|Week 1||Sun 9/9|
|Week 2||Sun 9/16|
|Week 3||Sun 9/23|
|Week 4||Mon 10/1|
|Week 5||Sun 10/7|
|Week 6||Sun 10/14|
|Week 7||Thu 10/18|
|Week 8||Sun 10/28|
|Week 9||Sun 11/4|
|Week 11||Sun 11/18|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN
Before the season, the Broncos were projected to win 7.6 games (average per simulation) but it does not look like they are going to reach that. On 9/16 their projected win total was up to 8.3 before dropping to 6.5 on 11/9. From the start of the season to now their projected win total is down to 6.5 wins. Before the start of their 2 game losing streak they were projected for 7.8 wins. The playoffs are not likely with their 1.4% chance and a projected #11 finish in the conference.
Season Strength of Schedule is Relatively Hard
Broncos' Season Forecast Changes
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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F
Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 3-6 the Broncos are behind their money line projected win total of 4.1 wins. They have 2 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs just one good win. They have been below expectations on the road and at home. Their 1-3 road record is -15% lower than expected. Their 2-3 home record is -10% lower. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (1-3, 25%) is under their expected 38% win percentage. In simulations where the Broncos played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 41.9% of the time (#23 in the league). They have moved up from #27 in the league back on 10/15.
They are a below average scoring team based on points per game, despite having a much better yards per play rank. They are an average team in points allowed. Offensively, they are the #21 ranked team in yards per play allowed. They are the #22 ranked defense in opponents' TD rate (passing and rushing TDs per offensive play).
TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):
NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: RAIN
The forecast for their next 4 games can be described as 'cloudy'. They have 2 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and 2 games where they are a clear underdog. They have a 3.3 percent chance of winning four over this stretch.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
FANTASY TEAM LEADERS
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|48||Barrett, Shaquil||LB||6-2||250||11/17/1992||5||Colorado State|
|22||Brock, Tramaine||DB||6-0||188||08/20/1988||9||Belhaven College|
|55||Chubb, Bradley||OLB||6-4||275||06/24/1996||0||NC State|
|15||Cracraft, River||WR||6-0||198||11/01/1994||1||Washington State|
|51||Davis, Todd||ILB||6-1||230||05/17/1992||5||Sacramento State|
|99||Gotsis, Adam||DE||6-4||287||09/23/1992||3||Georgia Tech|
|17||Hamilton, DaeSean||WR||6-1||206||03/10/1995||0||Penn State|
|96||Harris, Shelby||DE||6-2||290||08/11/1991||4||Illinois State|
|82||Heuerman, Jeff||TE||6-5||255||11/24/1992||4||Ohio State|
|24||Jones, Adam||DB||5-10||185||09/30/1983||12||West Virginia|
|70||Jones, Sam||G||6-5||290||02/21/1996||0||Arizona State|
|58||Miller, Von||OLB||6-3||250||03/26/1989||8||Texas A&M|
|94||Peko Sr., Domata||NT||6-3||325||11/27/1984||13||Michigan State|
|29||Roby, Bradley||CB||5-11||194||05/01/1992||5||Ohio State|
|31||Simmons, Justin||FS||6-2||202||11/19/1993||3||Boston College|
|26||Stewart, Darian||SS||5-11||214||08/04/1988||9||South Carolina|
|77||Turner, Billy||T||6-5||310||10/17/1991||5||North Dakota State|
|57||Walker, DeMarcus||DE||6-4||280||09/30/1994||2||Florida State|
|41||Yiadom, Isaac||CB||6-1||190||02/20/1996||0||Boston College|