LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

Before the season, the Giants were projected to win 6.1 games (average per simulation) and things are looking positive. On 9/14 their projected win total was up to 6.4 before dropping to 3.6 on 11/9. Their current projected win total is 6.4. Before the start of their 2 game winning streak they were projected for 5.1 wins. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the NFC at 0.2% (500/1 odds) and a 0.1% chance of winning it all (1000/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

• Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 43% #10 Easiest
• Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 53% #8 Toughest

Giants' Season Forecast Changes

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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 5-8 the Giants are behind their money line projected win total of 5.3 wins. If you consider winning as an underdog or winning by 10+ as a slight favorite, then they have 4 good wins and one bad loss. They have come up especially short at home. Their 2-4 home record is -12% lower than their expected win percentage. Over the past 3 weeks they have played better going 3-1 in a stretch where their projected win rate was 1.9 wins. In simulations where the Giants played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 43.6% of the time (#23 in the league). They have moved up from #31 in the league back on 10/16.

They are an average team in points per game. Offensively, they are the #14 ranked team in yards per play. They are the #20 ranked team in offensive TD rate [(PassTD + RushTD) / (Pass Att + Rush Att)]. They are a below average scoring defense based on points per game, despite having a much better defensive TD rate.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

NEXT 3 GAME OUTLOOK: RAIN

The Giants next 3 game forecast looks pretty dreary. They have 2 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and just 1 game where they are a clear underdog. They have a 9.5 percent chance of winning three over this stretch.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game
DEC 16
CLOSE GAME
54% TEN
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DEC 23
LIKELY LOSS
38% @IND
642 miles
DEC 30
CLOSE GAME
45% DAL
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FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.