Green Bay
Packers
Stadium Lambeau Field
4-5-1 Overall | 1-1 NFC NORTH 3rd
TEAM STATSRUSHINGPASSINGPTS/G
Offense108.8312.824.7
Defense126.1247.124.3
Schedule
Regular season
Week 1Sun  9/9
vs
Bears
W24-23
Week 2Sun  9/16
vs
Vikings
T / OT29-29
Week 3Sun  9/23
@
Redskins
L17-31
Week 4Sun  9/30
vs
Bills
W22-0
Week 5Sun  10/7
@
Lions
L23-31
Week 6Mon  10/15
vs
49ers
W33-30
Week 8Sun  10/28
@
Rams
L27-29
Week 9Sun  11/4
@
Patriots
L17-31
Week 10Sun  11/11
vs
Dolphins
W31-12
Week 11Thu  11/15
@
Seahawks
L24-27
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN

The Packers are competing to make the playoffs but their chances are on a downward trend. In our pre-season forecast they had a 62.4% chance of making the playoffs. On 10/1 they had a 57.5% chance before dropping to 17.2% on 11/5. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 29.6%. They have a 7.8% chance of winning their division. Oddsmakers have them at 13/4 to win the division which has an implied probability of 23.5%. Based on the odds, they have a 7.7% chance of winning the NFC (12/1) and a 3.8% chance of winning it all (25/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 42% #4 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 50% #13 Toughest

Packers' Season Forecast Changes

Stream Green Bay games with SlingTV

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: D

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 4-5-1 the Packers are behind their money line projected win total of 5.6 wins. They have just one bad loss where they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 0 good wins (upset wins, or blowout victory in what was expected to be a close game). They have exceeded expectations in home games. Their 4-0 home record is +30% better than their expected win percentage. Over the past 3 weeks they have played poorly going 1-3, 25%. The Packers should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 52.7% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#12 in the league). They have moved up from #17 in the league back on 11/6.

They are an above average scoring team based on points per game, which make sense given their strong yards per play rank. They are a below average scoring defense based on points per game and a below average defensive TD rate.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: MIX

The Packers next 4 game forecast looks like a mix of 'clouds and sun'. They have 2 games where they are favored by >55% of the simulations, and just 1 game where they are a clear underdog. They win four games in 9.2% of simulations.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

NOV 25
CLOSE GAME
49% @MIN
256 miles
DEC 2
LIKELY WIN
72% ARI
--
DEC 9
CLOSE GAME
58% ATL
--
DEC 16
CLOSE GAME
42% @CHI
184 miles
DEC 23
LIKELY WIN
62% @NYJ
755 miles
DEC 30
LIKELY WIN
60% DET
--

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
17 Adams, Davante WR6-121512/24/19925Fresno State
90 Adams, Montravius DT6-430407/24/19952Auburn
23 Alexander, Jaire CB5-1019602/09/19970Louisville
69 Bakhtiari, David T6-431009/30/19916Colorado
74 Bell, Byron G6-532001/17/19898New Mexico
8 Boyle, Tim QB6-423210/03/19940Eastern Kentucky
43 Bradley, Hunter LS6-324105/21/19940Mississippi State
26 Breeland, Bashaud DB5-1119501/30/19925Clemson
29 Brice, Kentrell SS5-1120008/11/19943Louisiana Tech
28 Brown, Tony DB6-019807/13/19950Alabama
75 Bulaga, Bryan T6-531403/21/19899Iowa
42 Burks, Oren ILB6-323303/21/19950Vanderbilt
39 Campbell, Ibraheim DB5-1121005/13/19924Northwestern
32 Carson, Tra RB5-1122810/24/19922Texas A&M
97 Clark, Kenny NT6-331410/04/19953UCLA
18 Cobb, Randall WR5-1019208/22/19908Kentucky
54 Crawford, James LB6-223912/02/19940Illinois
2 Crosby, Mason K6-120709/03/198412Colorado
76 Daniels, Mike DE6-031005/05/19897Iowa
11 Davis, Trevor WR6-118807/04/19933California
51 Fackrell, Kyler LB6-524511/25/19913Utah State
93 Gilbert, Reggie LB6-326104/01/19931Arizona
80 Graham, Jimmy TE6-726511/24/19869Miami (FL)
36 Greene, Raven DB5-1119702/02/19950James Madison
37 Jackson, Josh CB6-019604/03/19960Iowa
33 Jones, Aaron RB5-920812/02/19942UTEP
27 Jones, Josh DB6-222009/20/19942NC State
84 Kendricks, Lance TE6-325001/30/19888Wisconsin
20 King, Kevin CB6-320005/05/19952Washington
9 Kizer, DeShone QB6-423501/03/19962Notre Dame
95 Lancaster, Tyler DT6-331311/04/19940Northwestern
89 Lewis, Marcedes TE6-626705/19/198413UCLA
70 Light, Alex G6-530905/02/19960Richmond
63 Linsley, Corey C6-330107/27/19915Ohio State
94 Lowry, Dean DE6-629606/09/19943Northwestern
50 Martinez, Blake ILB6-223701/09/19943Stanford
52 Matthews, Clay OLB6-325505/14/198610USC
64 McCray, Justin G6-331705/31/19922UCF
82 Moore, J'Mon WR6-320505/23/19950Missouri
44 Morrison, Antonio ILB6-124112/06/19943Florida
62 Patrick, Lucas G6-331307/30/19932Duke
53 Perry, Nick OLB6-326504/12/19907USC
25 Redmond, Will CB5-1118612/28/19933Mississippi State
12 Rodgers, Aaron QB6-222512/02/198314California
6 Scott, JK P6-620810/30/19950Alabama
78 Spriggs, Jason T6-630105/17/19943Indiana
19 St. Brown, Equanimeous WR6-521409/30/19960Notre Dame
65 Taylor, Lane G6-332411/22/19896Oklahoma State
85 Tonyan, Robert TE6-523704/30/19941Indiana State
56 Toomer, Korey LB6-223512/09/19885Idaho
83 Valdes-Scantling, Marquez WR6-420610/10/19940South Florida
30 Williams, Jamaal RB6-021304/03/19952BYU
38 Williams, Tramon CB5-1119103/16/198312Louisiana Tech