Miami
Dolphins
Stadium Hard Rock Stadium
5-5-0 Overall | 2-1 AFC EAST 2nd
TEAM STATSRUSHINGPASSINGPTS/G
Offense105.9229.919.9
Defense142262.125.6
Schedule
Regular season
Week 1Sun  9/9
vs
Titans
W27-20
Week 2Sun  9/16
@
Jets
W20-12
Week 3Sun  9/23
vs
Raiders
W28-20
Week 4Sun  9/30
@
Patriots
L7-38
Week 5Sun  10/7
@
Bengals
L17-27
Week 6Sun  10/14
vs
Bears
W / OT31-28
Week 7Sun  10/21
vs
Lions
L21-32
Week 8Thu  10/25
@
Texans
L23-42
Week 9Sun  11/4
vs
Jets
W13-6
Week 10Sun  11/11
@
Packers
L12-31
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (UP OVERALL)

The Dolphins are competing to make the playoffs, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 9.3% chance of making the playoffs. On 9/3 they had a 9.7% chance before increasing to 61% on 9/26. From the start of the season to now their chances are up to 11.6%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AFC at 0.7% (135/1 odds) and a 0.3% chance of winning it all (300/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 39% #2 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 49% #15 Toughest

Dolphins' Season Forecast Changes

Stream Miami games with SlingTV

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 5-5 the Dolphins are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 3.7 wins. If you consider winning as an underdog or winning by 10+ as a slight favorite, then they have 2 good wins vs 0 bad losses. They have exceeded expectations in home games. Their 4-1 home record is +34% better than their expected win percentage. Over the past 3 weeks they have played poorly going 1-3, 25%. In simulations where the Dolphins played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 35.7% of the time (#29 in the league). They have moved up from #32 in the league back on 9/1.

They are a below average scoring team based on points per game and below average in yards per play. They are a below average scoring defense based on points per game and below average in yards per play allowed.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: RAIN

The Dolphins next 4 game forecast looks pretty dreary. They are are the clear underdog in 3 out of the 4 games, and just one game where they are expected to be competitive. They win four games in 1.6% of simulations.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

NOV 25
LIKELY LOSS
29% @IND
1014 miles
DEC 2
LIKELY WIN
72% BUF
--
DEC 9
LIKELY LOSS
23% NE
--
DEC 16
LIKELY LOSS
35% @MIN
1501 miles
DEC 23
CLOSE GAME
56% JAC
--
DEC 30
LIKELY WIN
60% @BUF
1166 miles

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
35 Aikens, Walt DB6-120806/19/19915Liberty
47 Alonso, Kiko OLB6-323908/14/19906Oregon
80 Amendola, Danny WR5-1119011/02/198510Texas Tech
44 Anthony, Stephone LB6-324507/28/19924Clemson
31 Armstrong, Cornell DB6-018509/22/19950Southern Miss
68 Asiata, Isaac G6-334512/29/19922Utah
55 Baker, Jerome OLB6-221512/25/19960Ohio State
27 Ballage, Kalen RB6-223712/22/19950Arizona State
38 Bolden, Brandon RB5-1122001/26/19907Ole Miss
50 Branch, Andre DE6-526307/14/19897Clemson
64 Brendel, Jake C6-429909/10/19923UCLA
--- Butler, Brice WR6-322001/29/19906San Diego State
88 Carroo, Leonte WR6-121501/24/19943Rutgers
77 Davis, Jesse G6-632509/15/19912Idaho
92 Denney, John LS6-524212/13/197814BYU
85 Derby, A.J. TE6-524009/20/19914Arkansas
32 Drake, Kenyan RB6-121101/26/19943Alabama
9 Fales, David QB6-221310/04/19904San Jose State
29 Fitzpatrick, Minkah FS6-120211/17/19960Alabama
86 Gesicki, Mike TE6-624510/03/19950Penn State
56 Godchaux, Davon DT6-331511/11/19942LSU
21 Gore, Frank RB5-921205/14/198314Miami (FL)
19 Grant, Jakeem WR5-716910/30/19923Texas Tech
2 Haack, Matt P6-020207/25/19942Arizona State
90 Harris, Charles DE6-325003/06/19952Missouri
97 Hood, Ziggy DT6-330502/16/198710Missouri
25 Howard, Xavien CB6-119207/04/19933Baylor
45 Hull, Mike LB6-023505/25/19913Penn State
70 James, Ja'Wuan T6-631206/03/19925Tennessee
73 Johnson, Wesley C6-530901/09/19915Vanderbilt
20 Jones, Reshad FS6-121502/25/19889Georgia
62 Larsen, Ted G6-332306/13/19879NC State
28 McCain, Bobby CB5-1119208/18/19934Memphis
22 McDonald, T.J. SS6-222301/26/19916USC
52 McMillan, Raekwon MLB6-224811/17/19952Ohio State
24 McTyer, Torry CB5-1118804/10/19952UNLV
83 O'Leary, Nick TE6-325208/31/19923Florida State
8 Osweiler, Brock QB6-724011/22/19907Arizona State
11 Parker, DeVante WR6-321601/20/19934Louisville
34 Perry, Senorise RB6-021009/19/19914Louisville
94 Quinn, Robert DE6-425705/18/19908North Carolina
7 Sanders, Jason K5-1118611/16/19950New Mexico
81 Smythe, Durham TE6-624808/09/19950Notre Dame
93 Spence, Akeem DT6-130711/29/19916Illinois
74 Sterup, Zach T6-932705/14/19922Nebraska
10 Stills, Kenny WR6-120204/22/19926Oklahoma
66 Swanson, Travis C6-530401/30/19915Arkansas
17 Tannehill, Ryan QB6-420707/27/19887Texas A&M
78 Tunsil, Laremy T6-531808/02/19943Ole Miss
91 Wake, Cameron DE6-326301/30/198210Penn State
98 Williams, Sylvester DT6-232811/21/19886North Carolina
76 Woodard, Jonathan DE6-627109/19/19931Central Arkansas
79 Young, Sam T6-830206/24/19879Notre Dame