Serge Ibaka and Derrick Rose: Highly Owned Trade Bait

Darren Collison
 IND 91% Own

Most already consider Darren Collison to be a good starting guard, but the projections indicate he is an elite fantasy option. Ranking by ownership percentage (91%), Darren Collison is expected to be the #37 guard for the rest of the season. His projection based guard rank is #12. Even if he is highly owned, he is still undervalued and if you act quickly there is a clear buy low opportunity. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better guard option available. Of the 4 guards (J.J. Redick, Joe Ingles, Gary Harris) with this market rank (91% Owned), he is the top rated one. He is projected for 1078 fantasy points in 34 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#17) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Darren Collison behind Redick and above Harris but the projections rank Darren Collison over Redick. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly lower in 4 categories than his overall fantasy point ranking and these are relative weaknesses. With a better FP Total rank than Avg rank, his value will decrease once his remaining games evens out with other similarly rated players. His value could significantly increase if he was more of an offensive threat, especially from three-point range. But sharing the ball is a strength.

Justise Winslow
 MIA 94% Own

As of 1/27, Justise Winslow is the #33 ranked forward based on ownership percentage (94%). He is projected to be the #15 forward. Even as an established quality fantasy option, if he lives up to projections he is still undervalued and there could be an opportunity to buy 'low'. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better forward option available. Of the 3 forwards (Trevor Ariza, Gordon Hayward) with this market rank (94% Owned), he is the top rated one. He is projected for 994 fantasy points in 35 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#17) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Justise Winslow behind Barnes and above Ariza but the projections rank Justise Winslow over Barnes. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly lower in 5 categories than his overall fantasy point ranking and these are relative weaknesses. His value could significantly increase if he was more of an offensive threat, especially from three-point range. But sharing the ball is a strength.

Domantas Sabonis
 IND 99% Own

His latest projection based rank among forwards is #13. As of 1/27, Domantas Sabonis is the #23 ranked forward based on ownership percentage (99%). Domantas Sabonis's projection rank is better than their market rank. Even if he is highly owned, he is still undervalued and if you act quickly there is a clear buy low opportunity. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better forward option available. Of the 8 forwards (Danilo Gallinari, Serge Ibaka, DeMarcus Cousins, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Lauri Markkanen, Kyle Kuzma) with this market rank (99% Owned), he is the top rated one. He is projected for 1037 fantasy points in 34 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#14) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Domantas Sabonis behind Green and above Cousins but the projections rank Domantas Sabonis over Green. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly lower in 4 categories than his overall fantasy point ranking and these are relative weaknesses. His value could significantly increase if he was more of an offensive threat, especially from three-point range. But he does do better in the other areas of the game.

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Tomas Satoransky
 WAS 87% Own

Most already consider Tomas Satoransky to be a good starting guard, but the projections indicate he is an elite fantasy option. Based on ownership percentage (87%), Tomas Satoransky has a market rank of #42 among guards. The projections have him 17 spots higher in the rankings. Even as an established quality fantasy option, if he lives up to projections he is still undervalued and there could be an opportunity to buy 'low'. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better guard option available. He is projected for more FPs than Dennis Smith Jr. who has virtually the same market rank (87% Owned) as Satoransky. He is projected for 888 fantasy points in 34 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#26) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Tomas Satoransky behind Dinwiddie and above Smith Jr. but the projections rank Tomas Satoransky over Dinwiddie. His value could significantly increase if he was more of an offensive threat, especially from three-point range. But sharing the ball is a strength.

Robin Lopez
 CHI 8% Own

The projections say that Robin Lopez is an elite fantasy center worth starting most weeks. As of 1/27, Robin Lopez is the #45 ranked center based on ownership percentage (8%). His projection based center rank is #29. There could be an opportunity to acquire him while the market is still not as high on them as the projections are. Unless someone offers an even better center value, we advise you to hold on to him. He is projected for 476 fantasy points in 33 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#30) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Robin Lopez behind Nowitzki and above Poeltl but the projections rank Robin Lopez over Nowitzki. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly lower in 2 categories than his overall fantasy point ranking and these are relative weaknesses. His strength is scoring, especially from three-point range. But he does not excel in the other areas of the game.

For Daily Fantasy projections and optimal lineups from our advanced computer model and DFS Millionaire, Mike McClure, visit SportsLine.com

Bad Fantasy Values for the Rest of the Season

Serge Ibaka
 TOR 99% Own

Based on ownership percentage (99%), Serge Ibaka has a market rank of #21 among forwards. The projections indicate that he is likely to fall short of high market expectations. He is only projected to be the #37 forward. This is not necessarily a player you would start every active week. He is the lowest rated of the 8 forwards (Danilo Gallinari, DeMarcus Cousins, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Domantas Sabonis, Lauri Markkanen, Kyle Kuzma) with this market rank (99% Owned). He is projected for 723 fantasy points in 31 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#39) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Serge Ibaka behind Wiggins and above Green but the projections rank Green over Serge Ibaka. While scoring is his strength he contributes enough in other areas to be considered a well-rounded forward.

Derrick Rose
 MIN 96% Own

Ranking by ownership percentage (96%), Derrick Rose is expected to be the #27 guard for the rest of the season. Projected to be a backup guard his value could reach market expectations if there is an injury to the starters. He is projected for 688 fantasy points in 32 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #43 highest average. The market ranks Derrick Rose behind Hardaway and above Dunn but the projections rank Dunn over Derrick Rose. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly lower in 4 categories than his overall fantasy point ranking and these are relative weaknesses. With a better FP Avg rank than Total rank, his value will increase once his remaining games evens out with other similarly rated players. His strength is scoring, and if he could improve from 3pt range his value would increase. He gets assists as well, so it is his defensive stats that need improvement.

Ivica Zubac
 LAL 35% Own

Based on ownership percentage (35%), Ivica Zubac has a market rank of #30 among centers. Projected to be a backup center his value could reach market expectations if there is an injury to the starter. He is projected for 311 fantasy points in 33 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#49) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Ivica Zubac behind Zizic and above Len but the projections rank Len over Ivica Zubac. His strength is scoring, and if he could improve from 3pt range his value would increase. But he is not expected to pass very often.

Andrew Wiggins
 MIN 99% Own

His latest projection based rank among forwards is #27. Based on ownership percentage (99%), Andrew Wiggins has a market rank of #20 among forwards. Andrew Wiggins's market rank is better than our current projections indicate. There are many other forwards with virtually the same market rank (Danilo Gallinari, Serge Ibaka, DeMarcus Cousins, Draymond Green, Domantas Sabonis, Lauri Markkanen, Kyle Kuzma 99% Owned) and Wiggins ranks #6 out of 8. He is projected for 829 fantasy points in 33 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#29) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Andrew Wiggins behind Kuzma and above Ibaka and the projections agree. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly lower in 4 categories than his overall fantasy point ranking and these are relative weaknesses. His strength is scoring, and if he could improve from 3pt range his value would increase. But he is not expected to pass very often.

Lower Own%A. Wiggins ROSHigher Own%
T. Ariza (842 FP)829 FPJ. Tatum (794 FP)
T. Young (852 FP)#20 Forward 
D. Cousins (1007 FP) 
 
D. Green (920 FP) 
 
O. Porter (856 FP) 
 

Buddy Hield
 SAC 99% Own

His latest projection based rank among guards is #31. Ranking by ownership percentage (99%), Buddy Hield is expected to be the #23 guard for the rest of the season. The market is higher on Buddy Hield than the projections are so we consider him to be overvalued. He is the lowest rated of the 3 guards (Chris Paul, Josh Richardson) with this market rank (99% Owned). He is projected for 841 fantasy points in 33 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #29 highest average. The market ranks Buddy Hield behind Richardson and above Paul but the projections rank Paul over Buddy Hield. His strength is scoring, especially from three-point range. But sharing the ball and accumulating defensive stats need improvement.