Spend $8.4 on DraftKings for Drummond? Are Gobert $8.8 or Nurkic $8.2 Better?

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 41.6 DraftKings pts Drummond is the #3 ranked center. At $8400 he is expected to be the #4 center. Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Drummond is worth $8.7K. Based on salary, he is expected to have 40 FPs, a value reached in 28 of 43 games (65%). The combined 'cover percentage' for centers priced at $4.0K and above is 49%.

  • 1/18 MATCHUP: DET vs MIA, DET Vegas Line Expectation 104.8 Points (#11 most points for the day)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 41.6 Fantasy Points (#3), 14.5 pts (#6), 14.6 reb (#2), 1.4 ast (#6), 1.7 stl (#1), 1.7 blk (#3), 0.1 3pt (#7), 2.5 turnovers (#2 most)

FANDUEL VALUE: Based on a projected 39 FanDuel points, Drummond is fairly ranked. He is the #3 highest priced center ($9600). Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Drummond is worth $9.5K. Based on salary, he is expected to have 39.4 FPs, a value reached in 25 of 43 games (58%). The combined 'cover percentage' for centers priced at $4.0K and above is 43%.

Drummond is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

His market rank based on start percentage among centers for the rest of week 14 is #3, which is better than his market rank of #5. instead of Drummond consider these better options at lower start percentages: DeAndre Jordan (113.2 FP), Steven Adams (104.2 FP), Jusuf Nurkic (118.2 FP), Hassan Whiteside (101.3 FP), and Joel Embiid (132.9 FP). Starting in 96% of leagues he is expected to produce 137.4 fantasy points (WK 15). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #4 center of the week, but he is projected to be the #12 center. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 42 short of expectations.

He is projected for 95 fantasy points in week 15 (#13 C) in 3 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
95 (#13) 
Points 
43 (#14) 
Rebounds 
41.3 (#7) 
Assists 
 
4.3 (#22)
Steals4.8 (#2) 
 
Blocks 
4.6 (#13) 
3PT Made 
 
0.3 (#26)
Turnovers 
7.8 (#8) 

  • Based on 1/18 start percentages, Andre Drummond is valued behind Vucevic and above Embiid but the projections rank Embiid over Andre Drummond in week 15.
  • Jan 21Jan 23Jan 25
    32.3 FP @WAS31.9 FP @NO31.2 FP @DAL

    Andre Drummond last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/16 vs ORL36 FP, 38 FD, 45 DK38 Min, 14 Pts, 22 Reb, 1 Ast, 46.7 TS%, 22% USG
    1/14 @UTA33 FP, 38 FD, 40 DK35 Min, 15 Pts, 13 Reb, 1 Ast, 40 TS%, 24% USG
    1/12 @LAC42 FP, 50 FD, 54 DK42 Min, 20 Pts, 21 Reb, 0 Ast, 65.8 TS%, 19% USG
    1/10 @SAC21 FP, 22 FD, 29 DK31 Min, 12 Pts, 11 Reb, 2 Ast, 58.1 TS%, 24% USG
    1/9 @LAL28 FP, 38 FD, 38 DK32 Min, 6 Pts, 17 Reb, 1 Ast, 20.5 TS%, 25% USG

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    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    There are 10 centers owned in 100% of leagues and Andre Drummond is projected to be the #5 among them. Using actual fantasy production and current start percentage as the first and second tie-breaker, his market rank is #5. He is projected to live up to current expectations as a bottom tier 100% owned center. He is projected for 1296 fantasy points in 39 remaining games. His projected average FP rank is the same as his rest of season total rank. The market ranks Andre Drummond behind Vucevic and above Gobert and the projections agree. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly lower in 3 categories than his overall fantasy point ranking and these are relative weaknesses. Scoring is not necessarily a strength but it is not a weakness and he is considered a well-rounded center who contributes equally in most key stats.

    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    1296 (#5) 
    Points 
    582 (#7) 
    Rebounds569 (#1) 
     
    Assists 
     
    57.6 (#17)
    Steals62 (#1) 
     
    Blocks 
    65 (#7) 
    3PT Made 
     
    4 (#25)
    Turnovers98 (#3)