Cincinnati
Bengals
Stadium Paul Brown Stadium
5-4-0 Overall | 1-1 AFC NORTH 2nd
TEAM STATSRUSHINGPASSINGPTS/G
Offense94.7259.926.1
Defense141.2323.432
Schedule
Regular season
Week 1Sun  9/9
@
Colts
W34-23
Week 2Thu  9/13
vs
Ravens
W34-23
Week 3Sun  9/23
@
Panthers
L21-31
Week 4Sun  9/30
@
Falcons
W37-36
Week 5Sun  10/7
vs
Dolphins
W27-17
Week 6Sun  10/14
vs
Steelers
L21-28
Week 7Sun  10/21
@
Chiefs
L10-45
Week 8Sun  10/28
vs
Buccaneers
W37-34
Week 10Sun  11/11
vs
Saints
L14-51
Week 11Sun  11/18
@
Ravens
CBS1:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

The Bengals are competing to make the playoffs and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had an 8.9% chance of making the playoffs. On 9/5 they had an 8.4% chance before increasing to 54.7% on 10/12. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 23.4%. They have a 8% chance of winning their division. Oddsmakers have them at 5/2 to win the division which has an implied probability of 28.6%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AFC at 1.1% (90/1 odds) and a 0.5% chance of winning it all (200/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 37% #0 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 63% #4 Toughest

Bengals' Season Forecast Changes

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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 5-4 the Bengals are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 4.2 wins. If you consider winning as an underdog or winning by 10+ as a slight favorite, then they have 3 good wins and one bad loss. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 2-2 road record is +10% better than their expected win percentage. Over the past 3 weeks they have played poorly going 1-2, 33%. In simulations where the Bengals played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 45.7% of the time (#21 in the league). Their peak rank was #11 in the league back on 10/9.

They are an above average scoring team based on points per game, despite a relatively low yards per play rank. They are a very poor scoring defense based on points per game and below average in yards per play allowed.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: RAIN

The forecast for their next 4 games can be described as 'cloudy'. They have 2 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and 2 games where they are a clear underdog. They win four games in 2% of simulations.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

NOV 18
LIKELY LOSS
37% @BAL
423 miles
NOV 25
CLOSE GAME
45% CLE
--
DEC 2
CLOSE GAME
46% DEN
--
DEC 9
LIKELY LOSS
26% @LAC
1898 miles
DEC 16
LIKELY WIN
74% OAK
--
DEC 23
CLOSE GAME
41% @CLE
223 miles
DEC 30
LIKELY LOSS
26% @PIT
257 miles

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
97 Atkins, Geno DT6-130003/28/19889Georgia
30 Bates, Jessie FS6-120002/26/19970Wake Forest
--- Bell, Brandon LB6-123001/09/19951Penn State
25 Bernard, Giovani RB5-920511/22/19916North Carolina
99 Billings, Andrew DT6-132503/06/19953Baylor
65 Boling, Clint G6-530505/09/19898Georgia
83 Boyd, Tyler WR6-220311/15/19943Pittsburgh
52 Brown, Preston MLB6-125510/27/19925Louisville
4 Bullock, Randy K5-921012/16/19897Texas A&M
55 Burfict, Vontaze OLB6-125509/24/19907Arizona State
16 Core, Cody WR6-321004/17/19943Ole Miss
14 Dalton, Andy QB6-222010/29/19878TCU
21 Dennard, Darqueze DB5-1120010/10/19915Michigan State
6 Driskel, Jeff QB6-423304/23/19933Louisiana Tech
96 Dunlap, Carlos DE6-628002/28/19899Florida
12 Erickson, Alex WR6-019511/06/19923Wisconsin
50 Evans, Jordan OLB6-324201/27/19952Oklahoma
42 Fejedelem, Clayton DB6-020506/02/19933Illinois
74 Fisher, Jake T6-630504/23/19934Oregon
88 Franks, Jordan TE6-424002/01/19960UCF
77 Glenn, Cordy T6-634509/18/19897Georgia
18 Green, A.J. WR6-421007/31/19888Georgia
46 Harris, Clark LS6-525007/10/198410Rutgers
68 Hart, Bobby T6-531808/21/19944Florida State
66 Hopkins, Trey C6-331607/06/19923Texas
94 Hubbard, Sam DE6-526506/29/19950Ohio State
10 Huber, Kevin P6-121007/16/198510Cincinnati
22 Jackson, William CB6-019610/27/19923Houston
45 Jefferson, Malik LB6-224111/15/19960Texas
90 Johnson, Michael DE6-728002/07/198710Georgia Tech
27 Kirkpatrick, Dre CB6-219610/26/19897Alabama
89 Lengel, Matt TE6-726512/27/19903Eastern Kentucky
80 Malone, Josh WR6-320803/21/19962Tennessee
29 McRae, Tony CB5-1018505/03/19932North Carolina A&T
28 Mixon, Joe RB6-122007/24/19962Oklahoma
56 Nickerson, Hardy MLB6-023501/05/19942Illinois
70 Ogbuehi, Cedric T6-530804/25/19924Texas A&M
23 Phillips, Darius CB5-1019006/26/19950Western Michigan
53 Price, Billy C6-430810/11/19940Ohio State
62 Redmond, Alex G6-531001/18/19952UCLA
57 Rey, Vincent OLB6-024009/06/19878Duke
15 Ross, John WR5-1119011/27/19942Washington
20 Russell, KeiVarae CB5-1119610/19/19933Notre Dame
19 Tate, Auden WR6-522802/03/19970Florida State
91 Tupou, Josh DT6-334505/02/19942Colorado
87 Uzomah, C.J. TE6-626501/14/19934Auburn
59 Vigil, Nick OLB6-224008/20/19933Utah State
32 Walton, Mark RB5-1020203/29/19970Miami (FL)
92 Washington, Adolphus DT6-429511/24/19923Ohio State
63 Westerman, Christian G6-330502/23/19933Arizona State
36 Williams, Shawn SS6-021205/13/19916Georgia
75 Willis, Jordan DE6-427505/02/19952Kansas State
40 Wilson, Brandon DB5-1020007/27/19942Houston