SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Patriots not only have no flaws they arguably only have strengths. They have separated themselves with a nearly 75 percent neutral win percentage (the % of sims they win vs every other team healthy on a neutral field). They are 5 percentage points ahead of the Chiefs and with an easier path towards home field advantage in the AFC they should get this likely matchup at home. Oddsmakers have the Patriots as the favorite to win the Super Bowl. They are a good bet to win the Super Bowl (31.1 percent chance). They are also a good bet to win the AFC at 6/5, 45.5%. Their sim chance is 47.1%. They are projected to win 13 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 11. They are basically a lock to make the playoffs. Their chances of winning their division stand at 0%. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the AFC.

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on the money lines, the Patriots had an expected win percentage of 80% after 2 games. At 2-0, they are beating expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be up 45 units. They are 2-0 against the spread for a 200 profit. Their under-over record is 2-0. Their 11-5 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their game-by-game odds projected record was 11.5-4.5. They were solid against the spread going 9-7 for (+130 profit). More of their games came in under (11) than went over (5). They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the New York Jets. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE STATS WITH LEAGUE RANKINGS

They are an elite scoring team based on points per game, which make sense given their strong yards per play rank. They are an elite scoring defense, despite a relatively low yards per play allowed rank.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Tom Brady who is projected to be the #3 QB the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.