Minnesota
Vikings
Stadium U.S. Bank Stadium
5-3-1 Overall | 1-0 NFC NORTH 2nd
TEAM STATSRUSHINGPASSINGPTS/G
Offense91.7298.324.6
Defense88.9258.122.7
Schedule
Regular season
Week 1Sun  9/9
vs
49ers
W24-16
Week 2Sun  9/16
@
Packers
T / OT29-29
Week 3Sun  9/23
vs
Bills
L6-27
Week 4Thu  9/27
@
Rams
L31-38
Week 5Sun  10/7
@
Eagles
W23-21
Week 6Sun  10/14
vs
Cardinals
W27-17
Week 7Sun  10/21
@
Jets
W37-17
Week 8Sun  10/28
vs
Saints
L20-30
Week 9Sun  11/4
vs
Lions
W24-9
Week 11Sun  11/18
@
Bears
NBC8:20pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN

The Vikings are contenders to win the conference but it is looking less likely to happen. In our pre-season forecast they had a 15.9% chance of reaching the Super Bowl. On 9/3 they had a 13.7% chance before dropping to 1.5% on 10/3. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 3.7%. They have a 27.4% chance of winning their division. Oddsmakers have them at 7/5 to win the division which has an implied probability of 41.7%. They will be fighting for a playoff spot (currently projected to finish #7 in the conference) and have a 52% chance of making the playoffs. Based on the odds, they have a 9.1% chance of winning the NFC (10/1) and a 4.8% chance of winning it all (20/1). In simulations they win the Super Bowl 1.5% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #11 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 49% #15 Toughest

Vikings' Championship Forecast Changes

Stream Minnesota games with SlingTV

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 5-3-1 the Vikings are behind their money line projected win total of 5.3 wins. If you consider winning as an underdog or winning by 10+ as a slight favorite, then they only have one good win and one bad loss. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 2-1 road record is +22% better than their expected win percentage. Over the past 3 weeks they have played better going 3-1, 75%. The Vikings are a good team (in simulations) and won 54.7% of the simulations vs every other team playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#11 in the league). They have moved up from #14 in the league back on 10/2.

They are an average team in points per game. Offensively, they are the #11 ranked team in yards per play. They are the #15 ranked team in offensive TD rate [(PassTD + RushTD) / (Pass Att + Rush Att)]. They are an above average scoring defense, which make sense given their strong yards per play allowed rank.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: RAIN

The Vikings next 4 game forecast looks pretty dreary. They are are the clear underdog in 3 out of the 4 games, and just one game where they are expected to be competitive. They have a 2.5 percent chance of winning four over this stretch.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

NOV 18
LIKELY LOSS
38% @CHI
355 miles
NOV 25
CLOSE GAME
54% GB
--
DEC 2
LIKELY LOSS
30% @NE
1116 miles
DEC 10
CLOSE GAME
44% @SEA
1395 miles
DEC 16
LIKELY WIN
65% MIA
--
DEC 23
CLOSE GAME
52% @DET
541 miles
DEC 30
CLOSE GAME
54% CHI
--

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
31 Abdullah, Ameer RB5-920306/13/19934Nebraska
20 Alexander, Mackensie CB5-1019211/12/19933Clemson
5 Bailey, Dan K6-019501/26/19888Oklahoma State
55 Barr, Anthony OLB6-525503/18/19925UCLA
12 Beebe, Chad WR5-91650Northern Illinois
44 Boone, Mike RB5-1020606/30/19950Cincinnati
90 Bower, Tashawn DE6-525002/18/19952LSU
40 Brothers, Kentrell LB6-124202/08/19933Missouri
79 Compton, Tom G6-631505/10/19896South Dakota
83 Conklin, Tyler TE6-325407/30/19950Central Michigan
33 Cook, Dalvin RB5-1021008/10/19952Florida State
8 Cousins, Kirk QB6-320208/19/19887Michigan State
14 Diggs, Stefon WR6-019111/29/19934Maryland
57 Downs, Devante LB6-225210/18/19950California
65 Elflein, Pat C6-330307/06/19942Ohio State
42 Gedeon, Ben OLB6-224410/16/19942Michigan
97 Griffen, Everson DE6-327312/22/19879USC
30 Ham, C.J. FB5-1123507/22/19932Augustana (S.D.)
41 Harris, Anthony DB6-120210/09/19914Virginia
24 Hill, Holton DB6-219603/28/19970Texas
69 Hill, Rashod T6-631301/12/19923Southern Miss
92 Holmes, Jalyn DT6-528301/25/19960Ohio State
99 Hunter, Danielle DE6-525210/29/19944LSU
23 Iloka, George SS6-422503/31/19907Boise State
63 Isidora, Danny G6-330606/05/19942Miami (FL)
94 Johnson, Jaleel DT6-331607/12/19942Iowa
96 Johnson, Tom DT6-328808/30/19848Southern Miss
61 Jones, Brett C6-231507/29/19914Regina (Canada)
98 Joseph, Linval DT6-432910/10/19889East Carolina
27 Kearse, Jayron SAF6-421502/11/19943Clemson
54 Kendricks, Eric MLB6-023202/29/19924UCLA
47 McDermott, Kevin LS6-524001/12/19906UCLA
89 Morgan, David TE6-426505/19/19933Texas-San Antonio
25 Murray, Latavius RB6-323001/18/19906UCF
75 O'Neill, Brian T6-729709/15/19950Pittsburgh
71 Reiff, Riley T6-630512/01/19887Iowa
74 Remmers, Mike G6-531004/11/19896Oregon State
29 Rhodes, Xavier CB6-121806/19/19906Florida State
93 Richardson, Sheldon DT6-329511/29/19906Missouri
17 Robinson, Aldrick WR5-1018709/24/19886SMU
82 Rudolph, Kyle TE6-626511/09/19898Notre Dame
34 Sendejo, Andrew SS6-121009/09/19878Rice
35 Sherels, Marcus DB5-1017509/30/19878Minnesota
3 Siemian, Trevor QB6-322012/26/19914Northwestern
1 Sloter, Kyle QB6-521802/07/19942Northern Colorado
22 Smith, Harrison FS6-221402/02/19897Notre Dame
19 Thielen, Adam WR6-220008/22/19905Minnesota State
11 Treadwell, Laquon WR6-221506/14/19953Ole Miss
26 Waynes, Trae CB6-019007/25/19924Michigan State
91 Weatherly, Stephen DE6-526503/19/19943Vanderbilt
6 Wile, Matt P6-222506/20/19921Michigan
50 Wilson, Eric LB6-123009/26/19942Cincinnati
15 Zylstra, Brandon WR6-221503/25/19930Concordia (Minn.)