|Week 1||Sun 9/9|
|Week 2||Sun 9/16|
|Week 3||Sun 9/23|
|Week 4||Sun 9/30|
|Week 5||Sun 10/7|
|Week 6||Sun 10/14|
|Week 7||Sun 10/21|
|Week 8||Mon 10/29|
|Week 9||Sun 11/4|
|Week 10||Sun 11/11|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-
Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 3-7 the Bills are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 2.2 wins. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 2-4 road record is +11% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (1-3, 25%) is pretty much what was expected of them and mirrors their season overall. In simulations where the Bills played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 32.3% of the time (#30 in the league). Their peak rank was #26 in the league back on 9/25.
They are a very poor scoring team based on points per game and below average in yards per play. They are a below average scoring defense based on points per game, despite having a much better yards per play allowed rank.
TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):
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NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: RAIN
The Bills next 4 game forecast looks pretty dreary. They are are the clear underdog in 4 out of the 4 games. They have a 1.5 percent chance of winning four over this stretch.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)
Before the season, the Bills were projected to win 6.3 games (average per simulation), and their projected win total has been up and down this season. On 8/17 their projected win total was up to 6.6 before dropping to 4 on 11/9. From the start of the season to now their projected win total is down significantly to 5 wins.
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier
Bills' Season Forecast Changes
FANTASY TEAM LEADERS
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|3||Anderson, Derek||QB||6-6||235||06/15/1983||14||Oregon State|
|13||Benjamin, Kelvin||WR||6-5||245||02/05/1991||5||Florida State|
|66||Bodine, Russell||C||6-3||308||06/30/1992||5||North Carolina|
|20||Bush, Rafael||DB||5-11||203||05/12/1987||8||South Carolina State|
|42||DiMarco, Patrick||RB||6-1||234||04/30/1989||7||South Carolina|
|49||Edmunds, Tremaine||MLB||6-5||250||05/02/1998||0||Virginia Tech|
|4||Hauschka, Stephen||K||6-4||210||06/29/1985||11||NC State|
|33||Ivory, Chris||RB||6-0||223||03/22/1988||9||Tiffin University|
|24||Johnson, Taron||CB||5-11||192||07/27/1996||0||Weber State|
|11||Jones, Zay||WR||6-2||200||03/30/1995||2||East Carolina|
|44||Lacey, Deon||LB||6-3||235||07/18/1990||2||West Alabama|
|58||Milano, Matt||OLB||6-0||223||07/28/1994||2||Boston College|
|79||Mills, Jordan||T||6-5||316||12/24/1990||6||Louisiana Tech|
|29||Neal, Siran||DB||6-0||206||08/04/1994||0||Jacksonville State|
|21||Poyer, Jordan||FS||6-0||191||04/25/1991||6||Oregon State|
|75||Teller, Wyatt||G||6-4||314||11/21/1994||0||Virginia Tech|
|82||Thomas, Logan||TE||6-6||250||07/01/1991||4||Virginia Tech|