headshot
Zach
Collins
College Gonzaga
Team Portland Trail Blazers
33PF
7'0"Height
235Weight
21Age
1Exp
Zach Collins's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Collins is overrated on DraftKings with a projected 11.4 DK pts (#7 among power forwards). At $3300 he is expected to be the #6 power forward. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $2.2K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Markieff Morris (13.1 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Based on salary, he is expected to have 13.4 FPs, a value reached in 46 of 84 games (55%). The combined 'cover percentage' for power forwards priced at $4.0K and above is 38%.

  • 4/19 MATCHUP: POR @ OKC, POR Vegas Line Expectation 107.2 Points (#3 most points for the day)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 11.4 Fantasy Points (#7), 4.6 pts (#7), 3.1 reb (#7), 0.7 ast (#9), 0.3 stl (#7), 0.8 blk (#4), 0.4 3pt (#7), 1 turnovers (#5 most)

FANDUEL VALUE: Based on a projected 11.1 FanDuel points, Collins is fairly ranked. He is the #11 highest priced power forward ($3800). Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Collins is worth $2.5K. Based on salary, he is expected to have 13.4 FPs, a value reached in 39 of 84 games (46%). The combined 'cover percentage' for power forwards priced at $4.0K and above is 44%.

Collins is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

He is the #214 ranked fantasy player this season and the #35 center. His center ranking drops to #47 when basing it on average fantasy points. He peaked early in the season. He averaged 14.1 FPs in his first 25 games and 11.8 FP in his final 26 games. He is young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. Based on a relatively low standard deviation, Collins can be considered a consistent fantasy player. Our projected ceiling for Collins when he 'goes off' is 34 fantasy points (his average is 12.9FPs).

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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

As a young player he improved as you would like. His average Fantasy points increased by 40% this season. His usage rate and minutes per game are fairly consistent season-to-season.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 38 fantasy points per week and had 10 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 8 weeks where he was +20% above average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 14.9 FD points and 15.6 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 5 and on FanDuel it was 5 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On Draftkings it was 26 and on FanDuel it was 25 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGMINFGFGAFGP3PT3PTA3PTPFTFTAFTPPTSPPG
2018POR77135618940047.24012133.19412674.65126.65
2017POR66104611528939.83511331.0274264.32924.42
Career (2 Seasons)143240130468944.17523432.112116872.08045.62
YEARTEAMGMINTRBRPGASTAPGSTSPGBKBPGTO
2018POR7713563244.21710.92250.32660.8677
2017POR6610462213.35520.79170.26310.4758
Career (2 Seasons)14324015453.811230.86420.29970.68135
2018-19 Situational Stats
CATEGORYGMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBASTLBLKPTSAVG
October Games71532843612161833104147811.1
November Games15278388593018216612391036.9
December Games1527032744201623581269845.6
January Games1526939841124172269186101067.1
February Games7827170391422436233.3
March Games12194266362311185211210695.8
April Games611019344971024418498.2
CATEGORYGMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBASTLBLKPTSAVG
Wins51952143292318868882255518473857.5
Losses2640346108933263899167191274.9
CATEGORYGMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBASTLBLKPTSAVG
Home Games40741115233256851701803611343067.7
Road Games3761474167155343561443514322065.6
CATEGORYGMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBASTLBLKPTSAVG
Before All-Star Game571035141298308875962455422473876.8
After All-Star Game20321481021033193079173191256.2
CATEGORYGMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBASTLBLKPTSAVG
AT&T Center - San Antonio, TX, USA111250200110044
American Airlines Center - Dallas, TX, USA2354500141013394.5
AmericanAirlines Arena - Miami, FL, USA12424128840021313
Amway Center - Orlando, FL, USA11877221162211717
Bankers Life Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN127710122233011717
Capital One Arena - Washington, DC, USA113230133330177
Chesapeake Energy Arena - Oklahoma City, O222350034811094.5
FedExForum - Memphis, TN, USA115020100300100
Fiserv Forum118342200401188
Golden 1 Center - Sacramento, CA, USA237280424810263
Little Caesars Arena - Detroit, MI, USA113130022400044
Madison Square Garden - New York, NY, USA113140100110022
Moda Center - Portland, OR, USA40741115233256851701803611343067.7
ORACLE Arena - Oakland, CA, USA23501004121322110.5
Pepsi Center - Denver, CO, USA2304835127201126
Quicken Loans Arena - Cleveland, OH, USA113120012310133
STAPLES Center - Los Angeles, CA, USA458417175610114143.5
Scotiabank Arena - Toronto, Ontario, Canad110010100410100
Smoothie King Center - New Orleans, LA, US123511022282041212
Spectrum Center - Charlotte, NC, USA115020200100000
State Farm Arena - Atlanta, GA, USA119481201911099
Talking Stick Resort Arena - Phoenix, AZ,124260033821277
Target Center - Minneapolis, MN, USA250510142210102136.5
Toyota Center - Houston, TX, USA23651313119312126
United Center - Chicago, IL, USA12546233332021313
Vivint Smart Home Arena - Salt Lake City,22641002244310105
Wells Fargo Center - Philadelphia, PA, USA14230100010044
CATEGORYGMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBASTLBLKPTSAVG
vs. Atlanta234714230112310168
vs. Boston120360100810066
vs. Brooklyn11547242442001212
vs. Charlotte234371500511273.5
vs. Chicago25110154655126132914.5
vs. Cleveland23041034344101147
vs. Dallas465715142618134174.2
vs. Denver460920372316414235.8
vs. Detroit2245913238001136.5
vs. Golden State46301705561922451.2
vs. Houston349819241112312196.3
vs. Indiana248915132364032110.5
vs. L.A. Clippers47592104101120304287
vs. L.A. Lakers4731023190293110215.2
vs. Memphis3631018355716103289.3
vs. Miami2322512885102136.5
vs. Milwaukee2426935229011178.5
vs. Minnesota490918278815112287
vs. New Orleans3601228273413715299.7
vs. New York2354100213711294.5
vs. Oklahoma City33757005612110155
vs. Orlando23910133511132212412
vs. Philadelphia2305701146511115.5
vs. Phoenix367617025519533175.7
vs. San Antonio33461226128110155
vs. Sacramento350714154614202196.3
vs. Toronto2316913348212168
vs. Utah4719261771018511266.5
vs. Washington2324902678303147
CATEGORYGMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBASTLBLKPTSAVG
Regular Season Games77135618940040121941263247125665126.6
Overall77135618940040121941263247125665126.6
2018 Game Log
OCTOBERSHOOTINGREBOUNDSSTATS
DATETEAMOPPRESULTMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBTREBASTLBLKTOPFPTS
10/18vsW 128-1192634010056206156
10/20vsW 121-10815452312450102411
10/22vsL125-1241926013435002227
10/25@W128-11418772211462211417
10/27@L120-11124241288340020413
10/29@W103-93277101222333011217
10/30@W104-852437011134312357
NOVEMBERSHOOTINGREBOUNDSSTATS
DATETEAMOPPRESULTMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBTREBASTLBLKTOPFPTS
11/01vsW 132-1191738241201101049
11/03vsL114-110185100302111012210
11/04vsW 111-8118251266220002311
11/06vsW 118-1032435132235000419
11/08vsW 116-10527360144690001210
11/11vsW 100-942036010038100016
11/14@L126-1171627140000011225
11/16@L112-962425120078000125
11/18@W119-1091323013333301467
11/20@W118-1141314010011100152
11/21@L143-1001834220024011028
11/23@L125-971804010079210410
11/25vsL104-1001947011123203069
11/28vsW 115-1122136130047000137
11/30vsL113-1121125011125101045
DECEMBERSHOOTINGREBOUNDSSTATS
DATETEAMOPPRESULTMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBTREBASTLBLKTOPFPTS
12/02@L131-1181125020011100134
12/04@L111-1021712000011011002
12/06vsW 108-8626460122251110210
12/08vsW 113-1052223010023010114
12/11@L111-1041226120025000115
12/12@L92-831502010033001120
12/14vsW 128-12221681234241110116
12/17@W131-1271714004424101146
12/19vsW 99-9226361233571011210
12/21vsL120-902128030025100134
12/23vsW 121-1181825120066001105
12/25@L117-9615460124232002210
12/27@W110-1091706031244011101
12/29vsL115-105603000011000000
12/30vsW 129-952634001456411027
JANUARYSHOOTINGREBOUNDSSTATS
DATETEAMOPPRESULTMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBTREBASTLBLKTOPFPTS
01/01@W113-1081527030034100114
01/04vsL111-1091522002244000006
01/05vsW 110-1011336110013000017
01/07vsW 111-1012236011346012137
01/09vsW 124-11226692322794111616
01/11vsW 127-961935130044112137
01/13@L116-1131434230023100148
01/14@L115-1072201012434002042
01/16vsW 129-11217383422010000611
01/18vsW 128-1121949010034410058
01/21@W109-1041104010011110000
01/22@L123-1141223000026100114
01/24@W120-1062426003358212237
01/26vsW 120-1111536110013200237
01/30vsW 132-10523381256391011212
FEBRUARYSHOOTINGREBOUNDSSTATS
DATETEAMOPPRESULTMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBTREBASTLBLKTOPFPTS
02/05vsL118-108801000011100100
02/07vsW 127-118702010022000000
02/10@L102-1011833001469122257
02/11@L120-1111012003402010015
02/13vsW 129-1072204014435003014
02/23@W130-115423010000100004
02/25@W123-1101312001233101113
MARCHSHOOTINGREBOUNDSSTATS
DATETEAMOPPRESULTMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBTREBASTLBLKTOPFPTS
03/01@L119-1171001010024101320
03/03@W118-1081502020011000030
03/09vsW 127-1201705010056210320
03/12@W125-1041314021244000013
03/15@W122-110235110222382040312
03/18vsW 106-982125010133102024
03/20vsW 126-1181215021222000123
03/23vsW 117-1121146130124001009
03/25vsW 148-14415472424342000312
03/27@W118-9825462333232020213
03/29@W118-981948120169110119
03/30@L99-901313002224000304
APRILSHOOTINGREBOUNDSSTATS
DATETEAMOPPRESULTMINFGFGAFG3FG3AFTFTAREBTREBASTLBLKTOPFPTS
04/01@W132-1222735022222102228
04/03vsW 116-89227102224360010218
04/05@L119-1101614121234101114
04/07vsW 115-1081937010024112316
04/09@W104-1011302010012002210
04/10vsW 136-13113561122361000313