Jacksonville
Jaguars
Stadium EverBank Field
3-7-0 Overall | 0-3 AFC SOUTH 4th
TEAM STATSRUSHINGPASSINGPTS/G
Offense103260.517.6
Defense109.3225.321.9
Schedule
Regular season
Week 1Sun  9/9
@
Giants
W20-15
Week 2Sun  9/16
vs
Patriots
W31-20
Week 3Sun  9/23
vs
Titans
L6-9
Week 4Sun  9/30
vs
Jets
W31-12
Week 5Sun  10/7
@
Chiefs
L14-30
Week 6Sun  10/14
@
Cowboys
L7-40
Week 7Sun  10/21
vs
Texans
L7-20
Week 8Sun  10/28
vs
Eagles
L18-24
Week 10Sun  11/11
@
Colts
L26-29
Week 11Sun  11/18
vs
Steelers
L16-20
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN

Before the season, the Jaguars were projected to win 9.6 games (average per simulation) but it does not look like they are going to reach that. On 9/17 their projected win total was up to 10.5 before dropping to 6.2 on 11/12. From the start of the season to now their projected win total is down significantly to 6.2 wins. Before the start of their 5 game losing streak they were projected for 10 wins. The playoffs are not likely with their 3% chance and a projected #12 finish in the conference. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AFC at 0.7% (135/1 odds) and a 0.3% chance of winning it all (300/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 64% #2 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 48% #12 Easiest

Jaguars' Season Forecast Changes

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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 3-6 Jaguars 'should have' 5 wins. They have 4 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs just one good win. They have been below expectations on the road and at home. Their 1-3 road record is -25% lower than expected. Their 2-3 home record is -20% lower. Losers of 5 in a row they have a 23.2% chance of seeing that extend to 7 straight. Jaguars fans have to be disappointed that they have fallen well short of their pre-season expectations where they were #0 in the league in power ranking. In simulations where the Jaguars played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 44.5% of the time (#22 in the league). They have moved up from #24 in the league back on 10/29.

They are a very poor scoring team based on points per game, despite having a much better yards per play rank. They are an above average scoring defense, which make sense given their strong yards per play allowed rank.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: MIX

The Jaguars next 4 game forecast looks like a mix of 'clouds and sun'. They have 2 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and 2 games where they are a clear underdog. They win four games in 4.5% of simulations.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

NOV 18
LIKELY LOSS
39% PIT
--
NOV 25
LIKELY WIN
62% @BUF
875 miles
DEC 2
CLOSE GAME
48% IND
--
DEC 6
LIKELY LOSS
37% @TEN
501 miles
DEC 16
CLOSE GAME
51% WAS
--
DEC 23
CLOSE GAME
43% @MIA
314 miles
DEC 30
LIKELY LOSS
39% @HOU
826 miles

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
54 Ankou, Eli DT6-332506/08/19942UCLA
87 Bell, Blake TE6-625208/07/19914Oklahoma
40 Bohanon, Tommy FB6-124609/10/19905Wake Forest
5 Bortles, Blake QB6-523604/28/19925UCF
21 Bouye, A.J. CB6-019108/16/19916UCF
53 Brown, Blair LB6-023805/27/19942Ohio
90 Bryan, Taven DT6-529103/11/19960Florida
93 Campbell, Calais DE6-830009/01/198611Miami (FL)
60 Cann, A.J. G6-331510/03/19914South Carolina
17 Chark, D.J. WR6-419809/23/19960LSU
42 Church, Barry SS6-221802/11/19889Toledo
84 Cole, Keelan WR6-119404/20/19932Kentucky Wesleyan
9 Cooke, Logan P6-523007/28/19950Mississippi State
99 Dareus, Marcell DT6-333103/13/19908Alabama
22 Davis, Cody DB6-120306/06/19896Texas Tech
57 DeLuca, Nick LB6-325101/27/19950North Dakota State
75 Flowers, Ereck T6-633404/25/19944Miami (FL)
27 Fournette, Leonard RB6-022801/18/19952LSU
39 Gipson, Tashaun FS5-1121208/07/19907Wyoming
13 Greene, Rashad WR5-1118609/23/19924Florida State
36 Harrison, Ronnie DB6-220704/18/19970Alabama
25 Hayden, D.J. DB5-1119006/27/19906Houston
41 Herndon, Tre CB5-1118503/05/19960Vanderbilt
34 Hyde, Carlos RB6-022909/20/19905Ohio State
44 Jack, Myles MLB6-124409/03/19953UCLA
97 Jackson, Malik DT6-529001/11/19907Tennessee
48 Jacobs, Leon OLB6-124610/03/19950Wisconsin
95 Jones, Abry DT6-431809/08/19916Georgia
2 Jones, Landry QB6-422504/04/19896Oklahoma
6 Kessler, Cody QB6-121505/11/19933USC
83 Koyack, Ben TE6-525804/09/19933Notre Dame
4 Lambo, Josh K6-021511/19/19904Texas A&M
55 McCray, Lerentee DE6-324908/26/19906Florida
43 Meeks, Quenton CB6-120906/20/19960Stanford
10 Moncrief, Donte WR6-221608/06/19935Ole Miss
91 Ngakoue, Yannick DE6-224603/31/19953Maryland
68 Norwell, Andrew G6-632510/25/19915Ohio State
80 O'Shaughnessy, James TE6-424501/14/19924Illinois State
45 Overton, Matt LS6-124307/06/19857Western Washington
78 Parnell, Jermey T6-632607/20/19868Ole Miss
23 Patmon, Tyler DB5-1018801/26/19914Oklahoma State
20 Ramsey, Jalen CB6-120810/24/19943Florida State
64 Reed, Chris G6-531007/22/19923Minnesota State
69 Shatley, Tyler C6-331005/05/19914Clemson
50 Smith, Telvin OLB6-321504/11/19915Florida State
94 Smoot, Dawuane DE6-326403/02/19952Illinois
47 Spaight, Martrell LB6-024308/05/19934Arkansas
73 Walker, Josh T6-533006/02/19914Middle Tennessee
12 Westbrook, Dede WR6-017811/21/19932Oklahoma
33 Williams, David RB6-122906/17/19940Arkansas
26 Wilson, Jarrod DB6-221002/09/19943Michigan
24 Yeldon, T.J. RB6-122310/02/19934Alabama