LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN

Before the season, the Cardinals were projected to win 6.9 games (average per simulation) but it does not look like they are going to reach that. On 8/17 their projected win total was up to 7.5 before dropping to 3.7 on 10/19. From the start of the season to now their projected win total is down significantly to 4.1 wins.

Strength of Schedule Getting Easier

• Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #10 Toughest
• Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 56% #6 Toughest

Cardinals' Season Forecast Changes

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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. Even at 2-7 the Cardinals are just slightly behind their money line projected win total of 3 wins. They have 2 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 2 good wins (upset wins, or blowout victory in what was expected to be a close game). They have come up especially short at home. Their 1-4 home record is -22% lower than their expected win percentage. Over the past 3 weeks they have played better going 1-1, 50%. Cardinals fans have to be disappointed that they have fallen well short of their pre-season expectations where they were #0 in the league in power ranking. In simulations where the Cardinals played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 31.3% of the time (#31 in the league). Their peak rank was #0 in the league back on 5/2.

They are a very poor scoring team based on points per game and below average in yards per play. They are a below average scoring defense based on points per game and below average in yards per play allowed.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: RAIN

The Cardinals next 4 game forecast looks pretty dreary. They are are the clear underdog in 3 out of the 4 games, and just one game where they are expected to be competitive. They win three games in 11.1% of simulations.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game
NOV 18
LIKELY WIN
61% OAK
--
NOV 25
LIKELY LOSS
20% @LAC
348 miles
DEC 2
LIKELY LOSS
25% @GB
1497 miles
DEC 9
LIKELY LOSS
38% DET
--
DEC 16
LIKELY LOSS
28% @ATL
1600 miles
DEC 23
LIKELY LOSS
14% LAR
--
DEC 30
LIKELY LOSS
26% @SEA
1105 miles

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FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.