chances currently stand at 42 percent. Their chances are down from 78% back on 11/10. If they do make the playoffs, they have an 8% chance of getting home court advantage in the first round. Their power ranking is down 7 spots since 10/20.

15MIAMI HEAT (9-14, 39.1%): Winning 50 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 38-44 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 49.2% 29-30 record)

They have a 41% chance of making the playoffs. Their chances are down from 93% back on 11/9. If they do make the playoffs, they have next to no chance of getting home court advantage in the first round. Their power ranking is up 10 spots since 11/23. They are better than their projected win-loss record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #20.

16DETROIT PISTONS (13-9, 59.1%): Winning 50 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 44-38 (Projected to win just 51.7% 31-29 rest of the season)

They make the playoffs in 91% of simulations. This is a big jump from the 24% chance they had back on 11/6. They have an 10% chance of getting home court advantage in the first round. Their power ranking is up 6 spots since 11/7.

17ORLANDO MAGIC (12-13, 48%): Winning 50 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 41-41 (29-28 rest of season)

They make the playoffs in 72% of simulations. This is a big jump from the 0% chance they had back on 11/8. They have a 2% chance of getting home court advantage in the first round. Their power ranking is up 11 spots since 10/25.

18NEW ORLEANS PELICANS (13-13, 50%): Winning 49 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 40-42 (27-29 rest of season)

They have a 23% chance of making the playoffs. Their chances are down from 74% back on 11/20. They have a 1% chance of getting home court advantage in the first round. Their power ranking is down 14 spots since 10/22.

19CHARLOTTE HORNETS (11-13, 45.8%): Winning 47 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 39-43 (28-30 rest of season)

Their playoff chances currently stand at 50 percent. Their chances are down from 98% back on 11/13. They have virtually no chance of getting home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. Their power ranking is down 8 spots since 11/10.

20SAN ANTONIO SPURS (11-14, 44%): Winning 46 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 37-45 (26-31 rest of season)

Their playoff chances currently stand at 6 percent. Their chances are down from 82% back on 11/7. They have virtually no chance of getting home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. Their power ranking is down 9 spots since 10/17.

21BROOKLYN NETS (8-18, 30.8%): Winning 46 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 37-45 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 51.8% 29-27 record)

They have a 31% chance of making the playoffs. Their chances are down from 62% back on 11/30. They have virtually no chance of getting home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. Their power ranking is up 6 spots since 10/22.

22SACRAMENTO KINGS (12-11, 52.2%): Winning 45 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 37-45 (Projected to win just 42.4% 25-34 rest of the season)

Their playoff chances currently stand at 5 percent. Their chances are down from 18% back on 11/23. If they do make the playoffs, they have next to no chance of getting home court advantage in the first round. Their power ranking is up 8 spots since 10/25.

23DALLAS MAVERICKS (12-11, 52.2%): Winning 45 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 36-46 (Projected to win just 40.7% 24-35 rest of the season)

Their projected win total is down since 1/30 when it was at 31 wins. Their power ranking is down 6 spots since 10/12.

24MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (14-9, 60.9%): Winning 43 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 39-43 (Projected to win just 42.4% 25-34 rest of the season)

Their playoff chances currently stand at 13 percent. Their chances are down from 29% back on 11/22. If they do make the playoffs, they have next to no chance of getting home court advantage in the first round. Their power ranking is up 5 spots since 10/22. They are not as good as their projected win-loss record would indicate. Their rank based on projected wins is #18.

25WASHINGTON WIZARDS (11-14, 44%): Winning 41 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 35-47 (24-33 rest of season)

They make the playoffs in 14% of simulations. This is a big jump from the 4% chance they had back on 11/9. They have virtually no chance of getting home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. Their power ranking is down 10 spots since 10/22.

26NEW YORK KNICKS (8-17, 32%): Winning 41 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 32-50 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 42.1% 24-33 record)

On 2/6 their projected win total was up to 39 wins. They still have a small 2.2% chance of making the playoffs. Their power ranking is down 8 spots since 11/7.

27ATLANTA HAWKS (5-20, 20%): Winning 35 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 24-58 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 33.3% 19-38 record)

On 1/27 their projected win total was up to 28 wins. Their power ranking is down 5 spots since 10/27.

28PHOENIX SUNS (4-20, 16.7%): Winning 35 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 22-60 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 31% 18-40 record)

Their projected win total is down from 26 wins on November 27. Their power ranking is down 5 spots since 10/22.

29CLEVELAND CAVALIERS (5-19, 20.8%): Winning 24 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 18-64 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 22.4% 13-45 record)

On 1/20 their projected win total was up to 21 wins. Their power ranking is down 8 spots since 10/22.

30CHICAGO BULLS (5-20, 20%): Winning 23 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations
Projected Win-Loss: 17-65 (12-45 rest of season)

On 1/21 their projected win total was up to 22 wins. Their power ranking is down 5 spots since 10/12.

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