Washington
Redskins
Stadium FedEx Field
6-4-0 Overall | 2-0 NFC EAST 1st
TEAM STATSRUSHINGPASSINGPTS/G
Offense121.5223.419.7
Defense95.7278.819.8
Schedule
Regular season
Week 1Sun  9/9
@
Cardinals
W24-6
Week 2Sun  9/16
vs
Colts
L9-21
Week 3Sun  9/23
vs
Packers
W31-17
Week 5Mon  10/8
@
Saints
L19-43
Week 6Sun  10/14
vs
Panthers
W23-17
Week 7Sun  10/21
vs
Cowboys
W20-17
Week 8Sun  10/28
@
Giants
W20-13
Week 9Sun  11/4
vs
Falcons
L14-38
Week 10Sun  11/11
@
Buccaneers
W16-3
Week 11Sun  11/18
vs
Texans
L21-23
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

The Redskins are contenders to win the conference and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had a 1.2% chance of reaching the Super Bowl. On 8/17 they had a 0.7% chance before increasing to 6.6% on 11/2. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 3.7%. They have a 70.5% chance of winning their division. Oddsmakers have them at 4/5 to win the division which has an implied probability of 55.6%. They are projected to finish #4 in the conference and have a 79% chance of making the playoffs. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the NFC at 3.2% (30/1 odds) and a 1.6% chance of winning it all (60/1). In simulations they win the Super Bowl 1.1% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 54% #7 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 28% #-1 Easiest

Redskins' Championship Forecast Changes

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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A-

Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 6-3 the Redskins are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 4.3 wins. If you consider winning as an underdog or winning by 10+ as a slight favorite, then they have 5 good wins vs 2 bad losses. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 3-1 road record is +33% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (3-1, 75%) is better than their expected 48% win percentage. In simulations, the Redskins are a below average team and won 49.1% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#18 in the league). Their peak rank was #16 in the league back on 10/29.

They are a very poor scoring team based on points per game and below average in yards per play. They are an elite scoring defense, despite a relatively low yards per play allowed rank.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

TEAM DEFENSE:

NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: MIX

The forecast for their next 4 games is a mixed bag. They have 2 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and 2 games where they are a clear underdog. They have a 5.7 percent chance of winning four over this stretch.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

NOV 18
CLOSE GAME
46% HOU
--
NOV 22
CLOSE GAME
41% @DAL
1209 miles
DEC 3
LIKELY LOSS
39% @PHI
114 miles
DEC 9
LIKELY WIN
65% NYG
--
DEC 16
CLOSE GAME
48% @JAC
653 miles
DEC 22
CLOSE GAME
44% @TEN
575 miles
DEC 30
CLOSE GAME
49% PHI
--

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

FANTASY TEAM LEADERS

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
39 Alexander, Adonis DB6-319711/07/19960Virginia Tech
93 Allen, Jonathan DE6-329401/16/19952Alabama
52 Anderson, Ryan LB6-225308/12/19942Alabama
66 Bergstrom, Tony C6-531008/08/19867Utah
46 Bibbs, Kapri RB5-1120301/10/19933Colorado State
69 Bowanko, Luke C6-630006/13/19916Virginia
99 Brantley, Caleb DT6-230709/02/19942Florida
53 Brown, Zach ILB6-125010/23/19897North Carolina
16 Chesson, Jehu WR6-220412/29/19932Michigan
20 Clinton-Dix, Ha Ha FS6-120812/21/19925Alabama
72 Cooper, Jonathan G6-230801/19/19906North Carolina
80 Crowder, Jamison WR5-917706/17/19934Duke
85 Davis, Vernon TE6-324401/31/198413Maryland
18 Doctson, Josh WR6-220212/03/19923TCU
23 Dunbar, Quinton CB6-219707/22/19924Florida
22 Everett, Deshazor DB6-019502/22/19924Texas A&M
17 Floyd, Michael WR6-322011/27/19897Notre Dame
54 Foster, Mason ILB6-125003/01/19898Washington
51 Hamilton, Shaun Dion LB6-023509/11/19950Alabama
13 Harris, Maurice WR6-320011/11/19923California
40 Harvey-Clemons, Josh LB6-423002/20/19942Louisville
3 Hopkins, Dustin K6-220310/01/19905Florida State
78 Howard, Austin T6-733003/22/19879Northern Iowa
98 Ioannidis, Matthew DE6-330501/11/19943Temple
41 Johnson, Danny DB5-918111/17/19950Southern University
91 Kerrigan, Ryan OLB6-425908/16/19888Purdue
--- Marshall, Byron RB5-922502/13/19942Oregon
12 McCoy, Colt QB6-121009/05/19869Texas
92 McGee, Stacy DT6-334101/17/19906Oklahoma
59 McKinzy, Cassanova LB6-325711/17/19921Auburn
96 McPhee, Pernell LB6-326512/17/19888Mississippi State
31 Moreau, Fabian CB6-020004/09/19942UCLA
76 Moses, Morgan T6-633503/03/19915Virginia
35 Nicholson, Montae SS6-221512/04/19952Michigan State
24 Norman, Josh CB6-020012/15/19877Coastal Carolina
79 Nsekhe, Ty T6-833010/27/19854Texas State
95 Payne, Da'Ron NT6-331905/27/19970Alabama
32 Perine, Samaje RB5-1123309/16/19952Oklahoma
26 Peterson, Adrian RB6-122003/21/198511Oklahoma
14 Quinn, Trey WR6-020012/07/19950SMU
86 Reed, Jordan TE6-224507/03/19906Florida
73 Roullier, Chase C6-431008/23/19932Wyoming
97 Settle, Tim DT6-332807/11/19970Virginia Tech
11 Smith, Alex QB6-421305/07/198414Utah
94 Smith, Preston OLB6-526511/17/19924Mississippi State
87 Sprinkle, Jeremy TE6-525208/10/19942Arkansas
37 Stroman, Greg CB5-1118003/08/19960Virginia Tech
57 Sundberg, Nick LS6-025607/29/19879California
36 Swearinger, D.J. FS5-1020509/01/19916South Carolina
25 Thompson, Chris RB5-819510/20/19905Florida State
56 Vigil, Zach LB6-223803/28/19914Utah State
5 Way, Tress P6-121604/18/19905Oklahoma
71 Williams, Trent T6-532007/19/19889Oklahoma