SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 25/1, 3.8% (#12). If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Chargers would be a good betting value. Their 3.4% chance to win the Super Bowl (based on simulations) is #7 in the league. In simulations, they win the AFC 6.8% of the time and are not a good value at 12/1, 7.7%. They are projected to win 10 games and live up to their pre-season futures line of 10. Their playoff chances stand at 72.4% (28.2% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the AFC.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

At 1-1 they are below expectations. Based on the money lines, the Chargers had an expected win percentage of 61%. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down 65 units. They are 0-1-1 against the spread for a -110 loss. Their over-under record is 1-1. With a 12-4 record they managed to beat the high expectations that oddsmakers had of them (expected win percentage = 64%). They were solid against the spread going 9-7 for (+130 profit). They went over 8 times and came in under 8 times. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Houston Texans. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE STATS WITH LEAGUE RANKINGS

They are an elite scoring team based on points per game, which make sense given their strong yards per play rank. They are an elite scoring defense. They are the #8 ranked team based on yards per play allowed and the #9 ranked team based on TD per play allowed.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Keenan Allen who is projected to be the #6 WR the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.