Paul George and Blake Griffin Are Poor Fantasy Values in Week 5 (Next Week)

John Wall
 WAS 87% Start

His market rank based on start percentage among guards for the rest of week 4 is #7, which is better than his market rank of #8. When compared to other guards in week 5, Chris Paul (110.4 FP), Kyle Lowry (172 FP), Mike Conley (137.1 FP), Russell Westbrook (176.1 FP), and DeMar DeRozan (174.7 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Wall but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 87% of leagues he is expected to produce 112.2 fantasy points (WK 5). It should be a very good week 5 as he is projected to be the #2 guard. His per game projected FP average is 45.4 which is better than his actual per game average (39.2). In addition to a solid projected FP average, he will benefit from playing 4 games.

Kawhi Leonard
 TOR 88% Start

If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week Kawhi Leonard is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #18 while his projection (rest of week 4) rank is #29. When compared to other forwards in week 5, Blake Griffin (39.2 FP), Paul George (109.7 FP), Jimmy Butler (155.3 FP), Tobias Harris (87.7 FP), and Draymond Green (165.7 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Leonard but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 88% of leagues he is expected to produce 107 fantasy points (WK 5). It should be a very good week 5 as he is projected to be the #3 forward. His per game projected FP average is 41.6 which is better than his actual per game average (27.1). In addition to a solid projected FP average, he will benefit from playing 4 games.

Draymond Green
 GS 88% Start

If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week Draymond Green is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #13 while his projection (rest of week 4) rank is #51. When compared to other forwards in week 5 Kawhi Leonard (166.5 FP) is projected for more points and is starting in fewer leagues. Blake Griffin (39.2 FP), Paul George (109.7 FP), Jimmy Butler (155.3 FP), Tobias Harris (87.7 FP), and Giannis Antetokounmpo (98.4 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Green but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 88% of leagues he is expected to produce 109.7 fantasy points (WK 5). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #13 forward of week 5. He is projected to be better than that (the #4 forward). His per game projected FP average is 33.1 which is better than his actual per game average (30). In addition to a solid projected FP average, he will benefit from playing 5 games.

Lower Start%D. Green WK 5Higher Start%
K. Leonard (166 FP)166 FPB. Griffin (39 FP)
 
#13 ForwardP. George (110 FP)
 
 
J. Butler (155 FP)
 
 
T. Harris (88 FP)
 
 
G. Antetokounmpo (98 FP)

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DeMar DeRozan
 SA 89% Start

If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week DeMar DeRozan is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #2 while his projection (rest of week 4) rank is #40. John Wall (181.8 FP) is projected for more points and is starting in fewer leagues. Chris Paul (110.4 FP), Kyle Lowry (172 FP), James Harden (141 FP), Jrue Holiday (140.5 FP), and Kyrie Irving (111.8 FP) are all projected for fewer points than DeRozan but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 89% of leagues he is expected to produce 126.4 fantasy points (WK 5). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #13 guard of week 5. He is projected to be better than that (the #4 guard). Even though his per game projected FP average is not better than normal, he will benefit from playing 4 games.

Lower Start%D. DeRozan WK 5Higher Start%
J. Wall (182 FP)175 FPC. Paul (110 FP)
 
#13 GuardK. Lowry (172 FP)
 
 
J. Harden (141 FP)
 
 
J. Holiday (140 FP)
 
 
K. Irving (112 FP)

Dwight Howard
 WAS 61% Start

His market rank based on start percentage among centers for the rest of week 4 is #11, which is better than his market rank of #16. When compared to other centers in week 5, Al Horford (92.6 FP), DeAndre Jordan (88.6 FP), Enes Kanter (86.7 FP), Jonas Valanciunas (88.6 FP), and Andre Drummond (33.2 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Howard but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 61% of leagues he is expected to produce 70.5 fantasy points (WK 5). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #20 center of week 5. He is projected to be better than that (the #7 center). His per game projected FP average is 29.4 which is better than his actual per game average (7.1). In addition to a solid projected FP average, he will benefit from playing 4 games.

For Daily Fantasy projections and optimal lineups from our advanced computer model and DFS Millionaire, Mike McClure, visit SportsLine.com

Bad Fantasy Values for Week 5

Paul George
 OKC 100% Start

His market rank based on start percentage among forwards for the rest of week 4 is #9, which is less than his market rank of #5. When compared to other forwards in week 5 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: LaMarcus Aldridge (144.9 FP), Kevin Durant (224.9 FP), Jimmy Butler (155.3 FP), Kawhi Leonard (166.5 FP), and Anthony Davis (185.6 FP). Starting in all virtually all leagues he is expected to produce 224.9 fantasy points (WK 5). Owners expect him to be the most productive forward of the week, but he is projected to be the #13 forward. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 115.2 short of expectations.

Blake Griffin
 DET 88% Start

His market rank based on start percentage among forwards for the rest of week 4 is #5, which is less than his market rank of #3. When compared to other forwards in week 5 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Vince Carter (50.1 FP), Carmelo Anthony (44 FP), Andre Iguodala (68.2 FP), Trevor Ariza (60.9 FP), and LaMarcus Aldridge (144.9 FP). Starting in 88% of leagues he is expected to produce 110.7 fantasy points (WK 5). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #12 forward of the week, but he is projected to be the #93 forward. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 71.5 short of expectations. His per game projected FP average is 39.2 which is less than his actual per game average (44.8). In addition to a below average projected FP average, he also is expected to play just once in the week.

Victor Oladipo
 IND 94% Start

His market rank based on start percentage among guards for the rest of week 4 is #11, which is less than his market rank of #7. When compared to other guards in week 5 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Louis Williams (80.7 FP), Chris Paul (110.4 FP), Rajon Rondo (79.6 FP), J.J. Redick (94.5 FP), and Mike Conley (137.1 FP). Starting in 94% of leagues he is expected to produce 141.2 fantasy points (WK 5). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #6 guard of the week, but he is projected to be the #44 guard. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 65.8 short of expectations. In addition to a below average projected FP average, he also is expected to play just 2 games.

Kyle Lowry
 TOR 96% Start

If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week Kyle Lowry is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #3 while his projection (rest of week 4) rank is #36. When compared to other guards in week 5 instead of Lowry consider these better options at lower start percentages: Russell Westbrook (176.1 FP), Stephen Curry (219.3 FP), DeMar DeRozan (174.7 FP), and John Wall (181.8 FP). Starting in 96% of leagues he is expected to produce 219.3 fantasy points (WK 5). Owners expect him to be the most productive guard of the week, but he is projected to be the #5 guard. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 47.3 short of expectations.

Andre Drummond
 DET 88% Start

His market rank based on start percentage among centers for the rest of week 4 is #5, which is less than his market rank of #3. When compared to other centers in week 5 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Pau Gasol (70.9 FP), Dwight Howard (117.7 FP), Al Horford (92.6 FP), Marcin Gortat (33.5 FP), and Brook Lopez (47 FP). Starting in 88% of leagues he is expected to produce 92.6 fantasy points (WK 5). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #10 center of the week, but he is projected to be the #37 center. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 59.4 short of expectations. His per game projected FP average is 33.2 which is less than his actual per game average (37.7). In addition to a below average projected FP average, he also is expected to play just once in the week.

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