|Week 1||Sun 9/9|
|Week 2||Sun 9/16|
|Week 3||Sun 9/23|
|Week 5||Mon 10/8|
|Week 6||Sun 10/14|
|Week 7||Sun 10/21|
|Week 8||Sun 10/28|
|Week 9||Sun 11/4|
|Week 10||Sun 11/11|
|Week 11||Sun 11/18|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP
The Redskins are contenders to win the conference and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had a 1.2% chance of reaching the Super Bowl. On 8/17 they had a 0.7% chance before increasing to 6.6% on 11/2. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 3.7%. They have a 70.5% chance of winning their division. Oddsmakers have them at 4/5 to win the division which has an implied probability of 55.6%. They are projected to finish #4 in the conference and have a 79% chance of making the playoffs. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the NFC at 3.2% (30/1 odds) and a 1.6% chance of winning it all (60/1). In simulations they win the Super Bowl 1.1% of the time.
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
Redskins' Championship Forecast Changes
Stream Washington games with SlingTV
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A-
Early in the season, we include last season in the analysis. At 6-3 the Redskins are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 4.3 wins. If you consider winning as an underdog or winning by 10+ as a slight favorite, then they have 5 good wins vs 2 bad losses. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 3-1 road record is +33% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (3-1, 75%) is better than their expected 48% win percentage. In simulations, the Redskins are a below average team and won 49.1% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#18 in the league). Their peak rank was #16 in the league back on 10/29.
They are a very poor scoring team based on points per game and below average in yards per play. They are an elite scoring defense, despite a relatively low yards per play allowed rank.
TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):
NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: MIX
The forecast for their next 4 games is a mixed bag. They have 2 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 45% chance of winning, and 2 games where they are a clear underdog. They have a 5.7 percent chance of winning four over this stretch.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
FANTASY TEAM LEADERS
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (QB, RB, WR, TE, K). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|39||Alexander, Adonis||DB||6-3||197||11/07/1996||0||Virginia Tech|
|46||Bibbs, Kapri||RB||5-11||203||01/10/1993||3||Colorado State|
|53||Brown, Zach||ILB||6-1||250||10/23/1989||7||North Carolina|
|20||Clinton-Dix, Ha Ha||FS||6-1||208||12/21/1992||5||Alabama|
|72||Cooper, Jonathan||G||6-2||308||01/19/1990||6||North Carolina|
|22||Everett, Deshazor||DB||6-0||195||02/22/1992||4||Texas A&M|
|17||Floyd, Michael||WR||6-3||220||11/27/1989||7||Notre Dame|
|51||Hamilton, Shaun Dion||LB||6-0||235||09/11/1995||0||Alabama|
|3||Hopkins, Dustin||K||6-2||203||10/01/1990||5||Florida State|
|78||Howard, Austin||T||6-7||330||03/22/1987||9||Northern Iowa|
|41||Johnson, Danny||DB||5-9||181||11/17/1995||0||Southern University|
|96||McPhee, Pernell||LB||6-3||265||12/17/1988||8||Mississippi State|
|35||Nicholson, Montae||SS||6-2||215||12/04/1995||2||Michigan State|
|24||Norman, Josh||CB||6-0||200||12/15/1987||7||Coastal Carolina|
|79||Nsekhe, Ty||T||6-8||330||10/27/1985||4||Texas State|
|97||Settle, Tim||DT||6-3||328||07/11/1997||0||Virginia Tech|
|94||Smith, Preston||OLB||6-5||265||11/17/1992||4||Mississippi State|
|37||Stroman, Greg||CB||5-11||180||03/08/1996||0||Virginia Tech|
|36||Swearinger, D.J.||FS||5-10||205||09/01/1991||6||South Carolina|
|25||Thompson, Chris||RB||5-8||195||10/20/1990||5||Florida State|
|56||Vigil, Zach||LB||6-2||238||03/28/1991||4||Utah State|