headshot
Austin
Ekeler
College Western State (Colo.)
Team Los Angeles Chargers
30RB
5'10"Height
200Weight
24Age
3Exp
12Bye
Austin Ekeler's Fantasy Scouting Report

SCOUT ANALYST TAKE

If Melvin Gordon’s holdout continues into the regular season, Austin Ekeler and his fantasy owners might have the most to gain. Last season while backing up Gordon, Ekeler managed 958 yards from scrimmage in 14 games and was a serviceable starter in fantasy, especially in PPR leagues. A Division II product, Ekeler has managed to average 5.3 yards per carry over his first two NFL season and has added 88 receptions over those two years as well. SportsLine, which is still projecting Melvin Gordon, projects Ekeler to finish the 2019-2020 season with 108 carries for 529 yards and 3 TDs, while adding 38 receptions for 375 yards and 3 more TDs. Those numbers are consistent with Ekeler’s numbers over his first two seasons. Ekeler could be a low-end #1 fantasy running back if Gordon continues his holdout into the season. Ekeler isn’t built to be a workhorse, so don’t expect him to get the same workload that Gordon has had, but he should be in line for more carries than the projected 108. I would be willing to take a risk and draft Ekeler in the top-50 with the possibility that Gordon’s holdout is similar to Le’Veon Bell’s full-season holdout last season.

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Expect Austin Ekeler to be a reliable fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 141 projected fantasy points puts him at #28 behind Melvin Gordon and ahead of Latavius Murray. He has averaged 9.27 fantasy points in his past 14 games, which is slightly more than our projected per game average. His projected per game average is 8.8 fantasy points. His rank based on average projected points is the same as his rank based on total fantasy points. He is more valuable in PPR leagues where he is the #25 ranked running back. He is slightly overrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 97%, he is the #25 most highly owned running back. Austin Ekeler is expected to come up slightly short of last season's #27 fantasy position rank.

AUSTIN EKELER WEEK 1 AND 2 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Austin Ekeler is projected for 10.7 fantasy points which is good enough to be the #15 ranked running back and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a better than average week with more fantasy points than he is projected to average the rest of the season. He is ranked above David Montgomery but behind Josh Jacobs. Week 2 will not be as good based on projected rank (#20). He is projected for 10.4 fantasy points.

AUSTIN EKELER IS A GREAT DFS VALUE ON FANDUEL ($6.4K) AND DRAFTKINGS ($5.5K)

He is projected for 12.3 FanDuel points and 14.6 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is worth +$950 more than $6.4K on FanDuel and +$914 more than $5.5K on DraftKings. There may be other options (see below) who are even better values, but barring a significant lineup change consider him a strong daily fantasy play. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Below the projection are actual stats from last season.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGGSATTYDSAVGLGTD1ST
2019LAC1371124814.2935327
2018LAC1431065545.2341325
2017LAC160472605.5335212
Career (3 Seasons)431026512954.8941864
YEARTEAMGGSRECYDSAVGLGTD20+40+1ST
2019LAC1377383011.378488336
2018LAC1433940410.364435118
2017LAC1602727910.333833012
Career (3 Seasons)4310139151310.88841416466
2019 Situational Stats
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
DECEMBER GAMES2171176.94350816320.422
NOVEMBER GAMES3231134.961801416011.411
OCTOBER GAMES416311.92110272378.822
SEPTEMBER GAMES4562203.9151932427011.333
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
MONDAY GAMES15244.81180810813.500
OTHER DAYS (NON MON/SUN)16193.2110022914.511
SUNDAY GAMES111014384.325353636931177
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
WINS5532925.5183522131214.955
LOSSES8591893.29181525181033
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
HOME GAMES6462094.513191433728.722
ROAD GAMES7662724.1143523045815.366
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
Empower Field at Mile High19161.808045112.811
Estadio Azteca (Mexico City)15244.81180810813.500
Ford Field117663.9312166711.200
Hard Rock Stadium118603.369156212.411
Nissan Stadium1571.4030711816.911
Oakland Coliseum16193.2110022914.511
ROKiT Field - Dignity Health Sports5411854.512191352647.522
Soldier Field13310302199.511
TIAA Bank Field1810112.6435041122811
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
vs Chicago Bears13310302199.511
vs Denver Broncos212231.9080191377.211
vs Detroit Lions117663.9312166711.200
vs Green Bay Packers112705.841604235.800
vs Houston Texans1936421107456.400
vs Indianapolis Colts112584.841916961622
vs Jacksonville Jaguars1810112.6435041122811
vs Kansas City Chiefs15244.81180810813.500
vs Miami Dolphins118603.369156212.411
vs Oakland Raiders16193.2110022914.511
vs Pittsburgh Steelers15142.821103144.700
vs Tennessee Titans1571.4030711816.911
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
BRISK (41-60 DEGREES)29222.411004481222
COLD WEATHER <= 4019161.808045112.811
HOT WEATHER >= 803301033.48111271937.111
WARM (61-79 DEGREES)6472745.8153513247114.744
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
INDOOR GAMES117663.9312166711.200
OUTDOOR GAMES12954154.4243526776311.488
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
ON ARTIFICIAL SURFACES117663.9312166711.200
ON GRASS FIELDS12954154.4243526776311.488
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
MARGIN 0-710742503.4131926063310.666
MARGIN 15+3382316.1143511319715.222
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
FIRST HALF SEASON8722513.517193515079.955
SECOND HALF SEASON5402305.8103502232314.733
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
OUTSIDE OWN DIVISION9894154.7253534455612.666
VS OWN DIVISION423662.92180292749.422
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
VS AFC TEAMS10803424.3203526172111.877
VS NFC TEAMS3321394.37161121099.111
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
FOURTH QUARTER WITHIN 7013282.215010757.522
LAST TWO MINUTES OF HALF055210.433502223910.922
FOURTH DOWN014414010000
FIRST DOWN0682914.39351324491455
BEHIND BY 1-TO-8 POINTS0760.90301416111.522
BEHIND BY 9-TO-16 POINTS024913.84270141369.722
OPP 19-1 - BY YARD LINE015171.13739606.744
OPP 49-20 - BY YARD LINE0341995.9102303335410.722
THIRD DOWN011343.171021416611.911
TIED026973.771921720812.222
SECOND DOWN0321524.810230262158.322
OWN 21-50 - BY YARD LINE0471733.792702427311.411
OVERTIME03299.7219100---00
OWN 1-20 - BY YARD LINE016925.85350714320.411
BEHIND0361163.26270353229.244
ATTEMPTS 31+000---00000---00
3RD QUARTER029933.2590820125.122
4TH QUARTER028812.94101181799.933
2ND QUARTER0261766.811350272459.122
2ND HALF0571743.191012638014.655
1ST HALF0522785.316351474509.633
1ST QUARTER0261023.952712020510.311
AHEAD0502685.4143512130014.322
AHEAD BY 1-TO-8 POINTS0311615.282301819410.811
ATTEMPTS 11-THROUGH-200191095.7819200---00
ATTEMPTS 21-THROUGH-30000---00000---00
ATTEMPTS 1-THROUGH-1009337241935100---00
AS STARTER000---00000---00
AHEAD BY 9-TO-16 POINTS012786.5435100---00
OVERALL131124814.3273537383011.488
2019 Game Log
WKDATEOPPRESULTRUATTRUYDRUAVGRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETDFL
109/08INDW30-2412584.8319169616.005520
209/15@DETL13-1017663.8812166711.173501
309/22HOUL27-209364.001107456.431300
409/29@MIAW30-1018603.339156212.401810
510/06DENL20-13372.334015865.731701
610/13PITL24-175142.801103144.671100
710/20@TENL23-20571.4030711816.864110
810/27@CHIW17-16331.00302199.501110
911/03GBW26-1112705.831604235.75800
1011/07@OAKL26-246193.1710022914.502310
1111/18KCL24-175244.80180810813.503700
1312/01@DENL23-209161.788045112.753010
1412/08@JACW45-10810112.62350411228.008410
* Indicates player did not play that week