SCOUT ANALYST TAKE

The Ravens were one miraculous Pat Mahomes play away from going 7-0 with Lamar Jackson to end last season. Their playoff loss had more to do with ball security issues than anything else. The defense will be great. They lost big names but they replaced it with youth and speed.

2019 SEASON PROJECTION

The Ravens may take a step back next season. They won a higher percentage of games than their neutral win percentage would indicate. The computer gives them a 2.9% chance of winning the Super Bowl making them a good value at 40/1, 2.4%. They are also a good bet to win the conference with a 5.5% chance at 20/1, 4.8%.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The sum of all of their 2018 season money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 9.3 wins. Their 10 actual wins was above expectation. They went 4-4 on the road and were expected to win 3.7. Their 75% home win percentage was as expected (69.6%). Anyone who backed the Ravens in all of their games on the money line would have earned a +174 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the spread, they have lost -80 units risking 110 to win 100 (8-8 ATS). The Ravens have turned an ATS profit on the road but have lost at home. Below is a recap of all 16 regular games.

They are an above average scoring team based on points per game, despite a lower offensive TD per play rate. They are an elite scoring defense, which make sense given their strong yards per play allowed rank.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE: