Denver
Broncos
Stadium Broncos Stadium at Mile High
3-6-0 Overall | 1-2 AFC WEST 3rd
TEAM STATSRUSHINGPASSINGPTS/G
Offense126.7269.822.8
Defense131.6252.923.7
Schedule
Regular season
Week 1Sun  9/9
vs
Seahawks
W27-24
Week 2Sun  9/16
vs
Raiders
W20-19
Week 3Sun  9/23
@
Ravens
L14-27
Week 4Mon  10/1
vs
Chiefs
L23-27
Week 5Sun  10/7
@
Jets
L16-34
Week 6Sun  10/14
vs
Rams
L20-23
Week 7Thu  10/18
@
Cardinals
W45-10
Week 8Sun  10/28
@
Chiefs
L23-30
Week 9Sun  11/4
vs
Texans
L17-19
Week 11Sun  11/18
@
Chargers
CBS4:05pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN

Before the season, the Broncos were projected to win 7.6 games (average per simulation) but it does not look like they are going to reach that. On 9/16 their projected win total was up to 8.3 before dropping to 6.5 on 11/9. From the start of the season to now their projected win total is down to 6.5 wins. Before the start of their 2 game losing streak they were projected for 7.8 wins. The playoffs are not likely with their 1.4% chance and a projected #11 finish in the conference.

Season Strength of Schedule is Relatively Hard

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #10 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 53% #10 Toughest

Broncos' Season Forecast Changes

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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 3-6 the Broncos are behind their money line projected win total of 4.1 wins. They have 2 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs just one good win. They have been below expectations on the road and at home. Their 1-3 road record is -15% lower than expected. Their 2-3 home record is -10% lower. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (1-3, 25%) is under their expected 38% win percentage. In simulations where the Broncos played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 41.9% of the time (#23 in the league). They have moved up from #27 in the league back on 10/15.

They are a below average scoring team based on points per game, despite having a much better yards per play rank. They are an average team in points allowed. Offensively, they are the #21 ranked team in yards per play allowed. They are the #22 ranked defense in opponents' TD rate (passing and rushing TDs per offensive play).

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: RAIN

The forecast for their next 4 games can be described as 'cloudy'. They have 2 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and 2 games where they are a clear underdog. They have a 3.3 percent chance of winning four over this stretch.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

NOV 18
LIKELY LOSS
30% @LAC
833 miles
NOV 25
LIKELY LOSS
39% PIT
--
DEC 2
CLOSE GAME
54% @CIN
1094 miles
DEC 9
CLOSE GAME
56% @SF
929 miles
DEC 15
LIKELY WIN
60% CLE
--
DEC 24
LIKELY WIN
74% @OAK
936 miles
DEC 30
LIKELY LOSS
39% LAC
--

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
48 Barrett, Shaquil LB6-225011/17/19925Colorado State
40 Bierria, Keishawn LB6-122307/26/19950Washington
72 Bolles, Garett T6-529705/27/19922Utah
23 Booker, Devontae RB5-1121905/27/19923Utah
22 Brock, Tramaine DB6-018808/20/19889Belhaven College
55 Chubb, Bradley OLB6-427506/24/19960NC State
15 Cracraft, River WR6-019811/01/19941Washington State
21 Cravens, Su'a DB6-122407/07/19952USC
51 Davis, Todd ILB6-123005/17/19925Sacramento State
74 Falah, Nico C6-430101/06/19950USC
28 Freeman, Royce RB6-023802/24/19960Oregon
76 Garcia, Max G6-430911/09/19914Florida
99 Gotsis, Adam DE6-428709/23/19923Georgia Tech
75 Gradkowski, Gino C6-330011/05/19886Delaware
17 Hamilton, DaeSean WR6-120603/10/19950Penn State
25 Harris, Chris CB5-1019906/18/19898Kansas
96 Harris, Shelby DE6-229008/11/19914Illinois State
82 Heuerman, Jeff TE6-525511/24/19924Ohio State
9 Hogan, Kevin QB6-321810/20/19923Stanford
32 Janovich, Andy FB6-123805/23/19933Nebraska
47 Jewell, Josey ILB6-223612/25/19940Iowa
45 Johnson, A.J. LB6-225512/24/19910Tennessee
24 Jones, Adam DB5-1018509/30/198312West Virginia
43 Jones, Joe LB6-023102/21/19942Northwestern
70 Jones, Sam G6-529002/21/19960Arizona State
4 Keenum, Case QB6-121502/17/19886Houston
92 Kerr, Zach DE6-233408/29/19905Delaware
42 Kreiter, Casey LS6-125008/13/19903Iowa
83 LaCosse, Matt TE6-625509/21/19923Illinois
30 Lindsay, Phillip RB5-819007/24/19940Colorado
54 Marshall, Brandon ILB6-125009/10/19897Nevada
60 McGovern, Connor G6-430604/27/19933Missouri
8 McManus, Brandon K6-320107/25/19915Temple
58 Miller, Von OLB6-325003/26/19898Texas A&M
89 Parker, Brian TE6-426505/30/19922Albany
34 Parks, Will SS6-119407/29/19943Arizona
81 Patrick, Tim WR6-421211/23/19931Utah
94 Peko Sr., Domata NT6-332511/27/198413Michigan State
56 Ray, Shane LB6-324505/18/19934Missouri
29 Roby, Bradley CB5-1119405/01/19925Ohio State
10 Sanders, Emmanuel WR5-1118003/17/19879SMU
31 Simmons, Justin FS6-220211/19/19933Boston College
26 Stewart, Darian SS5-1121408/04/19889South Carolina
14 Sutton, Courtland WR6-421610/10/19950SMU
35 Thomas, Dymonte DB6-219911/30/19931Michigan
38 Thomas, Shamarko DB5-920502/23/19916Syracuse
77 Turner, Billy T6-531010/17/19915North Dakota State
66 Veldheer, Jared T6-832106/14/19879Hillsdale
3 Wadman, Colby P6-121304/19/19950California-Davis
57 Walker, DeMarcus DE6-428009/30/19942Florida State
68 Wilkinson, Elijah T6-632902/10/19952Massachusetts
95 Wolfe, Derek DE6-528502/24/19907Cincinnati
41 Yiadom, Isaac CB6-119002/20/19960Boston College