The Best DraftKings Value? Winslow at $6.8, Williams at $6.7, or Payton at $6.4?

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 29.5 DraftKings pts Louis Williams is the #13 ranked point guard. He is the #9 highest priced point guard ($6700). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $6.2K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Instead of Williams consider these better options at lower salaries: Derrick Rose (32.1 FP), Jeff Teague (30 FP), Spencer Dinwiddie (32.3 FP), and C.J. McCollum (33.2 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 31.9 FPs, a value reached in 17 of 44 games (39%). The combined 'cover percentage' for point guards priced at $4.0K and above is 48%.

  • 1/18 MATCHUP: LAC vs GS, LAC Vegas Line Expectation 117.8 Points (#3 most points for the day)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 29.5 Fantasy Points (#13), 17.8 pts (#8), 2.6 reb (#24), 4.5 ast (#13), 0.8 stl (#15), 0.2 blk (#27), 1.6 3pt (#9), 2.2 turnovers (#9 most)

FANDUEL VALUE: Louis Williams is overrated on FanDuel with a projected 27.9 FD pts (#8 among shooting guards). He is the #6 highest priced shooting guard ($6800). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $6.8K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). These are 2 better options at lower salaries: Andrew Wiggins (30.1 FP) and C.J. McCollum (31.4 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 27.9 FPs, a value reached in 21 of 44 games (48%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shooting guards priced at $4.0K and above is 47%.

Williams is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

If you are in a league that allows substitutions during the week Louis Williams is someone to keep in the lineup and he is a good value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #26 while his projection rank for the rest of week 14 is #10. When compared to other guards in week 15 these are 2 better options at lower start percentages: Bradley Beal (172 FP) and Kris Dunn (108.2 FP). He is projected for more points than 4 other guards starting in more leagues: Klay Thompson (76.4 FP), Kemba Walker (67.3 FP), Victor Oladipo (64 FP), and D`Angelo Russell (100.4 FP). Starting in 83% of leagues he is expected to produce 105.5 fantasy points (WK 15). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #19 guard of week 15. He is projected to be better than that (the #17 guard).

Lower Start%L. Williams WK 15Higher Start%
B. Beal (172 FP)107 FPK. Thompson (76 FP)
K. Dunn (108 FP)#19 GuardK. Walker (67 FP)
 
 
V. Oladipo (64 FP)
 
 
D. Russell (100 FP)

He is projected for 107 fantasy points in week 15 (#17 G) in 4 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
107 (#17) 
Points 
68 (#14) 
Rebounds 
 
9.9 (#61)
Assists 
17 (#24) 
Steals 
 
2.5 (#60)
Blocks 
 
0.8 (#57)
3PT Made 
 
5.7 (#34)
Turnovers 
8.3 (#21) 

  • Based on 1/18 start percentages, Louis Williams is valued behind Oladipo and above Murray and the projections agree for this week.
  • Jan 22Jan 23Jan 25Jan 27
    25.8 FP @DAL25.2 FP @MIA27.2 FP @CHI28.8 FP vs SAC

    Louis Williams last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    1/16 vs UTA41 FP, 40 FD, 41 DK27 Min, 23 Pts, 6 Reb, 6 Ast, 60.9 TS%, 30% USG
    1/14 vs NO33 FP, 32 FD, 34 DK30 Min, 18 Pts, 5 Reb, 5 Ast, 41.6 TS%, 32% USG
    1/12 vs DET26 FP, 24 FD, 28 DK28 Min, 22 Pts, 2 Reb, 3 Ast, 66.1 TS%, 34% USG
    1/10 @DEN27 FP, 24 FD, 26 DK25 Min, 19 Pts, 0 Reb, 5 Ast, 55.2 TS%, 33% USG
    1/8 vs CHA51 FP, 48 FD, 50 DK25 Min, 27 Pts, 3 Reb, 10 Ast, 79 TS%, 29% USG

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    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    Based on ownership percentage (98%), Louis Williams has a market rank of #26 among guards. Our projections indicate that Louis Williams is underrated by the market. His fantasy guard projection rank is #21. Even as an established quality fantasy option, if he lives up to projections he is still undervalued and there could be an opportunity to buy 'low'. Unless someone offers an even better guard value, we advise you to hold on to him. He is projected for 1036 fantasy points in 38 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#23) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Louis Williams behind Paul and above Teague and the projections agree. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly lower in 4 categories than his overall fantasy point ranking and these are relative weaknesses. His strength is scoring, and if he could improve from 3pt range his value would increase. But sharing the ball and accumulating defensive stats need improvement.

    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    1036 (#21) 
    Points 
    657 (#17) 
    Rebounds 
     
    96 (#65)
    Assists 
    164.9 (#27) 
    Steals 
     
    26 (#64)
    Blocks 
     
    7 (#67)
    3PT Made 
     
    58 (#39)
    Turnovers 
    80 (#26)