|Week 1||Mon 9/10|
|Week 2||Sun 9/16|
|Week 3||Sun 9/23|
|Week 4||Sun 9/30|
|Week 5||Sun 10/7|
|Week 7||Sun 10/21|
|Week 8||Sun 10/28|
|Week 9||Sun 11/4|
|Week 10||Sun 11/11|
|Week 11||Sun 11/18|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F
Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 3-6 the Lions are behind their money line projected win total of 4 wins. They have 2 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs just one good win. Their performance on the road has left a lot to be desired. Their 1-4 road record is -18% lower than their expected win percentage. Losers of 3 in a row they have a 30.8% chance of seeing that extend to 5 straight. In simulations, the Lions are a below average team and won 47.2% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#20 in the league). They have moved up from #28 in the league back on 9/14.
They are a below average scoring team based on points per game and below average in yards per play. They are a very poor scoring defense based on points per game, despite having a much better yards per play allowed rank.
TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):
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NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: RAIN
The forecast for their next 4 games can be described as 'cloudy'. They have 2 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and 2 games where they are a clear underdog. They win four games in 3.8% of simulations.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)
Before the season, the Lions were projected to win 7.9 games (average per simulation), and their projected win total has been up and down this season. On 9/16 their projected win total was 5.8 before increasing to 8.3 on 10/26 (streak start). From the start of the season to now their projected win total is down to 6.4 wins. They have a 1.2% chance of winning their division. Oddsmakers have them at 100/1 to win the division which has an implied probability of 1%. The playoffs are not likely with their 2.6% chance and a projected #12 finish in the conference. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the NFC at 0.2% (500/1 odds) and a 0.1% chance of winning it all (1000/1).
Strength of Schedule Getting Easier
Lions' Season Forecast Changes
FANTASY TEAM LEADERS
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|43||Bellore, Nick||FB||6-1||250||05/12/1989||8||Central Michigan|
|66||Dahl, Joe||G||6-4||305||04/09/1993||3||Washington State|
|68||Decker, Taylor||T||6-7||311||08/23/1993||3||Ohio State|
|12||Ellington, Bruce||WR||5-9||200||08/22/1991||5||South Carolina|
|38||Ford, Mike||DB||6-0||194||08/04/1995||0||Southeast Missouri State|
|19||Golladay, Kenny||WR||6-4||213||11/03/1993||2||Northern Illinois|
|98||Harrison, Damon||DT||6-3||355||11/29/1988||7||William Penn|
|61||Hyder, Kerry||DE||6-2||270||05/02/1991||3||Texas Tech|
|97||Jean Francois, Ricky||DT||6-2||309||11/23/1986||10||LSU|
|52||Jones, Christian||OLB||6-3||244||02/18/1991||5||Florida State|
|13||Jones, T.J.||WR||6-0||190||07/19/1992||4||Notre Dame|
|35||Killebrew, Miles||DB||6-2||222||05/10/1993||3||Southern Utah|
|24||Lawson, Nevin||CB||5-9||192||04/23/1991||5||Utah State|
|55||Lee, Eric||DE||6-3||255||08/06/1994||2||South Florida|
|6||Martin, Sam||P||6-1||211||02/27/1990||6||Appalachian State|
|48||Muhlbach, Don||LS||6-4||258||08/17/1981||15||Texas A&M|
|95||Okwara, Romeo||DE||6-4||274||06/17/1995||3||Notre Dame|
|27||Quin, Glover||FS||6-0||207||01/15/1986||10||New Mexico|
|25||Riddick, Theo||RB||5-9||201||05/04/1991||6||Notre Dame|
|26||Shead, DeShawn||DB||6-2||216||06/28/1989||7||Portland State|
|23||Slay, Darius||CB||6-0||190||01/01/1991||6||Mississippi State|
|45||Washington, Charles||DB||5-10||192||03/10/1993||2||Fresno State|
|79||Wiggins, Kenny||G||6-6||330||08/08/1988||5||Fresno State|
|34||Zenner, Zach||RB||5-11||221||09/13/1991||4||South Dakota State|