Kansas City
Chiefs
Stadium Arrowhead Stadium
12-4-0 Overall | 6-0 AFC WEST 1st
TEAM STATSRUSHINGPASSINGPTS/G
Offense98.1293.128.2
Defense128.2242.619.3
Schedule
Preseason
Week 2Sat  8/10
vs
Bengals
W38-17
Week 3Sat  8/17
@
Steelers
L7-17
Week 4Sat  8/24
vs
49ers
L17-27
Week 5Thu  8/29
@
Packers
L20-27
Regular season
Week 1Sun  9/8
@
Jaguars
W40-26
Week 2Sun  9/15
@
Raiders
W28-10
Week 3Sun  9/22
vs
Ravens
W33-28
Week 4Sun  9/29
@
Lions
W34-30
Week 5Sun  10/6
vs
Colts
L13-19
Week 6Sun  10/13
vs
Texans
L24-31
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Chiefs were a neutral zone infraction away from going to the Super Bowl and acquired Frank Clark to help shore up the defense. The Chargers are without Derwin James for most of the season. Motivation and talent carries them to a Top 2 seed in the AFC and they are our Super Bowl favorite. Oddsmakers and our simulation say Chiefs have the best chance to win the Super Bowl (6/1, 14.3%). Even with the juice, the Chiefs are a good betting value. Their 18.2% chance to win the Super Bowl (based on simulations) is #1 in the league. They are also a good bet to win the AFC at 11/4, 26.7%. Their sim chance is 29.2%. The Chiefs are averaging 10.9 wins per sim which makes them a decent bet to win over 10.5 games. At -500 the Chiefs are a good value to make the playoffs with a 87.1% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 1/2, 66.7%. They win the division in 60.8% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the AFC.

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

With a 12-4 record they managed to beat the high expectations that oddsmakers had of them (expected win percentage = 64%). They were very good against the spread going 9-6-1 for (+240 profit). They went over 10 times and came in under 6 times. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Jacksonville Jaguars. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE STATS WITH LEAGUE RANKINGS

They are an elite scoring team based on points per game, which make sense given their strong yards per play rank. They are a below average scoring defense based on points per game and below average in yards per play allowed.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Patrick Mahomes who is projected to be the #1 QB. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
73 Allegretti, Nick G6-432004/21/19962Illinois
68 Barton, Jackson T6-730208/08/19952Utah
30 Brown, Alex CB5-918308/30/19961South Carolina State
7 Butker, Harrison K6-420507/14/19954Georgia Tech
55 Clark, Frank DE6-326006/14/19936Michigan
2 Colquitt, Dustin P6-321005/06/198216Tennessee
80 Davis, Felton WR6-321102/25/19972Michigan State
--- Dieter, Gehrig WR6-320802/24/19932Alabama
76 Duvernay-Tardif, Laurent G6-532102/11/19917McGill (Canada)
27 Fenton, Rashad DB5-1118802/17/19972South Carolina
72 Fisher, Eric T6-731501/05/19918Central Michigan
1 Fortson, Jody WR6-623012/07/19951Valdosta State
17 Hardman, Mecole WR5-1018703/12/19982Georgia
47 Harris, Darius LB6-223801/17/19961Middle Tenn.
52 Harris, Demone DE6-427212/30/19952Buffalo
--- Henne, Chad 6-322207/02/198513Michigan
10 Hill, Tyreek WR5-1018503/01/19945West Alabama
53 Hitchens, Anthony ILB6-023506/10/19927Iowa
--- Hoyett, Braxton DT6-331002/05/19961Mississippi State
60 Hunter, Ryan T6-331604/01/19951Bowling Green
95 Jones, Chris DE6-631007/03/19945Mississippi State
48 Keizer, Nick TE6-425105/02/19951Grand Valley State
87 Kelce, Travis TE6-526010/05/19898Cincinnati
19 Kemp, Marcus WR6-421008/14/19953Hawaii
92 Kpassagnon, Tanoh LB6-728906/14/19944Villanova
--- Lammons, Chris DB5-1019001/31/19962South Carolina
--- Lanier, Anthony DE6-628505/08/19933Alabama A&M
--- Lawrence, Devaroe DT6-229510/13/19922Auburn
40 Lovett, John FB6-322504/25/19962Princeton
--- Mack, Alize TE6-424903/29/19971Notre Dame
15 Mahomes, Patrick QB6-323009/17/19954Texas Tech
38 Marshall, Marcus RB5-1020002/23/19971James Madison
32 Mathieu, Tyrann FS5-919005/13/19928LSU
--- McGuire, Elijah RB5-1021406/01/19943Louisiana
56 Niemann, Ben LB6-223507/27/19953Iowa
91 Nnadi, Derrick NT6-131205/09/19963Florida State
44 O'Daniel, Dorian LB6-122009/04/19943Clemson
97 Okafor, Alex DE6-426102/08/19918Texas
13 Pringle, Byron WR6-120311/17/19933Kansas State
74 Rankin, Martinas T6-531110/20/19943Mississippi State
62 Reiter, Austin C6-330011/27/19915South Florida
--- Remmers, Mike T6-530804/11/19898Oregon State
99 Saunders, Khalen DT6-032408/09/19962Western Illinois
71 Schwartz, Mitchell T6-532006/08/19899California
70 Senat, Greg T6-630509/08/19943Wagner
--- Shurmur, Kyle QB6-422511/06/19961Vanderbilt
--- Smith, Emmanuel LB6-224007/25/19951Vanderbilt
49 Sorensen, Daniel DB6-220803/05/19907BYU
57 Speaks, Breeland OLB6-328512/18/19953Ole Miss
34 Thompson, Darwin RB5-820002/12/19972Utah State
22 Thornhill, Juan DB6-020510/19/19952Virginia
35 Ward, Charvarius CB6-119805/16/19963Middle Tenn.
79 Ward, Tim DE6-625508/11/19971Old Dominion
14 Watkins, Sammy WR6-121106/14/19937Clemson
23 Watts, Armani DB5-1120503/19/19963Texas A&M
--- Weber, Mike RB5-1021008/27/19971Ohio State
88 Wells, David TE6-626005/02/19952San Diego State
26 Williams, Damien RB5-1122404/03/19927Oklahoma
31 Williams, Darrel RB5-1122404/15/19953LSU
54 Wilson, Damien OLB6-024505/28/19936Minnesota
41 Winchester, James LS6-324008/06/19896Oklahoma
77 Wylie, Andrew G6-630908/19/19943Eastern Michigan
82 Yelder, Deon TE6-425503/06/19953Western Kentucky