LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN

The Eagles are competing to make the playoffs but their chances are on a downward trend. In our pre-season forecast they had an 81.2% chance of making the playoffs. On 9/14 they had a 90.1% chance before dropping to 20.6% on 11/12. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 20.5%. They have a 17% chance of winning their division. Oddsmakers have them at 9/4 to win the division which has an implied probability of 30.8%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the NFC at 4.8% (20/1 odds) and a 2.4% chance of winning it all (40/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

• Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 69% #1 Toughest
• Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 35% #0 Easiest

Eagles' Season Forecast Changes

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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 4-5 the Eagles are behind their money line projected win total of 5.6 wins. They have come up especially short at home. Their 2-3 home record is -26% lower than their expected win percentage. Over the past 3 weeks they have played poorly going 1-2, 33%. The Eagles are a good team (in simulations) and won 57.6% of the simulations vs every other team playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#7 in the league). They have moved up from #10 in the league back on 10/9.

They are a below average scoring team based on points per game, despite having a much better yards per play rank. They are an elite scoring defense, despite a relatively low yards per play allowed rank.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: MIX

The Eagles next 4 game forecast looks like a mix of 'clouds and sun'. They have 2 games where they are favored by >55% of the simulations, and just 1 game where they are a clear underdog. They have an 7.7 percent chance of winning four over this stretch.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game
NOV 18
LIKELY LOSS
34% @NO
1088 miles
NOV 25
LIKELY WIN
71% NYG
--
DEC 3
CLOSE GAME
59% WAS
--
DEC 9
CLOSE GAME
50% @DAL
1314 miles
DEC 16
LIKELY LOSS
31% @LAR
2394 miles
DEC 23
CLOSE GAME
60% HOU
--
DEC 30
CLOSE GAME
50% @WAS
114 miles

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.