SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

It looked like the Bears were going to be 0-2, two games behind the Packers with a head-to-head loss at home. They had a 33 percent chance to win the division in the preseason and that would have plummeted down to 7 percent if they lost. After the bad roughing the passer call, the 1 second they got from the refs and the huge 52 yard FG from Eddy Pineiro their post-season chances stay alive. Their odds to win it all are 25/1, 3.8% (#12). They are not a good bet to win the Super Bowl. Their 1.7% chance is #10 in the league. In simulations, they win the NFC 4.2% of the time and are not a good value at 12/1, 7.7%. They are projected to win 9 games and live up to their pre-season futures line of 9. Their playoff chances stand at 32.3% (15.7% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the NFC.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on the money lines, the Bears had an expected win percentage of 60% after 2 games. At 1-1, they are short of expectations in this early part of the season. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down 35 units. They are 0-2 against the spread for a -220 loss. Their under-over record is 2-0. Their 12-4 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 9.6-6.4. Their ATS record was the same as their win-loss record and they turned a strong +760 profit. They went over 8 times and came in under 8 times. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Washington Redskins. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE STATS WITH LEAGUE RANKINGS

They are an above average scoring team based on points per game, despite a relatively low yards per play rank. They are an elite scoring defense, which makes sense given their TD per play allowed rate.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by David Montgomery who is projected to be the #20 RB the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.