Buffalo
Bills
Stadium New Era Field
10-6-0 Overall | 3-3 AFC EAST 2nd
TEAM STATSRUSHINGPASSINGPTS/G
Offense128.4217.319.6
Defense103.1213.816.2
Schedule
Preseason
Week 2Thu  8/8
vs
Colts
W24-16
Week 3Fri  8/16
@
Panthers
W27-14
Week 4Fri  8/23
@
Lions
W24-20
Week 5Thu  8/29
vs
Vikings
W27-23
Regular season
Week 1Sun  9/8
@
Jets
W17-16
Week 2Sun  9/15
@
Giants
W28-14
Week 3Sun  9/22
vs
Bengals
W21-17
Week 4Sun  9/29
vs
Patriots
L10-16
Week 5Sun  10/6
@
Titans
W14-7
Week 7Sun  10/20
vs
Dolphins
W31-21
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Bills are not contenders to win the Super Bowl at 100/1, 1%. They are one of 3 teams with these odds (#25 in the league). While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the Super Bowl is under 0.1 percent. In simulations, they win the AFC 0.2% of the time and are not a good value at 50/1, 2%. Our projection is leaning on them to win under 7 games. The Bills are averaging 6.6 wins per sim. At +400 the Bills are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 10.5% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 8/1, 11.1%. They win the division in 3.7% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the AFC.

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Their 6-10 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 5-11. They were not good against the spread going 7-9 (-290 loss). More of their games came in under (9) than went over (7). Based on computer simulations they only have a 38% chance to beat the Jets in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE STATS WITH LEAGUE RANKINGS

They are a very poor scoring team based on points per game and a below average offensive TD per play rate. They are a below average scoring defense based on points per game, despite having a much better yards per play allowed rank.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Josh Allen who is projected to be the #19 QB. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
--- Addison, Mario LB6-326009/06/198710Troy
17 Allen, Josh QB6-523705/21/19963Wyoming
5 Barkley, Matt QB6-223409/08/19908USC
71 Bates, Ryan T6-430202/14/19972Penn State
10 Beasley, Cole WR5-817404/26/19899SMU
--- Becker, Nate TE6-526403/24/19961Miami (OH)
65 Boettger, Ike G6-631310/05/19943Iowa
9 Bojorquez, Corey P6-020809/13/19963New Mexico
15 Brown, John WR5-1117804/03/19907Pittsburg State
--- Butler, Vernon DT6-433006/14/19945Louisiana Tech
80 Croom, Jason TE6-524602/28/19943Tennessee
73 Dawkins, Dion T6-532004/26/19944Temple
42 DiMarco, Patrick RB6-123404/30/19899South Carolina
--- Diggs, Stefon WR6-019111/29/19936Maryland
--- Dodson, Tyrel LB6-023706/25/19981Texas A&M
--- Easley, Nick WR5-1120501/14/19971Iowa
49 Edmunds, Tremaine MLB6-525005/02/19983Virginia Tech
76 Feliciano, Jon G6-432502/10/19926Miami (FL)
69 Ferguson, Reid LS6-223503/24/19944LSU
70 Ford, Cody T6-332912/28/19962Oklahoma
16 Foster, Robert WR6-219605/07/19943Alabama
4 Hauschka, Stephen K6-421006/29/198513NC State
55 Hughes, Jerry DE6-225408/13/198811TCU
23 Hyde, Micah SS6-019712/31/19908Iowa
--- Jefferson, Quinton DE6-429103/31/19935Maryland
92 Johnson, Darryl DE6-625304/04/19972North Carolina A&T
46 Johnson, Jaquan DB5-1019111/13/19952Miami (FL)
24 Johnson, Taron CB5-1119207/27/19963Weber State
50 Joseph, Vosean LB6-123012/15/19972Florida
--- Klein, A.J. OLB6-124007/30/19918Iowa State
88 Knox, Dawson TE6-425411/14/19962Ole Miss
81 Kroft, Tyler TE6-625210/15/19926Rutgers
47 Lewis, Cam CB5-918304/13/19971Buffalo
61 Long, Spencer C6-531811/08/19907Nebraska
98 Lotulelei, Star DT6-231512/20/19898Utah
56 Love, Mike DE6-325501/22/19942South Florida
31 Marlowe, Dean SS6-120807/25/19924James Madison
--- McCloud, Ray-Ray WR5-919010/15/19963Clemson
58 Milano, Matt OLB6-022307/28/19944Boston College
60 Morse, Mitch C6-630504/21/19926Missouri
93 Murphy, Trent DE6-626012/22/19907Stanford
33 Neal, Siran DB6-020608/04/19943Jacksonville State
--- Norman, Josh CB6-020012/15/19879Coastal Carolina
77 Nsekhe, Ty T6-833010/27/19856Texas State
91 Oliver, Ed DT6-128712/12/19972Houston
--- Phillips, Del'Shawn LB6-223010/09/19961Illinois
99 Phillips, Harrison DT6-330701/25/19963Stanford
21 Poyer, Jordan FS6-019104/25/19918Oregon State
18 Roberts, Andre WR5-1119501/09/198811The Citadel
--- Salako, Victor T6-631611/04/19934No College
26 Singletary, Devin RB5-720309/03/19972Florida Atlantic
85 Smith, Lee TE6-626511/21/198710Marshall
67 Spain, Quinton G6-433008/07/19916West Virginia
89 Sweeney, Tommy TE6-425107/01/19952Boston College
96 Taylor, Vincent DT6-331101/05/19944Oklahoma State
52 Thompson, Corey LB6-12220Louisiana State University - S
--- Vedvik, Kaare K6-321003/16/19941Marshall
45 Wade, Christian RB5-718505/15/19911No College
39 Wallace, Levi DB6-017906/12/19953Alabama
--- Webb, Davis QB6-522501/22/19953California
27 White, Tre'Davious CB5-1119201/16/19954LSU
82 Williams, Duke WR6-322505/13/19932Auburn
--- Woodard, Jonathan DE6-527109/19/19933Central Arkansas
22 Yeldon, T.J. RB6-122310/02/19936Alabama