|Week 1||Thu 9/6|
|Week 2||Sun 9/16|
|Week 3||Sun 9/23|
|L / OT37-43|
|Week 4||Sun 9/30|
|Week 5||Sun 10/7|
|Week 6||Sun 10/14|
|Week 7||Mon 10/22|
|Week 9||Sun 11/4|
|Week 10||Sun 11/11|
|Week 11||Sun 11/18|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN
The Falcons are competing to make the playoffs but their chances are on a downward trend. In our pre-season forecast they had a 40% chance of making the playoffs. On 9/17 they had a 61.8% chance before dropping to 11.5% on 10/15. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 17.1%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the NFC at 2% (50/1 odds) and a 1% chance of winning it all (100/1).
Strength of Schedule Getting Tougher
Falcons' Season Forecast Changes
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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: D
Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 4-5 the Falcons are behind their money line projected win total of 5.1 wins. They have 3 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs just one good win. Their performance on the road has left a lot to be desired. Their 1-3 road record is -25% lower than their expected win percentage. Over the past 3 weeks they have played better going 2-1, 67%. The Falcons should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 53.1% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#14 in the league). They have moved up from #17 in the league back on 10/23.
They are an elite scoring team based on points per game, which make sense given their strong yards per play rank. They are a very poor scoring defense based on points per game and below average in yards per play allowed.
TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):
NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: RAIN
The forecast for their next 4 games can be described as 'cloudy'. They have 2 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and 2 games where they are a clear underdog. They have a 2.7 percent chance of winning four over this stretch.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
FANTASY TEAM LEADERS
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|23||Alford, Robert||CB||5-10||186||11/01/1988||6||Southeastern Louisiana|
|5||Bosher, Matt||P||6-0||208||10/18/1987||8||Miami (FL)|
|55||Carter, Bruce||LB||6-2||240||02/19/1988||8||North Carolina|
|95||Crawford, Jack||DT||6-5||274||09/07/1988||7||Penn State|
|63||Garland, Ben||G||6-5||308||04/06/1988||5||Air Force|
|77||Gono, Matt||T||6-4||305||05/10/1996||0||Wesley College|
|14||Hardy, Justin||WR||5-10||192||12/18/1991||4||East Carolina|
|52||Irvin, Bruce||DE||6-3||250||11/01/1987||7||West Virginia|
|27||Kazee, Damontae||SS||5-11||174||06/05/1993||2||San Diego State|
|70||Matthews, Jake||T||6-5||309||02/11/1992||5||Texas A&M|
|99||McClain, Terrell||DT||6-2||300||07/20/1988||8||South Florida|
|41||Neasman, Sharrod||DB||6-0||198||10/14/1991||3||Florida Atlantic|
|30||Ortiz, Ricky||FB||6-0||236||04/15/1992||1||Oregon State|
|2||Ryan, Matt||QB||6-4||217||05/17/1985||11||Boston College|
|74||Sambrailo, Ty||T||6-5||311||03/10/1992||4||Colorado State|
|73||Schraeder, Ryan||T||6-7||300||05/04/1988||6||Valdosta State|
|71||Schweitzer, Wes||G||6-4||300||09/11/1993||3||San Jose State|
|94||Senat, Deadrin||DT||6-0||314||07/22/1994||0||South Florida|
|25||Smith, Ito||RB||5-9||195||09/11/1995||0||Southern Miss|
|35||Tandy, Keith||DB||5-10||205||02/12/1989||7||West Virginia|