SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Dominant time of possession and the best secondary will hold teams to under 18 ppg. Losing 35 year olds (Weddle, Suggs) is never going to be that big a loss. If the Ravens average 23 ppg they should be +85 to +90 in differential for the season which translates to a 10+ win team. If strength of schedule was the same the Ravens would be ahead of the Steelers but SOS is not the same which is why they are behind the Steelers in key metrics including % chance to win the division, make the playoffs, win the Super Bowl, etc. Their championship odds are 40/1, 2.4% (#17 best). They win the Super Bowl in 2.8% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. They are also a good bet to win the AFC at 20/1, 4.8%. Their sim chance is 5.8%. The Ravens are averaging 8.9 wins per sim which makes them a decent bet to win over 8.5 games. At +170 the Ravens are a good value to make the playoffs with a 47.6% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 4/1, 20%. They win the division in 25.5% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the AFC.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Their 10-6 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 9.3-6.7. They went 8-8 against the spread (-80 loss). More of their games came in under (9) than went over (7). They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the Miami Dolphins. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE STATS WITH LEAGUE RANKINGS

They are an above average scoring team based on points per game, despite a lower offensive TD per play rate. They are an elite scoring defense, which make sense given their strong yards per play allowed rank.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Mark Andrews who is projected to be the #10 TE. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.