Toronto Raptors Have a 75% Chance of Winning the Championship

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The regular season went better than expected. They won 58 games vs an expected win total of 55.2. They won more games than expected at home and on the road. They went 26-15 on the road and were expected to win 24.4. Their 78% home win percentage was better than expected (75.1%).

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STATISTICAL STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES

SHOOTING (STRENGTH): They are an elite shooting team with a true FG% of 57.5% (#4 in League). They average 114.4 pts per game vs an expected average (based on pre-game odds) of 113.4. On the road they average 113.7 (111.9 expected), and at home 115.1 ppg (115 expected).

DEFENSE (STRENGTH): This is an elite defensive team holding opponents to 54.2 true FG% (#2 in League). They allow 108.4 pts per game vs an expected value of 107.9. They are allowing 109.1 (109 expected) on the road, and at home 107.6 ppg (106.8 expected).

REBOUNDING (BELOW AVERAGE): They are slightly outrebounded by opponents by 0.4 per game (#17 in league).

TURNOVERS (STRENGTH): Their average turnover margin is 1.5 per game (#7 in league).

TEAM STATS AND AGAINST THE SPREAD GAMELOG

Below is a recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Raptors in all of their games would have earned a +325 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the spread, they have lost -1140 units risking 110 to win 100 (37-44 ATS). They are down against the spread at home and on the road.

Season RecapPPG-PAMoney LineATS RecordO/U RecordPts/PosPA/PosPos+/-
All Games114.4 - 108.458-24, +32537-44, -114045-35 56.2% Over1.161.1-0.64
On Road113.7 - 109.126-15, +28319-21, -41023-17 57.5% Over1.161.1-0.79
At Home115.1 - 107.632-9, +1118-23, -73022-18 55% Over1.171.09-0.49
4/9 @MIN120-100Win +32Covered -7.5Under 2271.171+2
4/7 MIA117-109Win +42Covered -5.5Over 214.51.151.06-1
4/5 @CHA111-113Loss -100ATS Loss -6Push 2241.181.20
4/3 @BKN115-105Win +76Covered -2Under 228.51.181.09+1
4/1 ORL121-109Win +37Covered -6.5Over 216.51.241.120
3/30 @CHI124-101Win +16Covered -10.5Over 214.51.271.05+2
3/28 @NY117-92Win +16Covered -10Under 219.51.210.950
3/26 CHI112-103Win +6ATS Loss -14.5Under 2191.11.010
3/24 CHA114-115Loss -100ATS Loss -11.5Over 2231.281.28-1
3/22 OKC109-116Loss -100ATS Loss -2Push 2251.171.21-3
3/20 @OKC123-114Win +170Covered +5Over 2271.191.02-9
3/18 NY128-92Win +11Covered -12Over 213.51.250.91+2
3/17 @DET107-110Loss -100ATS Loss +1.5Over 215.51.21.22-1
3/14 LAL111-98Win +34Covered -7Under 230.51.070.93-2
3/11 @CLE101-126Loss -100ATS Loss -8.5Over 224.511.26+1
3/10 @MIA125-104Win +105Covered +2Over 2141.321.03-7
3/8 @NO127-104Win +22Covered -9.5Over 2301.180.95-2
3/5 HOU95-107Loss -100ATS Loss -3.5Under 228.51.061.20
3/3 @DET107-112Loss -100ATS Loss -2Over 217.51.081.1-2
3/1 POR119-117Win +49ATS Loss -5Over 229.51.211.190
2/26 BOS118-95Win +61Covered -3.5Under 2261.230.97-2
2/24 ORL98-113Loss -100ATS Loss -7Under 216.50.981.18+4
2/22 SA120-117Win +25ATS Loss -8Over 2271.211.18-1
2/13 WAS129-120Win +20ATS Loss -9.5Over 232.51.221.09-5
2/11 BKN127-125Win +16ATS Loss -10Over 227.51.221.24+4
2/9 @NY104-99Win +7ATS Loss -13.5Under 215.51.081.02-1
2/7 @ATL119-101Win +37Covered -6.5Under 232.51.271.05-2
2/5 @PHI119-107Win +115Covered +2.5Under 230.51.261.1-3
2/3 LAC121-103Win +20Covered -9.5Under 225.51.191-2
1/31 MIL92-105Loss -100ATS Loss -2.5Under 2320.91.12+9
1/27 @DAL123-120Win +54ATS Loss -4.5Over 2201.31.17-8
1/25 @HOU119-121Loss -100ATS Loss -3.5Over 2281.171.190
1/23 @IND106-110Loss -100Covered +6.5Under 217.51.091.18+4
1/22 SAC120-105Win +15Covered -11Under 226.51.131.04+5
1/19 MEM119-90Win +15Covered -10.5Under 2131.250.93-1
1/17 PHO111-109Win +22ATS Loss -9Under 223.51.131.13+1
1/16 @BOS108-117Loss -100ATS Loss +3Over 2231.161.250
1/13 @WAS140-138Win +45ATS Loss -5Over 224.51.181.12-5
1/11 BKN122-105Win +17Covered -10Over 224.51.141+2
1/8 ATL104-101Win +8ATS Loss -13.5Under 228.51.040.98-3
1/6 IND121-105Win +83Covered -1.5Over 213.51.271.04-5
1/5 @MIL123-116Win +184Covered +5Over 225.51.251.170
1/3 @SA107-125Loss -100ATS Loss +3.5Over 2181.111.33+3
1/1 UTA122-116Win +83Covered -1.5Over 2091.251.190
12/30 CHI95-89Win +15ATS Loss -10.5Under 2071.040.96-2
12/28 @ORL87-116Loss -100ATS Loss -4.5Under 207.50.881.13-4
12/26 @MIA106-104Win +68ATS Loss -2.5Over 207.51.161.15+1
12/22 @PHI101-126Loss -100ATS Loss +4.5Over 2200.951.22+3
12/21 CLE126-110Win +12Covered -11.5Over 210.51.351.2+2
12/19 IND99-96Win +54ATS Loss -4.5Under 210.51.031.02+2
12/16 @DEN86-95Loss -100ATS Loss +3Under 209.50.971.1+2
12/14 @POR122-128Loss -100ATS Loss -1.5Over 2161.311.34-2
12/12 @GS113-93Win +250Covered +8Under 226.51.170.95-1
12/11 @LAC123-99Win +62Covered -3Over 219.51.31.06+1
12/9 MIL99-104Loss -100ATS Loss -4.5Under 229.51.061.11-1
12/7 @BKN105-106Loss -100ATS Loss -9Under 2210.991.03+3
12/5 PHI113-102Win +37Covered -6.5Under 2291.141.020
12/3 DEN103-106Loss -100ATS Loss -7Under 2191.051.06-2
12/1 @CLE106-95Win +12ATS Loss -12Under 2131.161-4
11/29 GS131-128Win +22ATS Loss -9.5Over 2231.271.23-1
11/27 @MEM122-114Win +46Covered -5.5Over 208.51.381.23-4
11/25 MIA125-115Win +11ATS Loss -12Over 2151.321.210
11/23 WAS125-107Win +16Covered -10.5Over 230.51.261.05-3
11/21 @ATL124-108Win +27Covered -8Over 225.51.251.11+2
11/20 @ORL93-91Win +36ATS Loss -7Under 2190.960.99+5
11/17 @CHI122-83Win +19Covered -9.5Under 214.51.160.780
11/16 @BOS116-123Loss -100ATS Loss +2Over 2181.081.18+3
11/14 DET104-106Loss -100ATS Loss -10Under 2231.011.03+1
11/12 NO110-126Loss -100ATS Loss -9.5Over 228.51.111.270
11/10 NY128-112Win +6Covered -14.5Over 2171.341.13-4
11/7 @SAC114-105Win +19ATS Push -9Under 2331.121.04+1
11/5 @UTA124-111Win +128Covered +3Over 214.51.31.11-5
11/4 @LAL121-107Win +111Covered +1.5Under 235.51.231.04-4
11/2 @PHO107-98Win +16ATS Loss -10Under 226.51.151-4
10/30 PHI129-112Win +40Covered -6Over 227.51.221.060
10/29 @MIL109-124Loss -100ATS Loss -2Over 2231.031.18+1
10/26 DAL116-107Win +11ATS Loss -11.5Over 221.51.211.05-6
10/24 MIN112-105Win +25ATS Loss -8.5Under 2271.181.07-3
10/22 CHA127-106Win +23Covered -8.5Over 2251.311.07-2
10/20 @WAS117-113Win +110Covered +2Over 219.51.141.12+2
10/19 BOS113-101Win +67Covered -3Over 209.51.171.04-1
10/17 CLE116-104Win +8ATS Loss -12.5Over 215.51.181.04-1