SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Chargers are behind the Chiefs and Patriots in the AFC projected standings but are stil a leading contender assuming Derwin James is healthy for at least half of the season and into the playoffs. Their odds to win it all are 14/1, 6.7% (#7). Even with the juice, the Chargers are a good betting value. Their 7% chance to win the Super Bowl (based on simulations) is #5 in the league. They are also a good bet to win the AFC at 7/1, 12.5%. Their sim chance is 13%. Our projection is leaning on them to win under 10 games. The Chargers are averaging 9.9 wins per sim. At -200 the Chargers are a good value to make the playoffs with a 70.8% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 9/4, 30.8%. They win the division in 34.9% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the AFC.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

With a 12-4 record they managed to beat the high expectations that oddsmakers had of them (expected win percentage = 64%). They were solid against the spread going 9-7 for (+130 profit). They went over 8 times and came in under 8 times. They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the Indianapolis Colts. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE STATS WITH LEAGUE RANKINGS

They are an elite scoring team based on points per game, despite a relatively low yards per play rank. They are an elite scoring defense, which make sense given their strong yards per play allowed rank.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Hunter Henry who is projected to be the #7 TE. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.