Baltimore
Ravens
Stadium M&T Bank Stadium
4-5-0 Overall | 1-3 AFC NORTH 3rd
TEAM STATSRUSHINGPASSINGPTS/G
Offense92.7283.623.7
Defense99.8224.917.8
Schedule
Regular season
Week 1Sun  9/9
vs
Bills
W47-3
Week 2Thu  9/13
@
Bengals
L23-34
Week 3Sun  9/23
vs
Broncos
W27-14
Week 4Sun  9/30
@
Steelers
W26-14
Week 5Sun  10/7
@
Browns
L / OT9-12
Week 6Sun  10/14
@
Titans
W21-0
Week 7Sun  10/21
vs
Saints
L23-24
Week 8Sun  10/28
@
Panthers
L21-36
Week 9Sun  11/4
vs
Steelers
L16-23
Week 11Sun  11/18
vs
Bengals
CBS1:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN

The Ravens are competing to make the playoffs but their chances are on a downward trend. In our pre-season forecast they had a 63.6% chance of making the playoffs. On 10/5 they had a 90.3% chance before dropping to 13.3% on 11/11. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 16.8%. Before the start of their 3 game losing streak they were at 86.1%. They have a 3.6% chance of winning their division. Oddsmakers have them at 5/1 to win the division which has an implied probability of 16.7%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AFC at 2.2% (45/1 odds) and a 1% chance of winning it all (100/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 44% #10 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 67% #1 Toughest

Ravens' Season Forecast Changes

Stream Baltimore games with SlingTV

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 4-5 the Ravens are behind their money line projected win total of 5.2 wins. They have been below expectations on the road and at home. Their 2-3 road record is -12% lower than expected. Their 2-2 home record is -12% lower. Losers of 3 in a row they have a 8.1% chance of seeing that extend to 5 straight, but they also have a 25.6% chance of turning things around and winning their next 3 games. The Ravens are a good team (in simulations) and won 55.6% of the simulations vs every other team playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#9 in the league). Their peak rank was #3 in the league back on 10/16.

They are an average team in points per game. Offensively, they are the #17 ranked team in yards per play. They are the #18 ranked team in offensive TD rate [(PassTD + RushTD) / (Pass Att + Rush Att)]. They are an elite scoring defense, which make sense given their strong yards per play allowed rank.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: MIX

The forecast for their next 4 games is a mixed bag. They have 2 likely wins where they are winning >62% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -5 point favorite, and just 1 game where they are a clear underdog. They have a 6.4 percent chance of winning four over this stretch.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

NOV 18
LIKELY WIN
63% CIN
--
NOV 25
LIKELY WIN
78% OAK
--
DEC 2
CLOSE GAME
52% @ATL
577 miles
DEC 9
LIKELY LOSS
29% @KC
956 miles
DEC 16
LIKELY WIN
73% TB
--
DEC 22
LIKELY LOSS
30% @LAC
2320 miles
DEC 30
LIKELY WIN
67% CLE
--

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
37 Allen, Javorius RB6-021808/27/19914USC
89 Andrews, Mark TE6-425609/06/19950Oklahoma
28 Averett, Anthony CB5-1117811/30/19940Alabama
49 Board, Chris LB6-222907/23/19950North Dakota State
54 Bowser, Tyus LB6-324205/23/19952Houston
86 Boyle, Nick TE6-427002/17/19934Delaware
77 Bozeman, Bradley G6-331711/24/19940Alabama
13 Brown, John WR5-1117804/03/19905Pittsburg State
78 Brown, Orlando T6-834505/02/19960Oklahoma
24 Carr, Brandon CB6-021005/19/198611Grand Valley State
36 Clark, Chuck DB6-020504/19/19952Virginia Tech
34 Collins, Alex RB5-1020808/26/19943Arkansas
46 Cox, Morgan LS6-423504/26/19869Tennessee
15 Crabtree, Michael WR6-121509/14/198710Texas Tech
35 Edwards, Gus RB6-123804/13/19950Rutgers
71 Eluemunor, Jermaine G6-433512/13/19942Texas A&M
5 Flacco, Joe QB6-624501/16/198511Delaware
55 Grasu, Hroniss G6-330108/12/19914Oregon
3 Griffin III, Robert QB6-221302/12/19906Baylor
29 Humphrey, Marlon CB6-019707/08/19962Alabama
81 Hurst, Hayden TE6-424508/24/19930South Carolina
74 Hurst, James T6-531012/17/19915North Carolina
8 Jackson, Lamar QB6-221201/07/19970Louisville
23 Jefferson, Tony SS5-1121101/27/19926Oklahoma
27 Jones, Cyrus CB5-1019511/29/19933Alabama
99 Judon, Matt OLB6-326108/15/19923Grand Valley State
4 Koch, Sam P6-122208/13/198213Nebraska
17 Lasley, Jordan WR6-121311/13/19960UCLA
41 Levine, Anthony DB5-1120703/27/19877Tennessee State
72 Lewis, Alex G6-630504/21/19923Nebraska
88 Montgomery, Ty RB6-021601/22/19934Stanford
10 Moore, Chris WR6-120006/16/19933Cincinnati
57 Mosley, C.J. ILB6-225006/19/19925Alabama
48 Onwuasor, Patrick ILB6-022708/22/19923Portland State
97 Pierce, Michael DT6-034011/06/19923Samford
42 Ricard, Patrick FB6-331105/27/19942Maine
95 Sieler, Zach DE6-629009/07/19950Ferris State
68 Skura, Matt C6-331302/17/19932Duke
22 Smith, Jimmy CB6-221007/26/19888Colorado
90 Smith, Za'Darius OLB6-427209/08/19924Kentucky
83 Snead, Willie WR5-1120510/17/19924Ball State
79 Stanley, Ronnie T6-631503/18/19943Notre Dame
55 Suggs, Terrell OLB6-326510/11/198216Arizona State
9 Tucker, Justin K6-118311/21/19897Texas
96 Urban, Brent DE6-730005/05/19915Virginia
32 Weddle, Eric FS5-1119501/04/198512Utah
98 Williams, Brandon DE6-133602/21/19896Missouri Southern State
87 Williams, Maxx TE6-425204/12/19944Minnesota
56 Williams, Tim LB6-325211/12/19932Alabama
93 Wormley, Chris NT6-530010/25/19932Michigan
73 Yanda, Marshal G6-330509/15/198412Iowa
40 Young, Kenny ILB6-123411/15/19940UCLA
25 Young, Tavon CB5-918503/14/19943Temple