Spencer Dinwiddie and Serge Ibaka: Highly Owned Trade Bait

DeMarcus Cousins
 GS 99% Own

Most already consider DeMarcus Cousins to be a good starting forward, but the projections indicate he is an elite fantasy option. As of 1/6, DeMarcus Cousins is the #25 ranked forward based on ownership percentage (99%). He is projected to be the #12 forward. Even if he is highly owned, he is still undervalued and if you act quickly there is a clear buy low opportunity. Unless someone offers an even better forward value, we advise you to hold on to him. Of the 8 forwards (Danilo Gallinari, Serge Ibaka, Kevin Love, Draymond Green, Nikola Mirotic, Lauri Markkanen, Kyle Kuzma) with this market rank (99% Owned), he is the top rated one. He is projected for 1347 fantasy points in 41 remaining games. His projected average FP rank is the same as his rest of season total rank. The market ranks DeMarcus Cousins behind Love and above Wiggins but the projections rank DeMarcus Cousins over Love. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly lower in 3 categories than his overall fantasy point ranking and these are relative weaknesses. His value could significantly increase if he was more of an offensive threat, especially from three-point range. But he does do better in the other areas of the game.

Justise Winslow
 MIA 89% Own

Most already consider Justise Winslow to be a good starting forward, but the projections indicate he is an elite fantasy option. Based on ownership percentage (89%), Justise Winslow has a market rank of #39 among forwards. His projection based forward rank is #21. Even as an established quality fantasy option, if he lives up to projections he is still undervalued and there could be an opportunity to buy 'low'. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better forward option available. He is projected for 1110 fantasy points in 45 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#26) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Justise Winslow behind Nance and above Ariza but the projections rank Justise Winslow over Nance. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly lower in 5 categories than his overall fantasy point ranking and these are relative weaknesses. With a better FP Total rank than Avg rank, his value will decrease once his remaining games evens out with other similarly rated players. His value could significantly increase if he was more of an offensive threat, especially from three-point range. But sharing the ball is a strength.

Chris Paul
 HOU 99% Own

Based on ownership percentage (99%), Chris Paul has a market rank of #25 among guards. Our projections indicate that Chris Paul is underrated by the market. His fantasy guard projection rank is #14. Even as an established quality fantasy option, if he lives up to projections he is still undervalued and there could be an opportunity to buy 'low'. Unless someone offers an even better guard value, we advise you to hold on to him. He is projected for 1424 fantasy points in 41 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #11 highest average. The market ranks Chris Paul behind Hield and above Dinwiddie but the projections rank Chris Paul over Hield. His value could significantly increase if he was more of an offensive threat, especially from inside the three-point arc. But sharing the ball is a strength.

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Pau Gasol
 SA 23% Own

Our projections run counter to general expectations. Pau Gasol is projected to be a top tier fantasy center. Ranking by ownership percentage (23%), Pau Gasol is expected to be the #33 center for the rest of the season. He is projected to be the #22 center. There could be a nice opportunity to acquire him before the market realizes he is undervalued. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better center option available. He is projected for 795 fantasy points in 42 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#24) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Pau Gasol behind Olynyk and above Hernangomez but the projections rank Pau Gasol over Olynyk. His value could significantly increase if he was more of an offensive threat, especially from inside the three-point arc. But sharing the ball is a strength.

Will Barton
 DEN 94% Own

His latest projection based rank among guards is #27. Based on ownership percentage (94%), Will Barton has a market rank of #36 among guards. With a lower market rank than projection rank, consider Will Barton to be undervalued. Even as an established quality fantasy option, if he lives up to projections he is still undervalued and there could be an opportunity to buy 'low'. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better guard option available. There are other guards with virtually the same market rank (Evan Fournier, Elfrid Payton 94% Owned) and Barton ranks #2 out of 3. He is projected for 1103 fantasy points in 45 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#33) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Will Barton behind Payton and above Schroder and the projections agree. With a better FP Total rank than Avg rank, his value will decrease once his remaining games evens out with other similarly rated players. His value could significantly increase if he was more of an offensive threat, especially from inside the three-point arc. But he does do better in the other areas of the game.

For Daily Fantasy projections and optimal lineups from our advanced computer model and DFS Millionaire, Mike McClure, visit SportsLine.com

Bad Fantasy Values for the Rest of the Season

Spencer Dinwiddie
 BKN 98% Own

As of 1/6, Spencer Dinwiddie is the #26 ranked guard based on ownership percentage (98%). Projected to be a backup guard his value could reach market expectations if there is an injury to the starters. Tim Hardaway has virtually the same market rank (98% Owned) and is projected for more points than Dinwiddie. He is projected for 899 fantasy points in 42 remaining games. His projected average FP rank is the same as his rest of season total rank. The market ranks Spencer Dinwiddie behind Paul and above Hardaway but the projections rank Hardaway over Spencer Dinwiddie. Scoring is his strength and he cannot be considered a well-rounded guard.

Serge Ibaka
 TOR 99% Own

Based on ownership percentage (99%), Serge Ibaka has a market rank of #20 among forwards. The projections indicate that he is likely to fall short of high market expectations. His projection based forward rank is #34. Owners should not be surprised if they find themselves benching Ibaka more than they thought. He is the lowest rated of the 8 forwards (Danilo Gallinari, Kevin Love, DeMarcus Cousins, Draymond Green, Nikola Mirotic, Lauri Markkanen, Kyle Kuzma) with this market rank (99% Owned). He is projected for 970 fantasy points in 41 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #31 highest average. The market ranks Serge Ibaka behind Markkanen and above Kuzma but the projections rank Kuzma over Serge Ibaka. His ranking in points is the same as his overall fantasy ranking indicating he is relatively well-rounded from a statistical standpoint.

Jamal Murray
 DEN 99% Own

His latest projection based rank among guards is #33. As of 1/6, Jamal Murray is the #22 ranked guard based on ownership percentage (99%). Our projections indicate that Jamal Murray is overrated by the market. He is projected for 1093 fantasy points in 45 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#35) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Jamal Murray behind Young and above Richardson but the projections rank Richardson over Jamal Murray. His strength is scoring. But he is not expected to pass very often.

Luke Kornet
 NY 32% Own

As of 1/6, Luke Kornet is the #30 ranked center based on ownership percentage (32%). Projected to be a backup center his value could reach market expectations if there is an injury to the starter. Alex Len has virtually the same market rank (32% Owned) and is projected for more points than Kornet. He is projected for 410 fantasy points in 43 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#47) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Luke Kornet behind Len and above Zeller but the projections rank Zeller over Luke Kornet. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly better in 3 categories (strengths) than his overall fantasy point ranking. While scoring is his strength (especially from three-point range) he contributes enough in other areas to be considered a well-rounded center.

Jayson Tatum
 BOS 100% Own

There are 17 forwards owned in 100% of leagues and Jayson Tatum is projected to be the #17 among them. Using actual fantasy production and current start percentage as the first and second tie-breaker, his market rank is #15. He can be considered overvalued and expect his ranking among 100% owned forwards to go down. He is projected for 1038 fantasy points in 44 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#32) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Jayson Tatum behind Gordon and above Butler but the projections rank Butler over Jayson Tatum. His strength is scoring. But he is not expected to pass very often.