Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
Stadium Raymond James Stadium
3-7-0 Overall | 1-2 NFC SOUTH 4th
TEAM STATSRUSHINGPASSINGPTS/G
Offense97.5374.626.7
Defense113.6298.632.9
Schedule
Regular season
Week 1Sun  9/9
@
Saints
W48-40
Week 2Sun  9/16
vs
Eagles
W27-21
Week 3Mon  9/24
vs
Steelers
L27-30
Week 4Sun  9/30
@
Bears
L10-48
Week 6Sun  10/14
@
Falcons
L29-34
Week 7Sun  10/21
vs
Browns
W / OT26-23
Week 8Sun  10/28
@
Bengals
L34-37
Week 9Sun  11/4
@
Panthers
L28-42
Week 10Sun  11/11
vs
Redskins
L3-16
Week 11Sun  11/18
@
Giants
L35-38
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 3-6 the Buccaneers are behind their money line projected win total of 3.9 wins. They have 3 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 2 good wins (upset wins, or blowout victory in what was expected to be a close game). Their performance on the road has left a lot to be desired. Their 1-4 road record is -14% lower than their expected win percentage. Losers of 3 in a row they have a 21.8% chance of seeing that extend to 5 straight. In simulations where the Buccaneers played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 41.2% of the time (#26 in the league). Their peak rank was #10 in the league back on 9/24.

They are an above average scoring team based on points per game, which make sense given their strong yards per play rank. They are a very poor scoring defense based on points per game and a below average defensive TD rate.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

Stream Tampa Bay games with SlingTV

NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: RAIN

The Buccaneers next 4 game forecast looks pretty dreary. They have 3 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and just 1 game where they are a clear underdog. They have a 2.4 percent chance of winning four over this stretch.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

NOV 18
CLOSE GAME
48% @NYG
1009 miles
NOV 25
CLOSE GAME
58% SF
--
DEC 2
CLOSE GAME
45% CAR
--
DEC 9
LIKELY LOSS
19% NO
--
DEC 16
LIKELY LOSS
26% @BAL
851 miles
DEC 23
LIKELY LOSS
31% @DAL
930 miles
DEC 30
CLOSE GAME
41% ATL
--

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

Before the season, the Buccaneers were projected to win 6.2 games (average per simulation), and their projected win total has been up and down this season. On 9/23 their projected win total was up to 8.2 before dropping to 5.7 on 11/13. From the start of the season to now their projected win total is down to 5.7 wins. Before the start of their 3 game losing streak they were projected for 7.3 wins. The playoffs are not likely with their 0.9% chance and a projected #13 finish in the conference. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the NFC at 0.2% (500/1 odds) and a 0.1% chance of winning it all (1000/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 39% #2 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 64% #3 Toughest

Buccaneers' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
26 Adams, Andrew DB5-1120510/28/19923Connecticut
91 Allen, Beau DT6-332711/14/19915Wisconsin
9 Anger, Bryan P6-320510/06/19887California
82 Auclair, Antony TE6-625605/28/19932Laval (Canada)
25 Barber, Peyton RB5-1122502/27/19943Auburn
77 Benenoch, Caleb G6-530508/08/19943UCLA
59 Bond, Devante LB6-123607/03/19933Oklahoma
84 Brate, Cameron TE6-524507/03/19914Harvard
49 Bullough, Riley LB6-222811/23/19931Michigan State
65 Cappa, Alex G6-630501/27/19950Humboldt State
45 Cross, Alan TE6-123505/02/19933Memphis
97 Curry, Vinny DE6-327906/30/19887Marshall
54 David, Lavonte OLB6-123301/23/19907Nebraska
33 Davis, Carlton CB6-120612/31/19960Auburn
69 Dotson, Demar T6-931510/11/198510Southern Miss
35 Elliott, Javien CB5-1117607/18/19933Florida State
21 Evans, Justin SS6-019908/26/19952Texas A&M
13 Evans, Mike WR6-523108/21/19935Texas A&M
14 Fitzpatrick, Ryan QB6-222311/24/198214Harvard
92 Gholston, William DT6-628107/31/19916Michigan State
12 Godwin, Chris WR6-120902/27/19962Penn State
4 Griffin, Ryan QB6-521011/17/19895Tulane
24 Grimes, Brent CB5-1018507/19/198312Shippensburg
22 Harris, De'Vante CB5-1119006/30/19933Texas A&M
80 Howard, O.J. TE6-625111/19/19942Alabama
10 Humphries, Adam WR5-1119506/24/19934Clemson
34 Igwebuike, Godwin DB6-021209/10/19940Northwestern
11 Jackson, DeSean WR5-1017512/01/198611California
66 Jensen, Ryan C6-431905/27/19915Colorado State-Pueblo
39 Johnson, Isaiah FS6-020910/14/19921South Carolina
27 Jones, Ronald RB5-1120808/03/19970USC
67 Liedtke, Michael G6-330501/15/19921Illinois State
52 Lynch, Cameron LB6-022908/04/19934Syracuse
74 Marpet, Ali G6-430704/17/19934Hobart
93 McCoy, Gerald DT6-430002/25/19889Oklahoma
41 Minter, Kevin LB6-024612/03/19906LSU
94 Nassib, Carl DE6-727504/12/19933Penn State
55 Nunez-Roches, Rakeem DT6-230707/03/19934Southern Miss
44 Ogunbowale, Dare RB5-1020505/04/19941Wisconsin
90 Pierre-Paul, Jason DE6-527501/01/19899South Florida
32 Rodgers, Jacquizz RB5-620502/06/19908Oregon State
89 Sanborn, Garrison LS6-124007/31/198510Florida State
5 Santos, Cairo K5-816011/12/19915Tulane
76 Smith, Donovan T6-633806/23/19934Penn State
29 Smith, Ryan CB5-1118909/07/19933North Carolina Central
57 Spence, Noah DE6-225101/08/19943Eastern Kentucky
36 Stewart, M.J. CB5-1120009/16/19950North Carolina
53 Taylor, Adarius OLB6-123009/21/19904Florida Atlantic
50 Vea, Vita DT6-434702/05/19950Washington
17 Watson, Justin WR6-321504/04/19960Pennsylvania
61 Wester, Leonard T6-630501/03/19933Missouri Western State
31 Whitehead, Jordan FS5-1019803/18/19970Pittsburgh
3 Winston, Jameis QB6-423101/06/19944Florida State