headshot
Ezekiel
Elliott
College Ohio State
Team Dallas Cowboys
21RB
6'0"Height
228Weight
23Age
4Exp
8Bye
Ezekiel Elliott's Fantasy Scouting Report

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

2018 FANTASY RECAP AND 2019 FANTASY PROJECTION

Ezekiel Elliott was the #23 ranked fantasy player this season and the #5 RB. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (15). Based on average fantasy points he is the #8 RB. Elliott did not show a clear upward or downward trend as the season progressed. He averaged 18 FPs in his first 4 games, 16.6 in the middle of his season and 16.4 in his final 16.4 games. His fantasy production is stable and he is not as volatile as most players based on a below average standard deviation. Our projected ceiling for Elliott when he 'goes off' is 31 fantasy points (his average is 16.9FPs) with a floor of 4 points. Ezekiel Elliott (2019 Season Projection: 284 Rush, 1340 Yards, 7.2 TDs, 74 Rec, 587 Yards, 3.2 TDs) is projected to slightly improve in the upcoming season. His rank based on total projected fantasy points has him as the #3 player at his position.

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CURRENT CAREER TREND AND STATISTICS

His FP average has dropped by -14 percent from two seasons ago.

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2017 TO 2018)

Ezekiel Elliott played in 15 games in 2018. He was the #5 ranked fantasy RB based on total fantasy points. He averaged 16.7 FP per game (#8 ranked based on average). He is trending down based on lower per game fantasy ranking from 2017 to 2018. He is relatively weaker than stronger in more categories. The strengths are bolded below.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 19.2 points and on DraftKings it was 23.2 per game. We used his second highest game as his ceiling and second lowest as his floor. On DraftKings his floor was 15.2 and on FanDuel it was 11.9 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 37 and 32 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGGSATTYDSAVGLGTD1ST
2018DAL151530414344.7241673
2017DAL10102429834.0630755
2016DAL151532216315.07601591
Career (3 Seasons)404086840484.666028219
YEARTEAMGGSRECYDSAVGLGTD20+40+1ST
2018DAL1515775677.363834022
2017DAL10102626910.35722516
2016DAL15153236311.348313111
Career (3 Seasons)404013511998.8883612239
2018 Situational Stats
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
DECEMBER GAMES3642854.51424024144600
NOVEMBER GAMES51085304.927353282488.922
OCTOBER GAMES3591933.3122111050500
SEPTEMBER GAMES4734265.820412151258.311
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
MONDAY GAMES117613.6417045112.800
OTHER DAYS (NON MON/SUN)24919641021111827.511
SUNDAY GAMES1223811774.95941562434722
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
WINS920310034.95241551408833
LOSSES61014314.321261261596.100
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
HOME GAMES81787914.443413423448.222
ROAD GAMES71266435.130353352236.411
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
AT&T Stadium81787914.443413423448.222
Bank of America Stadium115694.631713175.700
CenturyLink Field1161277.942603113.700
FedExField115332.2260294.500
Lincoln Financial Field1191517.97351636611
Lucas Oil Stadium118874.842407415.900
Mercedes-Benz Stadium1231225.3623177911.300
NRG Stadium120542.741407304.300
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
vs Atlanta Falcons1231225.3623177911.300
vs Carolina Panthers115694.631713175.700
vs Detroit Lions1251526.184104882211
vs Houston Texans120542.741407304.300
vs Indianapolis Colts118874.842407415.900
vs Jacksonville Jaguars1241064.462111111100
vs New Orleans Saints123753.352106601011
vs New York Giants117784.65191591.800
vs Philadelphia Eagles2472645.612351181156.411
vs Seattle Seahawks1161277.942603113.700
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers118854.751705244.800
vs Tennessee Titans117613.6417045112.800
vs Washington Redskins2411543.871617314.400
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
BRISK (41-60 DEGREES)2381554.182319889.800
COLD WEATHER <= 401191517.97351636611
HOT WEATHER >= 80115694.631713175.700
WARM (61-79 DEGREES)3562644.713260131229.411
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
INDOOR GAMES91998714.44741352364722
OUTDOOR GAMES61055635.426353252038.111
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
ON ARTIFICIAL SURFACES1225511814.661414665057.722
ON GRASS FIELDS3492535.21235211625.611
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
MARGIN 0-791888634.647413544147.733
MARGIN 15+2421934.6102418526.500
MARGIN 8-144743785.116262151016.700
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
FIRST HALF SEASON81496804.636413292267.811
SECOND HALF SEASON71557544.937353483417.122
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
OUTSIDE OWN DIVISION101999384.749413474128.822
VS OWN DIVISION51054964.724353301555.211
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
VS AFC TEAMS4793083.91824119133700
VS NFC TEAMS112251126555415584347.533
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
FOURTH QUARTER WITHIN 70371604.39232131068.211
LAST TWO MINUTES OF HALF012584.841701415511.111
FOURTH DOWN0781.153000---00
FIRST DOWN01728725.124411282689.611
BEHIND BY 1-TO-8 POINTS012786.542115193.800
BEHIND BY 9-TO-16 POINTS0612844.718240161559.711
OPP 19-1 - BY YARD LINE0391052.71016511645.822
OPP 49-20 - BY YARD LINE0773644.719321191879.811
THIRD DOWN027993.718172261455.611
TIED0913523.916182241837.611
SECOND DOWN0984554.626323231546.711
OWN 21-50 - BY YARD LINE01437705.439410322658.300
OVERTIME010242.431002201000
OWN 1-20 - BY YARD LINE0451954.3520015513.400
BEHIND0814345.424261261957.511
ATTEMPTS 31+000---00000---00
3RD QUARTER0723795.31541016794.900
4TH QUARTER0723514.921265201356.811
2ND QUARTER0683655.416320201567.811
2ND HALF01447305.136415362145.911
1ST HALF01506804.534321393338.522
1ST QUARTER0823153.818241191779.311
AHEAD01326484.93341327189711
AHEAD BY 1-TO-8 POINTS0724245.919411211728.211
ATTEMPTS 11-THROUGH-2001256405.13541500---00
ATTEMPTS 21-THROUGH-30029612.1510000---00
ATTEMPTS 1-THROUGH-1001507334.93335100---00
AS STARTER000---00000---00
AHEAD BY 9-TO-16 POINTS0421503.692016172.800
OVERALL1530414344.773416775677.433
2018 Game Log
WKDATEOPPRESULTRUATTRUYDRUAVGRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETDFL
109/09@CARL16-815694.601713175.671300
209/16NYGW20-1317784.59191591.80500
309/23@SEAL24-13161277.942603113.67801
409/30DETW26-24251526.0841048822.003810
510/07@HOUL19-1620542.701407304.291000
610/14JACW40-7241064.4221111111.001100
710/21@WASL20-1715332.2060294.50700
911/05TENL28-1417613.5917045112.753700
1011/11@PHIW27-20191517.953516366.001310
1111/18@ATLW22-19231225.3023177911.293400
1211/22WASW31-23261214.651615224.40700
1311/29NOW13-1023753.2621066010.001610
1412/09PHIW29-23281134.0420012796.581600
1512/16@INDL23-018874.832407415.861000
1612/23TBW27-2018854.721705244.801000
*1712/30@NYGW36-3500000000000
* Indicates player did not play that week