Pittsburgh
Steelers
Stadium Heinz Field
6-2-1 Overall | 3-1 AFC NORTH 1st
TEAM STATSRUSHINGPASSINGPTS/G
Offense105.732331
Defense90.8269.123.2
Schedule
Regular season
Week 1Sun  9/9
@
Browns
T / OT21-21
Week 2Sun  9/16
vs
Chiefs
L37-42
Week 3Mon  9/24
@
Buccaneers
W30-27
Week 4Sun  9/30
vs
Ravens
L14-26
Week 5Sun  10/7
vs
Falcons
W41-17
Week 6Sun  10/14
@
Bengals
W28-21
Week 8Sun  10/28
vs
Browns
W33-18
Week 9Sun  11/4
@
Ravens
W23-16
Week 10Thu  11/8
vs
Panthers
W52-21
Week 11Sun  11/18
@
Jaguars
CBS1:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (UP OVERALL)

The Steelers are championship contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 6.3% chance of winning it all. On 9/3 they had an 8.2% chance before dropping to 0.9% on 10/5 (streak start). From the start of the season to now their chances are up to 7.1%. They have an 88.3% chance of winning their division. Oddsmakers have them at 1/2 to win the division which has an implied probability of 66.7%. They are projected to finish #4 in the conference and have a 93% chance of making the playoffs. Based on the odds, they have a 28.6% chance of winning the AFC (5/2) and a 14.3% chance of winning it all (6/1). In simulations they make the Super Bowl 14% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 49% #14 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 45% #6 Easiest

Steelers' Championship Forecast Changes

Stream Pittsburgh games with SlingTV

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A-

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 6-2-1 the Steelers are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 5.3 wins. If you consider winning as an underdog or winning by 10+ as a slight favorite, then they have 3 good wins vs 2 bad losses. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 3-0 road record is +48% better than their expected win percentage. Winners of 5 in a row they have a 17.5% chance of extending that to 8 straight. The Steelers perform very well in our power ranking simulations beating every other team 64.9% of the time (#5 in the league). This is their peak for the season. Back on 10/2 they were at 57.1%. In our pre-season simulations they were ranked #0 winning 60.3%.

They are an elite scoring team based on points per game, which make sense given their strong yards per play rank. They are an above average scoring defense, which make sense given their strong yards per play allowed rank.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: MOSTLY SUNNY

The forecast for their next 4 games is generally good. They have 3 games where they are favored by >55% of the simulations, and no games where they are a clear underdog. They win four games in 14.7% of simulations.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

NOV 18
LIKELY WIN
61% @JAC
706 miles
NOV 25
LIKELY WIN
61% @DEN
1320 miles
DEC 2
CLOSE GAME
47% LAC
--
DEC 9
LIKELY WIN
85% @OAK
2251 miles
DEC 16
LIKELY LOSS
39% NE
--
DEC 23
CLOSE GAME
41% @NO
921 miles
DEC 30
LIKELY WIN
74% CIN
--

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
29 Allen, Brian CB6-321510/21/19932Utah
27 Allen, Marcus DB6-221508/07/19960Penn State
94 Alualu, Tyson DE6-330405/12/19879California
69 Banner, Zach T6-836012/25/19932USC
4 Berry, Jordan P6-519503/18/19914Eastern Kentucky
51 Bostic, Jon ILB6-124505/05/19916Florida
9 Boswell, Chris K6-218503/16/19914Rice
84 Brown, Antonio WR5-1018107/10/19889Central Michigan
42 Burnett, Morgan SS6-120901/13/19899Georgia Tech
25 Burns, Artie CB6-019705/01/19953Miami (FL)
57 Canaday, Kameron LS6-424508/20/19922Portland State
56 Chickillo, Anthony LB6-325512/10/19924Miami (FL)
30 Conner, James RB6-123305/05/19952Pittsburgh
37 Dangerfield, Jordan DB5-1119912/25/19902Towson
21 Davis, Sean FS6-120210/23/19933Maryland
66 DeCastro, David G6-531601/11/19907Stanford
5 Dobbs, Joshua QB6-321601/26/19952Tennessee
48 Dupree, Bud OLB6-426902/12/19934Kentucky
34 Edmunds, Terrell SS6-121701/20/19970Virginia Tech
71 Feiler, Matt T6-633007/07/19922Bloomsburg
67 Finney, B.J. G6-431810/26/19913Kansas State
54 Fort, L.J. LB6-023201/03/19904Northern Iowa
73 Foster, Ramon G6-532801/07/198610Tennessee
77 Gilbert, Marcus T6-633002/15/19888Florida
85 Grimble, Xavier TE6-426109/22/19923USC
23 Haden, Joe CB5-1119504/14/19899Florida
79 Hargrave, Javon NT6-230502/07/19933South Carolina State
97 Heyward, Cameron DE6-529505/06/19898Ohio State
88 Heyward-Bey, Darrius WR6-221002/26/198710Maryland
28 Hilton, Mike CB5-918403/09/19942Ole Miss
11 Hunter, Justin WR6-420305/20/19916Tennessee
81 James, Jesse TE6-726106/04/19944Penn State
44 Matakevich, Tyler ILB6-123512/22/19923Temple
93 McCullers-Sanders, Dan DT6-735208/11/19925Tennessee
89 McDonald, Vance TE6-426706/13/19906Rice
45 Nix-Jones, Roosevelt FB5-1124803/30/19924Kent State
76 Okorafor, Chuks T6-632008/08/19970Western Michigan
53 Pouncey, Maurkice C6-430407/24/19899Florida
22 Ridley, Stevan RB5-1122001/27/19896LSU
--- Rodgers, Jake T6-632009/10/19911Eastern Washington
7 Roethlisberger, Ben QB6-524003/02/198215Miami (OH)
2 Rudolph, Mason QB6-523507/17/19950Oklahoma State
38 Samuels, Jaylen RB6-022507/29/19960NC State
24 Sensabaugh, Coty CB5-1118711/15/19887Clemson
19 Smith-Schuster, JuJu WR6-121511/22/19962USC
20 Sutton, Cameron CB5-1118802/27/19952Tennessee
10 Switzer, Ryan WR5-818511/04/19942North Carolina
46 Thomas, Matthew LB6-323207/21/19950Florida State
91 Tuitt, Stephon DE6-630305/23/19935Notre Dame
78 Villanueva, Alejandro T6-932009/22/19884Army West Point
96 Walton, L.T. DE6-530503/31/19924Central Michigan
13 Washington, James WR5-1121304/02/19960Oklahoma State
90 Watt, T.J. OLB6-425210/11/19942Wisconsin
98 Williams, Vince ILB6-123312/27/19896Florida State