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PLAYOFF FORECAST

The Patriots are +3 point underdogs. They are +138 to win based on the money line which carries a 'juice adjusted' implied probability of 40.2%. The oddsmakers have set the over/under at 55.5 points. If you extrapolate the spread and total lines you get a Vegas expected score of Patriots 26.2 and Chiefs 29.2. The Sportsline game simulations favor the Chiefs.

ADVANCING IN EACH ROUND

They have 19.8% chance of winning the Super Bowl.

The following is the percentage of simulations the Patriots win against the rest of the remaining playoff teams.

• Favored vs the Saints by 51.9%
• Favored vs the Rams by 59.3%

They are an elite scoring team based on points per game, which make sense given their strong yards per play rank. They are an above average scoring defense, despite a relatively low yards per play allowed rank.

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