Detroit
Lions
Stadium Ford Field
4-6-0 Overall | 1-2 NFC NORTH 4th
TEAM STATSRUSHINGPASSINGPTS/G
Offense100.4261.922.2
Defense125259.726.3
Schedule
Regular season
Week 1Mon  9/10
vs
Jets
L17-48
Week 2Sun  9/16
@
49ers
L27-30
Week 3Sun  9/23
vs
Patriots
W26-10
Week 4Sun  9/30
@
Cowboys
L24-26
Week 5Sun  10/7
vs
Packers
W31-23
Week 7Sun  10/21
@
Dolphins
W32-21
Week 8Sun  10/28
vs
Seahawks
L14-28
Week 9Sun  11/4
@
Vikings
L9-24
Week 10Sun  11/11
@
Bears
L22-34
Week 11Sun  11/18
vs
Panthers
W20-19
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 3-6 the Lions are behind their money line projected win total of 4 wins. They have 2 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs just one good win. Their performance on the road has left a lot to be desired. Their 1-4 road record is -18% lower than their expected win percentage. Losers of 3 in a row they have a 30.8% chance of seeing that extend to 5 straight. In simulations, the Lions are a below average team and won 47.2% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#20 in the league). They have moved up from #28 in the league back on 9/14.

They are a below average scoring team based on points per game and below average in yards per play. They are a very poor scoring defense based on points per game, despite having a much better yards per play allowed rank.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

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NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: RAIN

The forecast for their next 4 games can be described as 'cloudy'. They have 2 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and 2 games where they are a clear underdog. They win four games in 3.8% of simulations.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

NOV 18
CLOSE GAME
44% CAR
--
NOV 22
CLOSE GAME
45% CHI
--
DEC 2
LIKELY LOSS
27% LAR
--
DEC 9
LIKELY WIN
62% @ARI
1696 miles
DEC 16
LIKELY WIN
66% @BUF
219 miles
DEC 23
CLOSE GAME
47% MIN
--
DEC 30
LIKELY LOSS
39% @GB
293 miles

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

Before the season, the Lions were projected to win 7.9 games (average per simulation), and their projected win total has been up and down this season. On 9/16 their projected win total was 5.8 before increasing to 8.3 on 10/26 (streak start). From the start of the season to now their projected win total is down to 6.4 wins. They have a 1.2% chance of winning their division. Oddsmakers have them at 100/1 to win the division which has an implied probability of 1%. The playoffs are not likely with their 2.6% chance and a projected #12 finish in the conference. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the NFC at 0.2% (500/1 odds) and a 0.1% chance of winning it all (1000/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 47% #12 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 49% #15 Toughest

Lions' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
94 Ansah, Ezekiel DE6-527505/29/19896BYU
53 Bates, Trevor LB6-224708/28/19931Maine
43 Bellore, Nick FB6-125005/12/19898Central Michigan
29 Blount, LeGarrette RB6-024712/05/19869Oregon
8 Cassel, Matt QB6-422505/17/198214USC
65 Crosby, Tyrell G6-430909/05/19950Oregon
66 Dahl, Joe G6-430504/09/19933Washington State
40 Davis, Jarrad MLB6-123811/16/19942Florida
68 Decker, Taylor T6-731108/23/19933Ohio State
28 Diggs, Quandre SS5-920001/22/19934Texas
78 Donnal, Andrew T6-630503/03/19924Iowa
12 Ellington, Bruce WR5-920008/22/19915South Carolina
38 Ford, Mike DB6-019408/04/19950Southeast Missouri State
60 Glasgow, Graham C6-631008/19/19923Michigan
19 Golladay, Kenny WR6-421311/03/19932Northern Illinois
93 Hand, Da'Shawn DE6-329711/14/19950Alabama
57 Harold, Eli LB6-324301/20/19944Virginia
98 Harrison, Damon DT6-335511/29/19887William Penn
61 Hyder, Kerry DE6-227005/02/19913Texas Tech
97 Jean Francois, Ricky DT6-230911/23/198610LSU
33 Johnson, Kerryon RB5-1120606/30/19970Auburn
17 Jones, Andy WR6-121506/28/19941Jacksonville
52 Jones, Christian OLB6-324402/18/19915Florida State
11 Jones, Marvin WR6-219803/12/19907California
13 Jones, T.J. WR6-019007/19/19924Notre Dame
42 Kennard, Devon OLB6-425606/24/19915USC
35 Killebrew, Miles DB6-222205/10/19933Southern Utah
24 Lawson, Nevin CB5-919204/23/19915Utah State
55 Lee, Eric DE6-325508/06/19942South Florida
6 Martin, Sam P6-121102/27/19906Appalachian State
48 Muhlbach, Don LS6-425808/17/198115Texas A&M
95 Okwara, Romeo DE6-427406/17/19953Notre Dame
10 Powell, Brandon WR5-818109/12/19960Florida
5 Prater, Matt K5-1020108/10/198412UCF
27 Quin, Glover FS6-020701/15/198610New Mexico
77 Ragnow, Frank G6-530805/17/19960Arkansas
44 Reeves-Maybin, Jalen LB6-023001/31/19952Tennessee
25 Riddick, Theo RB5-920105/04/19916Notre Dame
80 Roberts, Michael TE6-526505/07/19942Toledo
91 Robinson, A'Shawn DT6-432203/21/19953Alabama
26 Shead, DeShawn DB6-221606/28/19897Portland State
51 Sheppard, Kelvin LB6-224901/02/19888LSU
23 Slay, Darius CB6-019001/01/19916Mississippi State
9 Stafford, Matthew QB6-322002/07/198810Georgia
31 Tabor, Teez CB6-020112/31/19952Florida
87 Toilolo, Levine TE6-826807/30/19916Stanford
71 Wagner, Rick T6-631510/21/19896Wisconsin
47 Walker, Tracy DB6-120602/01/19950Louisiana
45 Washington, Charles DB5-1019203/10/19932Fresno State
79 Wiggins, Kenny G6-633008/08/19885Fresno State
82 Willson, Luke TE6-525101/15/19906Rice
32 Wilson, Tavon DB6-021203/19/19907Illinois
34 Zenner, Zach RB5-1122109/13/19914South Dakota State