SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their championship odds are 100/1, 1% (#20 best). Their simulation based win percentage (0.9%) is not better than their odds implied probability but it would be if not for the juice on the lines. They are a good bet to win the AFC at 50/1, 2%. Their sim chance is 2.4%. They are projected to win 8 games and live up to their pre-season futures line of 8. Their playoff chances stand at 47.6% (33.3% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the AFC.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

At 1-1 record they are where they were expected to be. Their money line implied win percentage at this point of the season is 47%. If you bet on them to win every game you would be up 107 units. They are 1-1 against the spread for a -10 loss. Their over-under record is 1-1. They overachieved last season. Their game odds projected to 7.5 wins. Their 9-7 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. They went 8-8 against the spread (-80 loss). They went over 8 times and came in under 8 times. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Jacksonville Jaguars. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE STATS WITH LEAGUE RANKINGS

They are a below average scoring team based on points per game and below average in yards per play. They are an elite scoring defense, which makes sense given their TD per play allowed rate.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Delanie Walker who is projected to be the #7 TE the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.