|Week 1||Sun 9/9|
|Week 2||Thu 9/13|
|Week 3||Sun 9/23|
|Week 4||Sun 9/30|
|Week 5||Sun 10/7|
|Week 6||Sun 10/14|
|Week 7||Sun 10/21|
|Week 8||Sun 10/28|
|Week 10||Sun 11/11|
|Week 11||Sun 11/18|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP
The Bengals are competing to make the playoffs and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had an 8.9% chance of making the playoffs. On 9/5 they had an 8.4% chance before increasing to 54.7% on 10/12. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 23.4%. They have a 8% chance of winning their division. Oddsmakers have them at 5/2 to win the division which has an implied probability of 28.6%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AFC at 1.1% (90/1 odds) and a 0.5% chance of winning it all (200/1).
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier
Bengals' Season Forecast Changes
Stream Cincinnati games with SlingTV
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-
Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 5-4 the Bengals are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 4.2 wins. If you consider winning as an underdog or winning by 10+ as a slight favorite, then they have 3 good wins and one bad loss. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 2-2 road record is +10% better than their expected win percentage. Over the past 3 weeks they have played poorly going 1-2, 33%. In simulations where the Bengals played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 45.7% of the time (#21 in the league). Their peak rank was #11 in the league back on 10/9.
They are an above average scoring team based on points per game, despite a relatively low yards per play rank. They are a very poor scoring defense based on points per game and below average in yards per play allowed.
TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):
NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: RAIN
The forecast for their next 4 games can be described as 'cloudy'. They have 2 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and 2 games where they are a clear underdog. They win four games in 2% of simulations.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
FANTASY TEAM LEADERS
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|30||Bates, Jessie||FS||6-1||200||02/26/1997||0||Wake Forest|
|---||Bell, Brandon||LB||6-1||230||01/09/1995||1||Penn State|
|25||Bernard, Giovani||RB||5-9||205||11/22/1991||6||North Carolina|
|4||Bullock, Randy||K||5-9||210||12/16/1989||7||Texas A&M|
|55||Burfict, Vontaze||OLB||6-1||255||09/24/1990||7||Arizona State|
|16||Core, Cody||WR||6-3||210||04/17/1994||3||Ole Miss|
|21||Dennard, Darqueze||DB||5-11||200||10/10/1991||5||Michigan State|
|6||Driskel, Jeff||QB||6-4||233||04/23/1993||3||Louisiana Tech|
|68||Hart, Bobby||T||6-5||318||08/21/1994||4||Florida State|
|94||Hubbard, Sam||DE||6-5||265||06/29/1995||0||Ohio State|
|90||Johnson, Michael||DE||6-7||280||02/07/1987||10||Georgia Tech|
|89||Lengel, Matt||TE||6-7||265||12/27/1990||3||Eastern Kentucky|
|29||McRae, Tony||CB||5-10||185||05/03/1993||2||North Carolina A&T|
|70||Ogbuehi, Cedric||T||6-5||308||04/25/1992||4||Texas A&M|
|23||Phillips, Darius||CB||5-10||190||06/26/1995||0||Western Michigan|
|53||Price, Billy||C||6-4||308||10/11/1994||0||Ohio State|
|20||Russell, KeiVarae||CB||5-11||196||10/19/1993||3||Notre Dame|
|19||Tate, Auden||WR||6-5||228||02/03/1997||0||Florida State|
|59||Vigil, Nick||OLB||6-2||240||08/20/1993||3||Utah State|
|32||Walton, Mark||RB||5-10||202||03/29/1997||0||Miami (FL)|
|92||Washington, Adolphus||DT||6-4||295||11/24/1992||3||Ohio State|
|63||Westerman, Christian||G||6-3||305||02/23/1993||3||Arizona State|
|75||Willis, Jordan||DE||6-4||275||05/02/1995||2||Kansas State|