Spend $7 on FanDuel for Gallinari? Are Durant $10.6 or Winslow $7 Better?

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Danilo Gallinari is overrated on FanDuel with a projected 28.6 FD pts (#4 among small forwards). At $7200 he is expected to be the #2 small forward. Based on the projection, Gallinari is worth $7K. Instead of Gallinari consider these better options at lower salaries: Joe Ingles (32.4 FP) and Justise Winslow (29.2 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 29.5 FPs, a value reached in 24 of 44 games (55%). The combined 'cover percentage' for small forwards priced at $4.0K and above is 45%.

  • 1/18 MATCHUP: LAC vs GS, LAC Vegas Line Expectation 117.8 Points (#3 most points for the day)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 28.6 Fantasy Points (#4), 17.5 pts (#2), 5.6 reb (#6), 2.5 ast (#7), 0.8 stl (#8), 0.3 blk (#12), 2.3 3pt (#3), 1.3 turnovers (#8 most)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Projected for 30.9 DraftKings pts Danilo Gallinari is the #4 ranked small forward. At $6700 he is expected to be the #3 small forward. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $6.5K. Aaron Gordon (31 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Based on salary, he is expected to have 31.9 FPs, a value reached in 24 of 44 games (55%). The combined 'cover percentage' for small forwards priced at $4.0K and above is 38%.

Gallinari is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

If you are in a league that allows substitutions during the week Danilo Gallinari is someone to keep in the lineup and he is a good value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #18 while his projection rank for the rest of week 14 is #8. When compared to other forwards in week 15 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Trevor Ariza (105.9 FP), Jimmy Butler (110.9 FP), Otto Porter (110.7 FP), Justise Winslow (116.9 FP), and Pascal Siakam (110.7 FP). Starting in 92% of leagues he is expected to produce 110.9 fantasy points (WK 15). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #12 forward of the week, but he is projected to be the #17 forward. His per game projected FP average is 26.2 which is less than his actual per game average (29.5).

Lower Start%D. Gallinari WK 15Higher Start%
T. Ariza (106 FP)105 FPL. Aldridge (99 FP)
J. Butler (111 FP)#12 Forward 
O. Porter (111 FP) 
 
J. Winslow (117 FP) 
 
P. Siakam (111 FP) 
 

He is projected for 105 fantasy points in week 15 (#16 F) in 4 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
105 (#16) 
Points 
67 (#10) 
Rebounds 
 
21 (#34)
Assists 
9.1 (#21) 
Steals 
 
2.5 (#49)
Blocks 
 
1.2 (#74)
3 PT Made 
8.4 (#8) 
Turnovers 
 
5.1 (#36)

  • Based on 1/18 start percentages, Danilo Gallinari is valued behind Antetokounmpo and above Butler but the projections rank Butler over Danilo Gallinari in week 15.
  • Jan 22Jan 23Jan 25Jan 27
    25 FP @DAL25.1 FP @MIA26.6 FP @CHI28.1 FP vs SAC

    Danilo Gallinari last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/16 vs UTA15 FP, 14 FD, 16 DK34 Min, 9 Pts, 4 Reb, 1 Ast, 30.2 TS%, 18% USG
    1/14 vs NO39 FP, 40 FD, 44 DK33 Min, 25 Pts, 4 Reb, 6 Ast, 87.3 TS%, 24% USG
    1/12 vs DET29 FP, 30 FD, 34 DK38 Min, 23 Pts, 6 Reb, 2 Ast, 62.1 TS%, 29% USG
    1/10 @DEN28 FP, 28 FD, 30 DK32 Min, 18 Pts, 3 Reb, 4 Ast, 45.8 TS%, 29% USG
    1/8 vs CHA34 FP, 36 FD, 38 DK31 Min, 20 Pts, 5 Reb, 4 Ast, 83.3 TS%, 18% USG

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    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    Ranking by ownership percentage (99%), Danilo Gallinari is expected to be the #18 forward for the rest of the season. Danilo Gallinari's market rank is better than our current projections indicate. His fantasy forward projection rank is #21. There are many other forwards with virtually the same market rank (DeMarcus Cousins, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Mirotic, Domantas Sabonis, Lauri Markkanen, Kyle Kuzma 99% Owned) and Gallinari ranks #4 out of 8. He is projected for 971 fantasy points in 36 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#24) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Danilo Gallinari behind Collins and above Wiggins and the projections agree. His strength is scoring, especially from three-point range. But sharing the ball and accumulating defensive stats need improvement.

    Lower Own%D. Gallinari ROSHigher Own%
    D. Cousins (1240 FP)971 FPJ. Tatum (927 FP)
    D. Green (1022 FP)#18 Forward 
    J. Winslow (1130 FP) 
     
    D. Sabonis (1033 FP) 
     
    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    971 (#21) 
    Points 
    617 (#17) 
    Rebounds 
     
    196 (#45)
    Assists 
    84.7 (#26) 
    Steals 
     
    25 (#54)
    Blocks 
     
    10 (#89)
    3PT Made79 (#7) 
     
    Turnovers 
     
    47 (#43)