Houston
Texans
Stadium NRG Stadium
6-3-0 Overall | 2-1 AFC SOUTH 1st
TEAM STATSRUSHINGPASSINGPTS/G
Offense120.2265.424
Defense92.926220.4
Schedule
Regular season
Week 1Sun  9/9
@
Patriots
L20-27
Week 2Sun  9/16
@
Titans
L17-20
Week 3Sun  9/23
vs
Giants
L22-27
Week 4Sun  9/30
@
Colts
W / OT37-34
Week 5Sun  10/7
vs
Cowboys
W / OT19-16
Week 6Sun  10/14
vs
Bills
W20-13
Week 7Sun  10/21
@
Jaguars
W20-7
Week 8Thu  10/25
vs
Dolphins
W42-23
Week 9Sun  11/4
@
Broncos
W19-17
Week 11Sun  11/18
@
Redskins
CBS1:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: MIX

The Texans next 4 game forecast looks like a mix of 'clouds and sun'. They have 4 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and no games where they are a clear underdog. They win four games in 8.2% of simulations.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

NOV 18
CLOSE GAME
51% @WAS
1233 miles
NOV 26
CLOSE GAME
53% TEN
--
DEC 2
LIKELY WIN
60% CLE
--
DEC 9
CLOSE GAME
52% IND
--
DEC 15
CLOSE GAME
57% @NYJ
1424 miles
DEC 23
CLOSE GAME
40% @PHI
1345 miles
DEC 30
LIKELY WIN
61% JAC
--

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For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A-

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 6-3 the Texans are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 5.2 wins. If you consider winning as an underdog or winning by 10+ as a slight favorite, then they have 2 good wins but they also have 2 bad losses. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 3-2 road record is +14% better than their expected win percentage. Winners of 6 in a row they have a 16.2% chance of extending that to 9 straight. The Texans should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 51.3% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#16 in the league). They have moved up from #29 in the league back on 9/24.

They are an average team in points per game. Offensively, they are the #14 ranked team in yards per play. They are the #22 ranked team in offensive TD rate [(PassTD + RushTD) / (Pass Att + Rush Att)]. They are an elite scoring defense, which makes sense given their TD per play allowed rate.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (UP OVERALL)

The Texans are contenders to win the conference, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 3% chance of reaching the Super Bowl. On 9/25 they had a 0.1% chance before increasing to 5.8% on 11/5. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 4.4%. Before the start of their 6 game winning streak they were at 0.1%. They have a 49.8% chance of winning their division. Oddsmakers have them at 1/2 to win the division which has an implied probability of 66.7%. They are projected to finish #5 in the conference and have a 76% chance of making the playoffs. Based on the odds, they have an 8.3% chance of winning the AFC (11/1) and a 3.8% chance of winning it all (25/1). In simulations they win the Super Bowl 1.6% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 35% #-1 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 46% #7 Easiest

Texans' Championship Forecast Changes

FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
88 Akins, Jordan TE6-425004/19/19920UCF
23 Bademosi, Johnson DB6-020507/23/19907Stanford
97 Blackson, Angelo DE6-432011/14/19924Auburn
28 Blue, Alfred RB6-222504/27/19915LSU
39 Burton, Deante DB6-220507/12/19941Kansas State
14 Carter, DeAndre WR5-819004/10/19931Sacramento State
90 Clowney, Jadeveon OLB6-527002/14/19935South Carolina
18 Coates, Sammie WR6-121003/31/19934Auburn
22 Colvin, Aaron CB6-019510/02/19915Oklahoma
16 Coutee, Keke WR5-1118001/14/19970Texas Tech
95 Covington, Christian DE6-230510/16/19934Rice
41 Cunningham, Zach ILB6-323512/12/19942Vanderbilt
8 Daniel, Trevor P6-122512/08/19940Tennessee
70 Davenport, Julie'n T6-732001/09/19952Bucknell
92 Dunn, Brandon NT6-231009/05/19923Louisville
53 Ejiofor, Duke LB6-427504/24/19950Wake Forest
7 Fairbairn, Ka'imi K6-019001/29/19943UCLA
73 Fulton, Zach G6-531509/23/19915Tennessee
84 Griffin, Ryan TE6-625501/11/19906Connecticut
29 Hal, Andre DB5-1019505/30/19925Vanderbilt
93 Heath, Joel DE6-630006/18/19933Michigan State
10 Hopkins, DeAndre WR6-121506/06/19926Clemson
38 Howell, Buddy RB6-122503/27/19960Florida Atlantic
25 Jackson, Kareem SS5-1018504/10/19889Alabama
31 Jamerson, Natrell DB6-020012/15/19950Wisconsin
24 Joseph, Johnathan CB5-1118504/16/198413South Carolina
58 Kalambayi, Peter LB6-325006/26/19950Stanford
64 Kelemete, Senio G6-330005/10/19906Washington
74 Lamm, Kendall T6-631006/05/19924Appalachian State
65 Mancz, Greg G6-431004/23/19924Toledo
66 Martin, Nick C6-430004/29/19933Notre Dame
32 Mathieu, Tyrann FS5-918505/13/19926LSU
55 McKinney, Benardrick ILB6-426011/19/19924Mississippi State
59 Mercilus, Whitney OLB6-426507/21/19907Illinois
26 Miller, Lamar RB5-1022004/25/19917Miami (FL)
33 Moore, A.J. DB5-112020Ole Miss
52 Peters, Brian LB6-424010/31/19884Northwestern (Ia)
75 Rankin, Martinas T6-531510/20/19940Mississippi State
98 Reader, D.J. DE6-333507/01/19943Clemson
20 Reid, Justin SS6-120502/15/19970Stanford
57 Scarlett, Brennan OLB6-426007/31/19933Stanford
17 Smith, Vyncint WR6-319506/09/19960Limestone College
87 Thomas, Demaryius WR6-322912/25/19879Georgia Tech
83 Thomas, Jordan TE6-528008/02/19960Mississippi State
34 Tyson, Mike DB6-220007/27/19931Cincinnati
91 Watkins, Carlos DE6-331012/05/19932Clemson
4 Watson, Deshaun QB6-222009/14/19952Clemson
99 Watt, J.J. DE6-529503/22/19898Wisconsin
5 Webb, Joe QB6-423011/14/19869UAB
--- Weeden, Brandon QB6-323010/14/19837Oklahoma State
46 Weeks, Jon LS5-1025002/17/19869Baylor
43 Wright, Shareece DB5-1118404/08/19878USC