|Week 2||Fri 8/9|
|Week 3||Sun 8/18|
|Week 4||Sat 8/24|
|Week 5||Thu 8/29|
|Week 1||Mon 9/9|
|Week 2||Sun 9/15|
|Week 3||Sun 9/22|
|Week 4||Sun 9/29|
|Week 5||Sun 10/6|
|Week 6||Sun 10/13|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Heading into the Rams game they were at a 13.4% chance to win the Super Bowl. After the loss (but with Brees playing) they went down to 10.9%. But with Brees out for an estimated 6 games the Saints per game win percentage drops by nearly -17 percent per game which translates to just under 3 wins over the course of a full season. Their championship odds are 20/1, 4.8% (#7 best). They are a good bet to win the Super Bowl (7.7 percent chance). They are also a good bet to win the NFC at 10/1, 9.1%. Their sim chance is 17.6%. They are projected to win 10 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 10.5. Their playoff chances stand at 79.3% (76.1% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the NFC.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Based on the money lines, the Saints had an expected win percentage of 59% after 2 games. At 1-1, they are short of expectations in this early part of the season. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down 67 units. They are 0-2 against the spread for a -220 loss. Their over-under record is 1-1. With a 13-3 record they managed to beat the high expectations that oddsmakers had of them (expected win percentage = 68%). They were very good against the spread going 10-6 for (+340 profit). More of their games came in under (9) than went over (7). Based on computer simulations they only have a 43% chance to beat the Seahawks in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
TEAM OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE STATS WITH LEAGUE RANKINGS
They are an elite scoring team based on points per game, despite a relatively low yards per play rank. They are an average team in points allowed. Offensively, they are the #19 ranked team in yards per play allowed. Based on opponents' TDs per play they are a bottom 10 defense.
TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Alvin Kamara who is projected to be the #6 RB the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|25||Apple, Eli||CB||6-1||203||08/09/1995||4||Ohio State|
|72||Armstead, Terron||T||6-5||304||07/23/1991||7||Arkansas-Pine Bluff|
|24||Bell, Vonn||SS||5-11||205||12/12/1994||4||Ohio State|
|87||Cook, Jared||TE||6-5||254||04/07/1987||11||South Carolina|
|92||Davenport, Marcus||DE||6-6||265||09/04/1996||2||Texas-San Antonio|
|56||Davis, Demario||OLB||6-2||248||01/11/1989||8||Arkansas State|
|97||Edwards, Mario||DE||6-3||280||01/25/1994||5||Florida State|
|19||Ginn, Ted||WR||5-11||180||04/12/1985||13||Ohio State|
|48||Gray, J.T.||DB||6-0||202||01/18/1996||2||Mississippi State|
|91||Hendrickson, Trey||DE||6-4||270||12/05/1994||3||Florida Atlantic|
|89||Hill, Josh||TE||6-5||250||05/21/1990||7||Idaho State|
|53||Klein, A.J.||OLB||6-1||240||07/30/1991||7||Iowa State|
|23||Lattimore, Marshon||CB||6-0||192||05/20/1996||3||Ohio State|
|3||Lutz, Wil||K||5-11||184||07/07/1994||4||Georgia State|
|78||McCoy, Erik||C||6-4||303||08/27/1997||0||Texas A&M|
|93||Onyemata, David||DT||6-4||300||11/13/1992||4||Manitoba (Canada)|
|52||Robertson, Craig||LB||6-1||234||02/11/1988||8||North Texas|
|21||Robinson, Patrick||DB||5-11||191||09/07/1987||10||Florida State|
|13||Thomas, Michael||WR||6-3||212||03/03/1993||4||Ohio State|
|26||Williams, P.J.||CB||6-0||196||06/01/1993||5||Florida State|