SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Even with Ben Roethlisberger it turned out Antonio Brown was the straw the stirred the Steelers' drink. Ask any Steelers hater who they feared and they would tell you it was Brown. People also got too excited about James Conner's yards per carry being better than LeVeon Bell's. Bell's ability to crank out 4.2 ypc on 25 carries was very underappreciated. Now with Ben out the team is definitely done for the season. Although on a per game basis, Mason Rudolph is projected to fare surprisingly well and the Steelers' per game spread only lost around 3 points without Ben. The Steelers are not contenders to win the Super Bowl at 200/1, 0.5%. They are one of 2 teams with these odds (#23 in the league). While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the Super Bowl is under 0.1 percent. In simulations, they win the AFC 0.1% of the time and are not a good value at 100/1, 1%. They are projected to win 7 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 9.5. Their playoff chances stand at 12.9% (4.2% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the AFC.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on the money lines, the Steelers had an expected win percentage of 48% after 2 games. At 0-2, they are short of expectations in this early part of the season. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down 200 units. They are 0-2 against the spread for a -220 loss. Their over-under record is 1-1. They were expected to win 60% of their games last season so their 9-6-1 met expectations. They were solid against the spread going 8-7-1 for (+30 profit). They went over 8 times and came in under 8 times. Based on computer simulations they only have a 36% chance to beat the 49ers in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE STATS WITH LEAGUE RANKINGS

They are an above average scoring team based on points per game, which make sense given their strong yards per play rank. They are a below average scoring defense based on points per game, despite having a much better yards per play allowed rank.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by James Conner who is projected to be the #11 RB the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.