SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

After hiring Gary Kubiak as Offensive Coordinator we projected a +1.5 ppg improvement for Minnesota and an above .500 win total. And while you should not overreact from pre-season there are not any indicators that Kirk Cousins will have more success against tough defenses so we made an adjustment downgrading Kubiak's impact. Their odds to win it all are 20/1, 4.8% (#11). Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 1.5% chance is #16 in the league. In simulations, they win the NFC 3.8% of the time and are not a good value at 9/1, 10%. The Vikings are averaging 8 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 9 wins. At +105 the Vikings are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 33.1% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 2/1, 33.3%. They win the division in 21.5% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the NFC.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Their 8-7-1 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their expected win percentage was 58%. They went 7-7-2 against the spread (-70 loss). More of their games came in under (10) than went over (6). They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Atlanta Falcons. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE STATS WITH LEAGUE RANKINGS

They are a below average scoring team based on points per game and below average in yards per play. They are an above average scoring defense, which make sense given their strong yards per play allowed rank.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Adam Thielen who is projected to be the #9 WR. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.