Tennessee
Titans
Stadium Nissan Stadium
5-4-0 Overall | 2-0 AFC SOUTH 2nd
TEAM STATSRUSHINGPASSINGPTS/G
Offense114.4203.918.7
Defense99.8242.116.8
Schedule
Regular season
Week 1Sun  9/9
@
Dolphins
L20-27
Week 2Sun  9/16
vs
Texans
W20-17
Week 3Sun  9/23
@
Jaguars
W9-6
Week 4Sun  9/30
vs
Eagles
W / OT26-23
Week 5Sun  10/7
@
Bills
L12-13
Week 6Sun  10/14
vs
Ravens
L0-21
Week 7Sun  10/21
@
Chargers
L19-20
Week 9Mon  11/5
@
Cowboys
W28-14
Week 10Sun  11/11
vs
Patriots
W34-10
Week 11Sun  11/18
@
Colts
CBS1:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: MIX

The forecast for their next 4 games is a mixed bag. They have 2 likely wins where they are winning >62% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -5 point favorite, and just 1 game where they are a clear underdog. They have an 7.7 percent chance of winning four over this stretch.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

NOV 18
LIKELY LOSS
39% @IND
251 miles
NOV 26
CLOSE GAME
46% @HOU
672 miles
DEC 2
LIKELY WIN
71% NYJ
--
DEC 6
LIKELY WIN
62% JAC
--
DEC 16
LIKELY WIN
65% @NYG
758 miles
DEC 22
CLOSE GAME
56% WAS
--
DEC 30
CLOSE GAME
52% IND
--

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For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A-

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 5-4 the Titans are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 3.5 wins. They have exceeded expectations in home games. Their 3-1 home record is +37% better than their expected win percentage. Over the past 3 weeks they have played better going 2-1 in a stretch where their projected win rate was 0.9 wins. The Titans should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 53.3% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#13 in the league). They have moved up from #21 in the league back on 10/15.

They are a very poor scoring team based on points per game and below average in yards per play. They are an elite scoring defense, which makes sense given their TD per play allowed rate.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

The Titans are contenders to win the conference, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 4.3% chance of reaching the Super Bowl. On 9/28 they had a 4.8% chance before dropping to 0.7% on 11/4 (streak start). From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 2.8%. They have a 35.7% chance of winning their division. Oddsmakers have them at 9/2 to win the division which has an implied probability of 18.2%. They are projected to finish #6 in the conference and have a 47% chance of making the playoffs. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AFC at 3.8% (25/1 odds) and a 1.6% chance of winning it all (60/1). In simulations they win the Super Bowl 1% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 41% #6 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 54% #7 Toughest

Titans' Championship Forecast Changes

FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
53 Bates, Daren LB5-1122511/27/19906Auburn
17 Batson, Cameron WR5-817512/20/19950Texas Tech
48 Brinkley, Beau LS6-426001/25/19907Missouri
55 Brown, Jayon ILB6-022602/26/19952UCLA
21 Butler, Malcolm CB5-1119003/02/19905West Alabama
31 Byard, Kevin FS5-1121208/17/19933Middle Tennessee
99 Casey, Jurrell DE6-130512/05/19898USC
51 Compton, Will ILB6-123509/19/19895Nebraska
78 Conklin, Jack T6-630808/17/19943Michigan State
44 Correa, Kamalei OLB6-324104/27/19943Boise State
29 Cruikshank, Dane DB6-120904/27/19950Arizona
84 Davis, Corey WR6-320901/11/19952Western Michigan
39 Dawkins, Dalyn RB5-718312/26/19940Colorado State
92 Dickerson, Matt DE6-529211/09/19950UCLA
20 Durden, Kenneth DB6-118005/16/19921Youngstown State
54 Evans, Rashaan ILB6-223211/08/19950Alabama
56 Finch, Sharif LB6-425010/01/19950Temple
86 Firkser, Anthony TE6-224602/19/19951Harvard
32 Fluellen, David RB5-1122401/28/19922Toledo
7 Gabbert, Blaine QB6-423510/15/19898Missouri
22 Henry, Derrick RB6-324701/04/19943Alabama
25 Jackson, Adoree' CB5-1118509/18/19952USC
15 Jennings, Darius WR5-1018006/28/19922Virginia
94 Johnson, Austin NT6-431405/08/19943Penn State
60 Jones, Ben C6-330807/02/19897Georgia
90 Jones, DaQuan DE6-432212/27/19915Penn State
71 Kelly, Dennis T6-832101/16/19907Purdue
6 Kern, Brett P6-221402/17/198611Toledo
97 Kilgo, Darius NT6-332012/14/19913Maryland
64 Kline, Josh G6-330012/29/19896Kent State
58 Landry, Harold LB6-225206/05/19960Boston College
62 Levin, Corey G6-430708/12/19942Tennessee-Chattanooga
77 Lewan, Taylor T6-730907/22/19915Michigan
33 Lewis, Dion RB5-819509/27/19907Pittsburgh
28 Lewis, Kendrick SS6-020506/16/19888Ole Miss
96 Logan, Bennie DT6-231512/28/19896LSU
8 Mariota, Marcus QB6-422210/30/19934Oregon
69 Marz, Tyler T6-731609/09/19922Wisconsin
91 Morgan, Derrick OLB6-426101/06/19899Georgia Tech
98 Orakpo, Brian OLB6-425707/31/198610Texas
85 Pruitt, MyCole TE6-224503/24/19922Southern Illinois
26 Ryan, Logan CB5-1119502/09/19916Rutgers
19 Sharpe, Tajae WR6-219412/23/19943Massachusetts
36 Sims, LeShaun CB6-020309/18/19933Southern Utah
81 Smith, Jonnu TE6-324808/22/19952Florida International
67 Spain, Quinton G6-433008/07/19914West Virginia
61 Stinnie, Aaron G6-331202/18/19940James Madison
88 Stocker, Luke TE6-525307/17/19888Tennessee
4 Succop, Ryan K6-221809/19/198610South Carolina
13 Taylor, Taywan WR5-1120303/02/19952Western Kentucky
41 Trawick, Brynden DB6-222510/23/19896Troy
24 Vaccaro, Kenny SS6-021402/15/19916Texas
59 Woodyard, Wesley ILB6-023307/21/198611Kentucky