New Orleans
Saints
Stadium Mercedes-Benz Superdome
8-1-0 Overall | 1-1 NFC SOUTH 1st
TEAM STATSRUSHINGPASSINGPTS/G
Offense126.829536.7
Defense80.131125.8
Schedule
Regular season
Week 1Sun  9/9
vs
Buccaneers
L40-48
Week 2Sun  9/16
vs
Browns
W21-18
Week 3Sun  9/23
@
Falcons
W / OT43-37
Week 4Sun  9/30
@
Giants
W33-18
Week 5Mon  10/8
vs
Redskins
W43-19
Week 7Sun  10/21
@
Ravens
W24-23
Week 8Sun  10/28
@
Vikings
W30-20
Week 9Sun  11/4
vs
Rams
W45-35
Week 10Sun  11/11
@
Bengals
W51-14
Week 11Sun  11/18
vs
Eagles
FOX4:25pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

The Saints are championship contenders and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had a 4.5% chance of winning it all. On 9/21 they had a 1.4% chance before increasing to 21.8% on 11/12. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 21.6%. Before the start of their 8 game winning streak they were at 1.9%. They are basically a lock to win the division at 95.2%. Oddsmakers have them at 1/10 which has an implied probability of 90.9%. Based on the odds, they have a 41.7% chance of winning the NFC (7/5) and a 26.7% chance of winning it all (11/4). In simulations they make the Super Bowl 38.9% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 57% #4 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 45% #6 Easiest

Saints' Championship Forecast Changes

Stream New Orleans games with SlingTV

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 8-1 the Saints are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 5.6 wins. If you consider winning as an underdog or winning by 10+ as a slight favorite, then they have 3 good wins and one bad loss. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 5-0 road record is +44% better than their expected win percentage. Winners of 8 in a row they have a 29.6% chance of extending that to 11 straight. We have simulated the Saints playing every other team on a neutral court (with players who would be available in the playoffs) and they won an impressive 69.2% of the time (#1 in the league). They have moved up from #12 in the league back on 9/18.

They are an elite scoring team based on points per game, despite a relatively low yards per play rank. They are a below average scoring defense based on points per game and below average in yards per play allowed.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: PERFECT

The forecast for their next 4 games is very good. They have 4 likely wins where they are winning >62% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -5 point favorite, and no games where they are a clear underdog. They have a 24.7 percent chance of winning four over this stretch.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

NOV 18
LIKELY WIN
65% PHI
--
NOV 22
LIKELY WIN
70% ATL
--
NOV 29
LIKELY WIN
65% @DAL
457 miles
DEC 9
LIKELY WIN
80% @TB
478 miles
DEC 17
LIKELY WIN
68% @CAR
649 miles
DEC 23
CLOSE GAME
58% PIT
--
DEC 30
LIKELY WIN
67% CAR
--

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

  • 8605562.jpg
    247 sports

    Alvin Kamara scores 2nd TD at Bengals

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
47 Anzalone, Alex MLB6-324109/22/19942Florida
25 Apple, Eli CB6-120308/09/19953Ohio State
72 Armstead, Terron T6-530407/23/19916Arkansas-Pine Bluff
85 Arnold, Dan TE6-622003/15/19952Wis.-Platteville
31 Banjo, Chris DB5-1020702/26/19905SMU
24 Bell, Vonn SS5-1120512/12/19943Ohio State
59 Biegel, Vince LB6-324607/02/19932Wisconsin
9 Brees, Drew QB6-020901/15/197918Purdue
5 Bridgewater, Teddy QB6-221511/10/19925Louisville
74 Bushrod, Jermon G6-531808/19/198412Towson
80 Carr, Austin WR6-119512/25/19932Northwestern
64 Clapp, Will C6-531112/10/19950LSU
29 Coleman, Kurt SS5-1120804/01/19889Ohio State
20 Crawley, Ken CB6-118002/08/19933Colorado
92 Davenport, Marcus DE6-626509/04/19960Texas-San Antonio
56 Davis, Demario OLB6-224801/11/19897Arkansas State
95 Davison, Tyeler DT6-230909/03/19924Fresno State
79 Green, Chaz G6-531804/08/19924Florida
34 Hardee, Justin DB6-120002/07/19942Illinois
91 Hendrickson, Trey DE6-427012/05/19942Florida Atlantic
89 Hill, Josh TE6-525005/21/19906Idaho State
7 Hill, Taysom QB6-222108/23/19902BYU
22 Ingram, Mark RB5-921512/21/19898Alabama
94 Jordan, Cameron DE6-428707/10/19898California
41 Kamara, Alvin RB5-1021507/25/19952Tennessee
18 Kirkwood, Keith WR6-321012/26/19930Temple
53 Klein, A.J. OLB6-124007/30/19916Iowa State
23 Lattimore, Marshon CB6-019205/20/19962Ohio State
42 Line, Zach FB6-123304/26/19906SMU
70 Loewen, Mitchell DE6-527502/14/19932Arkansas
3 Lutz, Wil K5-1118407/07/19943Georgia State
--- Marshall, Brandon WR6-523203/23/198413UCF
6 Morstead, Thomas P6-423503/08/198610SMU
57 Okafor, Alex DE6-426102/08/19916Texas
65 Ola, Michael T6-531204/19/19885Hampton
93 Onyemata, David DT6-430011/13/19923Manitoba (Canada)
75 Peat, Andrus G6-731611/04/19934Stanford
71 Ramczyk, Ryan T6-631404/22/19942Wisconsin
98 Rankins, Sheldon DT6-230504/02/19943Louisville
52 Robertson, Craig LB6-123402/11/19886North Texas
32 Robinson, Josh DB5-1020001/08/19917UCF
10 Smith, Tre'Quan WR6-221001/07/19960UCF
76 Stallworth, Taylor DT6-230508/18/19950South Carolina
51 Te'o, Manti MLB6-124101/26/19916Notre Dame
13 Thomas, Michael WR6-321203/03/19933Ohio State
63 Tom, Cameron C6-430006/21/19952Southern Miss
60 Unger, Max C6-530504/14/198610Oregon
67 Warford, Larry G6-331706/18/19916Kentucky
36 Washington, Dwayne RB6-122304/24/19943Washington
82 Watson, Benjamin TE6-325112/18/198015Georgia
43 Williams, Marcus FS6-119509/08/19962Utah
26 Williams, P.J. CB6-019606/01/19934Florida State
49 Wood, Zach LS6-325501/10/19932SMU