|Week 1||Sun 9/9|
|Week 2||Sun 9/16|
|Week 3||Sun 9/23|
|Week 5||Sun 10/7|
|Week 6||Sun 10/14|
|Week 7||Sun 10/21|
|Week 8||Sun 10/28|
|Week 9||Sun 11/4|
|Week 10||Thu 11/8|
|Week 11||Sun 11/18|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: MIX
The Panthers next 4 game forecast looks like a mix of 'clouds and sun'. They have 4 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and no games where they are a clear underdog. They win four games in 7.5% of simulations.
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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A-
Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 6-3 the Panthers are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 4.5 wins. If you consider winning as an underdog or winning by 10+ as a slight favorite, then they have 2 good wins and one bad loss. They have exceeded expectations in home games. Their 5-0 home record is +40% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (3-1, 75%) is better than their expected 45% win percentage. The Panthers should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 51.3% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#17 in the league). Their peak rank was #9 in the league back on 11/6.
They are an above average scoring team based on points per game, despite a relatively low yards per play rank. They are a below average scoring defense based on points per game, despite having a much better yards per play allowed rank.
TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)
The Panthers are contenders to win the conference, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 3.9% chance of reaching the Super Bowl. On 10/19 they had a 1.5% chance before increasing to 7.4% on 11/6. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 3.1%. They have a 4.7% chance of winning their division. Oddsmakers have them at 4/1 to win the division which has an implied probability of 20%. They are projected to finish #5 in the conference and have a 58% chance of making the playoffs. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the NFC at 4.8% (20/1 odds) and a 2.4% chance of winning it all (40/1). In simulations they win the Super Bowl 1.2% of the time.
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
Panthers' Championship Forecast Changes
FANTASY TEAM LEADERS
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|40||Armah, Alex||FB||6-2||255||05/17/1994||2||West Georgia|
|92||Butler, Vernon||DT||6-4||330||06/14/1994||3||Louisiana Tech|
|18||Byrd, Damiere||WR||5-9||180||01/27/1993||3||South Carolina|
|38||Cadet, Travaris||RB||6-1||210||02/01/1989||7||Appalachian State|
|74||Clark, Chris||T||6-5||305||10/01/1985||9||Southern Miss|
|35||Elder, Corn||CB||5-10||185||10/09/1994||2||Miami (FL)|
|9||Gano, Graham||K||6-2||202||04/09/1987||9||Florida State|
|98||Haynes, Marquis||DE||6-2||235||12/16/1993||0||Ole Miss|
|6||Heinicke, Taylor||QB||6-1||210||03/15/1993||3||Old Dominion|
|53||Jacobs, Ben||LB||6-4||240||04/17/1988||4||Fresno State|
|44||Jansen, J.J.||LS||6-2||235||01/20/1986||11||Notre Dame|
|59||Kuechly, Luke||MLB||6-3||238||04/20/1991||7||Boston College|
|93||Love, Kyle||DT||6-1||310||11/18/1986||7||Mississippi State|
|63||Mahon, Brendan||G||6-4||320||01/17/1995||0||Penn State|
|55||Mayo, David||OLB||6-2||245||08/08/1993||4||Texas State|
|72||Moton, Taylor||T||6-5||325||08/18/1994||2||Western Michigan|
|41||Munnerlyn, Captain||DB||5-9||195||04/10/1988||10||South Carolina|
|94||Obada, Efe||DE||6-6||265||04/13/1992||1||No College|
|88||Olsen, Greg||TE||6-5||255||03/11/1985||12||Miami (FL)|
|90||Peppers, Julius||DE||6-7||295||01/18/1980||17||North Carolina|
|10||Samuel, Curtis||WR||5-11||195||08/11/1996||2||Ohio State|
|65||Silatolu, Amini||T||6-4||305||09/16/1988||6||Midwestern State|
|57||Smith, Andre||LB||6-0||240||04/20/1997||0||North Carolina|
|73||Van Roten, Greg||G||6-3||305||02/26/1990||4||Pennsylvania|