Spencer Dinwiddie and Gordon Hayward: Highly Owned Trade Bait

Justise Winslow
 MIA 90% Own

Most already consider Justise Winslow to be a good starting forward, but the projections indicate he is an elite fantasy option. Based on ownership percentage (90%), Justise Winslow has a market rank of #37 among forwards. He is projected to be the #21 forward. Even as an established quality fantasy option, if he lives up to projections he is still undervalued and there could be an opportunity to buy 'low'. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better forward option available. He is projected for more FPs than Rudy Gay who has virtually the same market rank (90% Owned) as Winslow. He is projected for 1064 fantasy points in 43 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#27) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Justise Winslow behind Jackson and above Gay but the projections rank Justise Winslow over Jackson. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly lower in 5 categories than his overall fantasy point ranking and these are relative weaknesses. With a better FP Total rank than Avg rank, his value will decrease once his remaining games evens out with other similarly rated players. His value could significantly increase if he was more of an offensive threat. But sharing the ball is a strength.

Elfrid Payton
 NO 95% Own

Ranking by ownership percentage (95%), Elfrid Payton is expected to be the #33 guard for the rest of the season. Our projections indicate that Elfrid Payton is underrated by the market. His fantasy guard projection rank is #23. Even as an established quality fantasy option, if he lives up to projections he is still undervalued and there could be an opportunity to buy 'low'. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better guard option available. Of the 5 guards (Derrick Rose, Ricky Rubio, Gary Harris, Kris Dunn) with this market rank (95% Owned), he is the top rated one. He is projected for 1084 fantasy points in 40 remaining games. His projected average FP rank is the same as his rest of season total rank. The market ranks Elfrid Payton behind Harris and above Rubio but the projections rank Elfrid Payton over Harris. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly lower in 4 categories than his overall fantasy point ranking and these are relative weaknesses. His value could significantly increase if he was more of an offensive threat, especially from three-point range. But sharing the ball is a strength.

Pascal Siakam
 TOR 97% Own

His latest projection based rank among forwards is #23. As of 1/10, Pascal Siakam is the #33 ranked forward based on ownership percentage (97%). Pascal Siakam's projection rank is better than their market rank. Even as an established quality fantasy option, if he lives up to projections he is still undervalued and there could be an opportunity to buy 'low'. Unless someone offers an even better forward value, we advise you to hold on to him. Of the 4 forwards (Harrison Barnes, T.J. Warren, Brandon Ingram) with this market rank (97% Owned), he is the top rated one. He is projected for 1038 fantasy points in 39 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #21 highest average. The market ranks Pascal Siakam behind Barnes and above Porter but the projections rank Pascal Siakam over Barnes. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly lower in 2 categories than his overall fantasy point ranking and these are relative weaknesses. His value could significantly increase if he was more of an offensive threat, especially from three-point range. But sharing the ball is a strength.

Lower Own%P. Siakam ROSHigher Own%
J. Winslow (1064 FP)1038 FPS. Ibaka (913 FP)
 
#33 ForwardK. Love (723 FP)
 
 
G. Hayward (856 FP)
 
 
H. Barnes (934 FP)
 
 
A. Wiggins (993 FP)

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Zach Collins
 POR 15% Own

Many would be surprised to see Zach Collins projected as an elite fantasy center. As of 1/10, Zach Collins is the #40 ranked center based on ownership percentage (15%). His projection based center rank is #28. There could be a nice opportunity to acquire him before the market realizes he is undervalued. Unless someone offers an even better center value, we advise you to hold on to him. He is projected for 597 fantasy points in 40 remaining games. His projected average FP rank is the same as his rest of season total rank. The market ranks Zach Collins behind Holmes and above Nowitzki but the projections rank Zach Collins over Holmes. His ranking in points is the same as his overall fantasy ranking indicating he contributes in most fantasy statistical areas.

Louis Williams
 LAC 98% Own

Based on ownership percentage (98%), Louis Williams has a market rank of #26 among guards. With a lower market rank than projection rank, consider Louis Williams to be undervalued. His fantasy guard projection rank is #20. Even if he is highly owned, he is still undervalued and if you act quickly there is a clear buy low opportunity. Unless someone offers an even better guard value, we advise you to hold on to him. Of the 3 guards (Jeff Teague, Tim Hardaway) with this market rank (98% Owned), he is the top rated one. He is projected for 1131 fantasy points in 42 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#24) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Louis Williams behind Paul and above Hardaway but the projections rank Louis Williams over Paul. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly lower in 4 categories than his overall fantasy point ranking and these are relative weaknesses. With a better FP Total rank than Avg rank, his value will decrease once his remaining games evens out with other similarly rated players.

For Daily Fantasy projections and optimal lineups from our advanced computer model and DFS Millionaire, Mike McClure, visit SportsLine.com

Bad Fantasy Values for the Rest of the Season

Spencer Dinwiddie
 BKN 97% Own

Ranking by ownership percentage (97%), Spencer Dinwiddie is expected to be the #29 guard for the rest of the season. Projected to be a backup guard his value could reach market expectations if there is an injury to the starters. He is projected for 777 fantasy points in 39 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #55 highest average. The market ranks Spencer Dinwiddie behind Teague and above Ball but the projections rank Ball over Spencer Dinwiddie. His ranking in points is the same as his overall fantasy ranking indicating he contributes in most fantasy statistical areas.

Gordon Hayward
 BOS 98% Own

Based on ownership percentage (98%), Gordon Hayward has a market rank of #27 among forwards. The projections indicate that he is likely to fall short of high market expectations. He is only projected to be the #42 forward. Owners should not be surprised if they find themselves benching Hayward more than they thought. There are other forwards with virtually the same market rank (Paul Millsap, Serge Ibaka, Kevin Love, Domantas Sabonis 98% Owned) and Hayward ranks #4 out of 5. He is projected for 856 fantasy points in 42 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#45) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Gordon Hayward behind Sabonis and above Ibaka but the projections rank Ibaka over Gordon Hayward. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly lower in 3 categories than his overall fantasy point ranking and these are relative weaknesses. Scoring is his strength (especially from three-point range) and he cannot be considered a well-rounded forward.

Lauri Markkanen
 CHI 99% Own

As of 1/10, Lauri Markkanen is the #19 ranked forward based on ownership percentage (99%). Lauri Markkanen's market rank is better than our current projections indicate. His fantasy forward projection rank is #28. He is projected for 991 fantasy points in 41 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#31) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Lauri Markkanen behind Collins and above Green but the projections rank Green over Lauri Markkanen. His strength is scoring, especially from three-point range. But he is not expected to pass very often.

Buddy Hield
 SAC 99% Own

As of 1/10, Buddy Hield is the #22 ranked guard based on ownership percentage (99%). Our projections indicate that Buddy Hield is overrated by the market. His fantasy guard projection rank is #29. He is projected for 1053 fantasy points in 41 remaining games. His projected average FP rank is the same as his rest of season total rank. The market ranks Buddy Hield behind McCollum and above Young but the projections rank Young over Buddy Hield. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly better in 4 categories (strengths) than his overall fantasy point ranking. His strength is scoring, especially from three-point range. But sharing the ball and accumulating defensive stats need improvement.

Mohamed Bamba
 ORL 49% Own

Based on ownership percentage (49%), Mohamed Bamba has a market rank of #27 among centers. Our projections indicate that Mohamed Bamba is overrated by the market. His fantasy center projection rank is #33. Projected to be a backup center his value could reach market expectations if there is an injury to the starter. He is projected for 539 fantasy points in 41 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#34) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Mohamed Bamba behind Dedmon and above Plumlee but the projections rank Plumlee over Mohamed Bamba. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly better in 2 categories (strengths) than his overall fantasy point ranking. Scoring is not necessarily a strength but it is not a weakness and he is considered a well-rounded center who contributes equally in most key stats.

Lower Own%M. Bamba ROSHigher Own%
M. Gortat (554 FP)539 FPJ. Valanciunas (455 FP)
R. Lopez (540 FP)#27 Center 
C. Zeller (546 FP) 
 
A. Len (590 FP) 
 
M. Plumlee (598 FP)