Who is Worth More Over the Rest of the Season - Dragic vs Teague

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Based on ownership percentage (97%), Goran Dragic has a market rank of #30 among guards. Our projections indicate that Goran Dragic is underrated by the market. His fantasy guard projection rank is #25. Even as an established quality fantasy option, if he lives up to projections he is still undervalued and there could be an opportunity to buy 'low'. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better guard option available. There are other guards with virtually the same market rank (Louis Williams, Jeff Teague, Gary Harris 97% Owned) and Dragic ranks #2 out of 4. He is projected for 1605 fantasy points in 59 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#28) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Goran Dragic behind Harris and above Rubio but the projections rank these players in reverse order. Out of 7 major fantasy categories he ranks significantly lower in 5 categories than his overall fantasy point ranking and these are relative weaknesses. Scoring is his strength and he cannot be considered a well-rounded guard.

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Lower Own%G. Dragic ROSHigher Own%
R. Rubio (1706 FP)1605 FPJ. Teague (1489 FP)
 
#30 GuardK. Thompson (1546 FP)
 
 
T. Hardaway (1559 FP)
 
 
G. Harris (1386 FP)
 
 
J. Richardson (1373 FP)
Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
1605 (#25) 
Points 
945 (#24) 
Rebounds 
 
201 (#40)
Assists 
267.8 (#26) 
Steals 
 
52 (#47)
Blocks 
 
12 (#64)
3PT Made 
 
91 (#41)
Turnovers 
141 (#20) 

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week, Goran Dragic could be someone to consider. He is projected to be the #19 guard the rest of week 8 and he is only starting in 15% of leagues. When compared to other guards in week 9, Dwyane Wade (68.6 FP), J.J. Redick (89.9 FP), Eric Gordon (59.5 FP), Derrick Rose (81.1 FP), and D.J. Augustin (60.9 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Dragic but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 15% of leagues he is expected to produce 64.6 fantasy points (WK 9). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #60 guard of week 9. He is projected to be better than that (the #18 guard). His per game projected FP average is 26.9 which is better than his actual per game average (14.3). In addition to a solid projected FP average, he will benefit from playing 4 games.

He is projected for 107 fantasy points in week 9 (#18 G) in 4 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
107 (#18) 
Points 
64 (#17) 
Rebounds 
 
13.2 (#28)
Assists 
18 (#22) 
Steals 
 
3.8 (#31)
Blocks 
 
0.8 (#55)
3PT Made 
 
6.3 (#31)
Turnovers 
9.9 (#10) 

  • Based on 12/6 start percentages, Goran Dragic is valued behind Frazier and above Dotson but the projections rank Goran Dragic over Frazier in week 9.
  • Dec 10Dec 12Dec 14Dec 16
    26.5 FP @LAL26.8 FP @UTA25.9 FP @MEM28.5 FP @NO

    Goran Dragic last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    11/16 @IND13 FP, 14 FD, 14 DK34 Min, 8 Pts, 1 Reb, 3 Ast, 41 TS%, 16% USG
    11/14 @BKN29 FP, 27 FD, 30 DK29 Min, 21 Pts, 3 Reb, 4 Ast, 59.5 TS%, 30% USG
    11/12 vs PHI36 FP, 40 FD, 39 DK29 Min, 22 Pts, 3 Reb, 5 Ast, 60.8 TS%, 31% USG
    11/10 vs WAS6 FP, 6 FD, 8 DK21 Min, 0 Pts, 2 Reb, 3 Ast, 0 TS%, 19% USG
    11/5 @DET38 FP, 37 FD, 40 DK34 Min, 21 Pts, 7 Reb, 6 Ast, 49.8 TS%, 29% USG

    Dragic is not in the 12/6 DFS player pool, but one player who is in the Sportsline projection model FanDuel optimal lineup for both FanDuel and DraftKings is Ricky Rubio.

    LAST DAILY FANTASY PERFORMANCE 11/16 VS IND

    • 8 pts, 1 reb, 3 ast, 1 stl
    • FanDuel: $6300, 13.5 FPs (-$3002 value, -12.3 FPs)
    • DraftKings: $6200, 14.2 FPs (-$3187 value, -15 FPs)
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