Indianapolis
Colts
Stadium Lucas Oil Stadium
4-5-0 Overall | 1-1 AFC SOUTH 3rd
TEAM STATSRUSHINGPASSINGPTS/G
Offense113.6274.728.9
Defense107.828126.6
Schedule
Regular season
Week 1Sun  9/9
vs
Bengals
L23-34
Week 2Sun  9/16
@
Redskins
W21-9
Week 3Sun  9/23
@
Eagles
L16-20
Week 4Sun  9/30
vs
Texans
L / OT34-37
Week 5Thu  10/4
@
Patriots
L24-38
Week 6Sun  10/14
@
Jets
L34-42
Week 7Sun  10/21
vs
Bills
W37-5
Week 8Sun  10/28
@
Raiders
W42-28
Week 10Sun  11/11
vs
Jaguars
W29-26
Week 11Sun  11/18
vs
Titans
CBS1:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: MOSTLY SUNNY

The Colts next 4 game forecast looks like 'partly sunny skies'. They have 2 games where they are favored by >55% of the simulations, 2 more 'toss up' games, and no games where they are a clear underdog. They have a 8.8 percent chance of winning four over this stretch.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

NOV 18
LIKELY WIN
60% TEN
--
NOV 25
LIKELY WIN
71% MIA
--
DEC 2
CLOSE GAME
51% @JAC
701 miles
DEC 9
CLOSE GAME
48% @HOU
872 miles
DEC 16
CLOSE GAME
55% DAL
--
DEC 23
LIKELY WIN
69% NYG
--
DEC 30
CLOSE GAME
48% @TEN
251 miles

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For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B+

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 4-5 the Colts are behind their money line projected win total of 4.2 wins. If you consider winning as an underdog or winning by 10+ as a slight favorite, then they only have one good win and one bad loss. They have won 40% of their road games and were expected to win 36%. At home they have a 50% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 57%. Winners of 3 in a row they have a 21.7% chance of extending that to 6 straight. In simulations, the Colts are a below average team and won 48.4% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#19 in the league). Their peak sim% was 49.3% back on 11/6.

They are an elite scoring team based on points per game, despite a relatively low yards per play rank. They are a very poor scoring defense based on points per game, despite having a much better defensive TD rate.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (UP OVERALL)

The Colts are competing to make the playoffs, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 14% chance of making the playoffs. On 9/6 they had a 24.6% chance before dropping to 5.6% on 10/5. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 23.3%. Before the start of their 3 game winning streak they were at 5.8%. They have a 13.2% chance of winning their division. Oddsmakers have them at 7/1 to win the division which has an implied probability of 12.5%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AFC at 2.8% (35/1 odds) and a 1.2% chance of winning it all (80/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 44% #9 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 48% #12 Easiest

Colts' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
49 Adams, Matthew OLB6-023012/12/19950Houston
96 Autry, Denico DT6-527007/15/19905Mississippi State
67 Boehm, Evan G6-331008/19/19933Missouri
7 Brissett, Jacoby QB6-423512/11/19923NC State
74 Castonzo, Anthony T6-731108/09/19888Boston College
62 Clark, Le'Raven T6-531104/22/19933Texas Tech
35 Desir, Pierre DB6-119809/08/19905Lindenwood
84 Doyle, Jack TE6-626205/05/19906Western Kentucky
85 Ebron, Eric TE6-425304/10/19935North Carolina
44 Franklin, Zaire OLB6-023807/02/19960Syracuse
26 Geathers, Clayton SS6-222006/01/19924UCF
64 Glowinski, Mark G6-431005/03/19924West Virginia
71 Good, Denzelle T6-534503/08/19914Mars Hill
52 Goode, Najee LB6-024406/04/19897West Virginia
11 Grant, Ryan WR6-020412/19/19905Tulane
27 Hairston, Nate CB6-019506/30/19942Temple
45 Hewitt, Ryan TE6-425501/24/19915Stanford
13 Hilton, T.Y. WR5-1018311/14/19897Florida International
21 Hines, Nyheim RB5-919811/12/19960NC State
29 Hooker, Malik FS6-121204/02/19962Ohio State
92 Hunt, Margus DE6-829807/14/19876SMU
15 Inman, Dontrelle WR6-320501/31/19895Virginia
78 Kelly, Ryan C6-430905/30/19933Alabama
37 Killings, D.J. DB6-018508/09/19951UCF
53 Leonard, Darius OLB6-223407/27/19950South Carolina State
94 Lewis, Tyquan DE6-326901/30/19950Ohio State
12 Luck, Andrew QB6-424009/12/19897Stanford
25 Mack, Marlon RB6-021003/07/19962South Florida
32 Maulet, Arthur CB5-1019007/13/19932Memphis
28 Milton, Chris CB5-1119609/15/19923Georgia Tech
34 Mitchell, Mike SS6-122106/10/198710Ohio
36 Moore, Corey DB6-220001/28/19933Georgia
23 Moore, Kenny CB5-919008/23/19952Valdosta State
55 Moore, Skai LB6-223001/08/19950South Carolina
97 Muhammad, Al-Quadin DT6-425003/28/19952Miami (FL)
56 Nelson, Quenton G6-533003/19/19960Notre Dame
30 Odum, George DB6-120011/03/19930Central Arkansas
14 Pascal, Zach WR6-221912/18/19941Old Dominion
46 Rhodes, Luke LS6-223812/02/19922William & Mary
91 Ridgeway, Hassan DT6-330511/02/19943Texas
80 Rogers, Chester WR6-018401/12/19943Grambling State
2 Sanchez, Rigoberto P6-019509/08/19942Hawaii
93 Sheard, Jabaal DE6-326505/10/19898Pittsburgh
72 Smith, Braden T6-631503/25/19960Auburn
90 Stewart, Grover DT6-433310/20/19932Albany State (Ga.)
86 Swoope, Erik TE6-425505/08/19923Miami (FL)
57 Turay, Kemoko DE6-525307/11/19950Rutgers
4 Vinatieri, Adam K6-021212/28/197223South Dakota State
50 Walker, Anthony MLB6-124208/08/19952Northwestern
20 Wilkins, Jordan RB6-121607/18/19940Ole Miss
31 Wilson, Quincy CB6-221008/16/19962Florida
99 Woods, Al DT6-433003/25/19879LSU