SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Jimmy Garoppolo is expected to help the 49ers improve from 21 point per game to that 24.5 - 25 point range. Their emphasis on defense in the draft helps them improve to over 7 wins per sim, but not enough to win the division. They are one of 3 teams with 40/1, 2.4% odds to win the Super Bowl. Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.6% chance is #18 in the league. In simulations, they win the NFC 1.5% of the time and are not a good value at 20/1, 4.8%. The 49ers are averaging 7.5 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 8 wins. At +190 the 49ers are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 24.3% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 7/2, 22.2%. They win the division in 9.2% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the NFC.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Oddsmakers expected them to win 6.2 based on their money line game odds. Their 4-12 record last season was very disappointing. They were not good against the spread going 5-11 (-710 loss). They went over 9 times and came in under 7 times. Based on computer simulations they only have a 46% chance to beat the Buccaneers in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE STATS WITH LEAGUE RANKINGS

They are a below average scoring team based on points per game and a below average offensive TD per play rate. They are a very poor scoring defense based on points per game, despite having a much better yards per play allowed rank.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by George Kittle who is projected to be the #3 TE. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.