Dallas
Cowboys
Stadium AT&T Stadium
4-5-0 Overall | 2-1 NFC EAST 2nd
TEAM STATSRUSHINGPASSINGPTS/G
Offense133.4214.420.1
Defense96.724919
Schedule
Regular season
Week 1Sun  9/9
@
Panthers
L8-16
Week 2Sun  9/16
vs
Giants
W20-13
Week 3Sun  9/23
@
Seahawks
L13-24
Week 4Sun  9/30
vs
Lions
W26-24
Week 5Sun  10/7
@
Texans
L / OT16-19
Week 6Sun  10/14
vs
Jaguars
W40-7
Week 7Sun  10/21
@
Redskins
L17-20
Week 9Mon  11/5
vs
Titans
L14-28
Week 10Sun  11/11
@
Eagles
W27-20
Week 11Sun  11/18
@
Falcons
FOX1:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN

The Cowboys are competing to make the playoffs but their chances are on a downward trend. In our pre-season forecast they had a 42.2% chance of making the playoffs. On 10/16 they had a 44.3% chance before dropping to 11% on 11/9. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 19.7%. They have a 12.3% chance of winning their division. Oddsmakers have them at 6/1 to win the division which has an implied probability of 14.3%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the NFC at 2.8% (35/1 odds) and a 1.2% chance of winning it all (80/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 51% #8 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 48% #14 Easiest

Cowboys' Season Forecast Changes

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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 4-5 the Cowboys are behind their money line projected win total of 4.3 wins. They have 3 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 2 good wins (upset wins, or blowout victory in what was expected to be a close game). They have exceeded expectations in home games. Their 3-1 home record is +20% better than their expected win percentage. Over the past 3 weeks they have played poorly going 1-2, 33%. The Cowboys are a good team (in simulations) and won 55% of the simulations vs every other team playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#10 in the league). They have moved up from #17 in the league back on 9/24.

They are a below average scoring team based on points per game and below average in yards per play. They are an elite scoring defense. They are the #6 ranked team based on yards per play allowed and the #5 ranked team based on TD per play allowed.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: MIX

The forecast for their next 4 games is a mixed bag. They have 3 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and just 1 game where they are a clear underdog. They have a 4 percent chance of winning four over this stretch.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

NOV 18
CLOSE GAME
47% @ATL
737 miles
NOV 22
CLOSE GAME
58% WAS
--
NOV 29
LIKELY LOSS
34% NO
--
DEC 9
CLOSE GAME
50% PHI
--
DEC 16
CLOSE GAME
44% @IND
778 miles
DEC 23
LIKELY WIN
69% TB
--
DEC 30
LIKELY WIN
70% @NYG
1387 miles

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
92 Armstrong, Dorance DE6-425506/10/19970Kansas
10 Austin, Tavon WR5-818003/15/19906West Virginia
24 Awuzie, Chidobe CB6-020205/24/19952Colorado
11 Beasley, Cole WR5-818004/26/19897SMU
30 Brown, Anthony CB5-1119612/15/19933Purdue
85 Brown, Noah WR6-222501/06/19962Ohio State
97 Charlton, Taco DE6-627511/07/19942Michigan
71 Collins, La'el T6-432307/26/19934LSU
96 Collins, Maliek DT6-230804/08/19953Nebraska
19 Cooper, Amari WR6-121006/17/19944Alabama
59 Covington, Chris LB6-224501/03/19960Indiana
98 Crawford, Tyrone DT6-428511/22/19897Boise State
21 Elliott, Ezekiel RB6-022807/22/19953Ohio State
75 Fleming, Cameron T6-532009/03/19925Stanford
35 Frazier, Kavon FS6-022308/11/19943Central Michigan
13 Gallup, Michael WR6-120503/04/19960Colorado State
80 Gathers, Rico TE6-82750Baylor
94 Gregory, Randy DE6-524211/23/19922Nebraska
38 Heath, Jeff SS6-121205/14/19916Saginaw Valley State
17 Hurns, Allen WR6-120811/12/19915Miami (FL)
95 Irving, David DT6-729008/18/19934Iowa State
89 Jarwin, Blake TE6-526007/16/19942Oklahoma State
31 Jones, Byron CB6-120009/26/19924Connecticut
6 Jones, Chris P6-020507/21/19897Carson-Newman
91 LaDouceur, L.P. LS6-525603/13/198114California
90 Lawrence, Demarcus DE6-326504/28/19925Boise State
50 Lee, Sean OLB6-224507/22/19869Penn State
14 Lenoir, Lance WR6-021002/09/19951Western Illinois
27 Lewis, Jourdan CB5-1019508/31/19952Michigan
73 Looney, Joe C6-331508/31/19906Wake Forest
2 Maher, Brett K6-018011/21/19891Nebraska
53 March-Lillard, Justin LB5-1122807/05/19934Akron
70 Martin, Zack G6-431511/20/19905Notre Dame
49 Olawale, Jamize RB6-124204/17/19896North Texas
4 Prescott, Dak QB6-223507/29/19933Mississippi State
61 Redmond, Adam C6-630005/19/19931Harvard
51 Reid, Caraun DT6-230511/23/19915Princeton
93 Ross, Daniel DT6-430003/15/19932Northeast Mississippi CC
7 Rush, Cooper QB6-322511/21/19932Central Michigan
86 Schultz, Dalton TE6-526007/11/19960Stanford
54 Smith, Jaylon MLB6-224506/14/19952Notre Dame
45 Smith, Rod RB6-323501/10/19924Ohio State
77 Smith, Tyron T6-532012/12/19908USC
76 Su'a-Filo, Xavier G6-431001/01/19915UCLA
87 Swaim, Geoff TE6-426009/16/19934Texas
48 Thomas, Joe LB6-123205/06/19914South Carolina State
20 Thompson, Darian DB6-221109/22/19933Boise State
55 Vander Esch, Leighton OLB6-425502/08/19960Boise State
3 White, Mike QB6-522003/25/19950Western Kentucky
52 Williams, Connor G6-531005/12/19970Texas
57 Wilson, Damien OLB6-024505/28/19934Minnesota
99 Woods, Antwaun DT6-131201/03/19931USC
25 Woods, Xavier FS5-1120507/26/19952Louisiana Tech