NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: MIX

The Panthers next 4 game forecast looks like a mix of 'clouds and sun'. They have 4 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and no games where they are a clear underdog. They win four games in 7.5% of simulations.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game
NOV 18
CLOSE GAME
55% @DET
506 miles
NOV 25
CLOSE GAME
45% SEA
--
DEC 2
CLOSE GAME
54% @TB
511 miles
DEC 9
CLOSE GAME
48% @CLE
437 miles
DEC 17
LIKELY LOSS
31% NO
--
DEC 23
CLOSE GAME
55% ATL
--
DEC 30
LIKELY LOSS
32% @NO
649 miles

Stream Carolina games with SlingTV

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A-

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 6-3 the Panthers are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 4.5 wins. If you consider winning as an underdog or winning by 10+ as a slight favorite, then they have 2 good wins and one bad loss. They have exceeded expectations in home games. Their 5-0 home record is +40% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (3-1, 75%) is better than their expected 45% win percentage. The Panthers should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 51.3% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#17 in the league). Their peak rank was #9 in the league back on 11/6.

They are an above average scoring team based on points per game, despite a relatively low yards per play rank. They are a below average scoring defense based on points per game, despite having a much better yards per play allowed rank.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

The Panthers are contenders to win the conference, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 3.9% chance of reaching the Super Bowl. On 10/19 they had a 1.5% chance before increasing to 7.4% on 11/6. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 3.1%. They have a 4.7% chance of winning their division. Oddsmakers have them at 4/1 to win the division which has an implied probability of 20%. They are projected to finish #5 in the conference and have a 58% chance of making the playoffs. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the NFC at 4.8% (20/1 odds) and a 2.4% chance of winning it all (40/1). In simulations they win the Super Bowl 1.2% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

• Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 57% #4 Toughest
• Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 43% #4 Easiest

Panthers' Championship Forecast Changes

FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.