Cleveland
Browns
Stadium FirstEnergy Stadium
3-6-1 Overall | 1-1 AFC NORTH 4th
TEAM STATSRUSHINGPASSINGPTS/G
Offense133.2245.721.8
Defense132.1302.426.3
Schedule
Regular season
Week 1Sun  9/9
vs
Steelers
T / OT21-21
Week 2Sun  9/16
@
Saints
L18-21
Week 3Thu  9/20
vs
Jets
W21-17
Week 4Sun  9/30
@
Raiders
L / OT42-45
Week 5Sun  10/7
vs
Ravens
W / OT12-9
Week 6Sun  10/14
vs
Chargers
L14-38
Week 7Sun  10/21
@
Buccaneers
L / OT23-26
Week 8Sun  10/28
@
Steelers
L18-33
Week 9Sun  11/4
vs
Chiefs
L21-37
Week 10Sun  11/11
vs
Falcons
W28-16
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (UP OVERALL)

Before the season, the Browns were projected to win 5.2 games (average per simulation), and their projected win total has been up and down this season. On 9/16 their projected win total was 4.4 before increasing to 6.7 on 10/12. From the start of the season to now their projected win total is up to 5.8 wins. The playoffs are not likely with their 1.6% chance and a projected #13 finish in the conference. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AFC at 0.1% (900/1 odds) and a 0% chance of winning it all (2000/1).

Season Strength of Schedule is Relatively Hard

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #10 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 52% #11 Toughest

Browns' Season Forecast Changes

Stream Cleveland games with SlingTV

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 3-6-1 the Browns are behind their money line projected win total of 3.7 wins. If you consider winning as an underdog or winning by 10+ as a slight favorite, then they have 2 good wins and one bad loss. They have exceeded expectations in home games. Their 3-2 home record is +20% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (1-3, 25%) is pretty much what was expected of them and mirrors their season overall. In simulations where the Browns played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 40.9% of the time (#27 in the league). They have moved up from #31 in the league back on 9/13.

They are a below average scoring team based on points per game. They are the #16 ranked team based on yards per play and the #16 ranked team based on offensive TD per play. They are a below average scoring defense based on points per game and below average in yards per play allowed.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: MIX

The forecast for their next 4 games is a mixed bag. They have 2 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and 2 games where they are a clear underdog. They win four games in 3.2% of simulations.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

NOV 25
CLOSE GAME
54% @CIN
223 miles
DEC 2
LIKELY LOSS
39% @HOU
1121 miles
DEC 9
CLOSE GAME
51% CAR
--
DEC 15
LIKELY LOSS
39% @DEN
1227 miles
DEC 23
CLOSE GAME
58% CIN
--
DEC 30
LIKELY LOSS
33% @BAL
309 miles

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
52 Armstrong, Ray-Ray LB6-323503/05/19916Miami (FL)
55 Avery, Genard OLB6-025004/26/19950Memphis
75 Bitonio, Joel G6-430510/11/19915Nevada
20 Boddy-Calhoun, Briean CB5-919301/21/19933Minnesota
86 Brown, Pharaoh TE6-525805/04/19941Oregon
31 Burris, Juston CB6-021208/04/19933NC State
11 Callaway, Antonio WR5-1120001/09/19970Florida
38 Carrie, T.J. DB6-020407/28/19905Ohio
82 Charles, Orson TE6-325701/27/19913Georgia
24 Chubb, Nick RB5-1122712/27/19950Georgia
93 Coley, Trevon DT6-131007/13/19942Florida Atlantic
51 Collins, Jamie OLB6-325010/20/19896Southern Miss
4 Colquitt, Britton P6-321003/20/19859Tennessee
63 Corbett, Austin G6-430609/05/19950Nevada
94 Davis, Carl DT6-532003/02/19924Iowa
87 DeValve, Seth TE6-324501/29/19933Princeton
--- Fabiano, Anthony C6-430307/13/19931Harvard
88 Fells, Darren TE6-727004/22/19865California-Irvine
33 Gaines, Phillip CB6-019304/04/19915Rice
95 Garrett, Myles DE6-427212/29/19952Texas A&M
69 Harrison, Desmond T6-629510/08/19930West Georgia
81 Higgins, Rashard WR6-119810/07/19943Colorado State
25 Hilliard, Dontrell RB5-112020Tulane
59 Hines, D'Juan LB6-123509/13/19940Houston
74 Hubbard, Chris T6-429504/23/19915UAB
47 Hughlett, Charley LS6-424805/16/19904UCF
29 Johnson, Duke RB5-921009/23/19934Miami (FL)
17 Joseph, Greg K6-12100Florida Atlantic
26 Kindred, Derrick CB5-1021012/15/19933TCU
80 Landry, Jarvis WR5-1119611/28/19925LSU
6 Mayfield, Baker QB6-121504/14/19950Oklahoma
85 Njoku, David TE6-424607/10/19962Miami (FL)
90 Ogbah, Emmanuel DE6-427511/06/19933Oklahoma State
65 Ogunjobi, Larry DT6-330506/03/19942North Carolina-Charlotte
22 Peppers, Jabrill FS5-1121310/04/19952Michigan
19 Perriman, Breshad WR6-221509/10/19934UCF
91 Price, Brian DT6-331806/24/19942Texas-San Antonio
23 Randall, Damarious SS5-1119608/29/19924Arizona State
18 Ratley, Damion WR6-220004/16/19950Texas A&M
78 Robinson, Greg T6-533010/21/19925Auburn
53 Schobert, Joe MLB6-124511/06/19933Wisconsin
10 Scott, Da'Mari WR6-020508/08/19950Fresno State
50 Smith, Chris DE6-126602/11/19925Arkansas
9 Stanton, Drew QB6-322605/07/198412Michigan State
5 Taylor, Tyrod QB6-121708/03/19898Virginia Tech
92 Thomas, Chad DE6-527810/12/19950Miami (FL)
27 Thomas, Tavierre CB5-1020503/11/19960Ferris State
64 Tretter, JC C6-430702/12/19916Cornell
54 Vallejo, Tanner LB6-123012/16/19942Boise State
21 Ward, Denzel CB5-1119004/28/19970Ohio State
71 Watford, Earl G6-330006/24/19906James Madison
35 Whitehead, Jermaine DB5-1119503/12/19932Auburn
70 Zeitler, Kevin G6-431503/08/19907Wisconsin
97 Zettel, Anthony DE6-427008/09/19923Penn State