headshot
Zach
Ertz
College Stanford
Team Philadelphia Eagles
86TE
6'5"Height
250Weight
28Age
7Exp
10Bye
Zach Ertz's Fantasy Scouting Report

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

2018 FANTASY RECAP AND 2019 FANTASY PROJECTION

Zach Ertz was the #64 ranked fantasy player this season and the #3 TE. He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 5 games he averaged 12.1 fantasy points which was higher than his start (9.9 FP) and his ending average (9 FP). His standard deviation divided by his average is 0.69 which is close to the league ratio. Our projected ceiling for Ertz when he 'goes off' is 26 fantasy points (his average is 10.3FPs). Zach Ertz (2019 Season Projection: 104 Rec, 1078 Yards, 7.4 TDs) is projected to deliver comparable fantasy value in 2019 where his projection based rank has him as the #2 player at his position.

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UPWARD STATISTICAL CAREER TREND

Based on his fantasy point average, he is on a clear upward swing. His average Fantasy points have increased by 66% over this time frame.

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2017 TO 2018)

He was the #3 ranked fantasy TE based on total fantasy points. He averaged 10.3 FP per game (#3 ranked based on average). He is holding steady season-to-season in terms of per game fantasy ranking. He is relatively stronger (stats bolded below) than weaker in more categories.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 15.3 points and on DraftKings it was 20.3 per game. We used his second highest game as his ceiling and second lowest as his floor. On DraftKings his floor was 3.5 and on FanDuel it was 2.5 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 38 and 29 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGGSRECYDSAVGLGTD20+40+1ST
2018PHI1616116116310.0334813066
2017PHI14137482411.145387246
2016PHI14127881610.463049042
2015PHI1577585311.3760211239
2014PHI1655870212.103539042
2013PHI1633646913.003848025
Career (7 Seasons)9156437482711.056029574260
YEARTEAMGGSATTYDSAVGLGTD1ST
2018PHI1616000.00000
2017PHI1413000.00000
2016PHI1412000.00000
2015PHI157000.00000
2014PHI165000.00000
2013PHI163000.00000
Career (7 Seasons)9156000.00-12700
2018 Situational Stats
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
DECEMBER GAMES5322688.4221856.330
NOVEMBER GAMES32325110.9331565.230
OCTOBER GAMES43031710.6331963.340
SEPTEMBER GAMES43132710.5001445.230
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
MONDAY GAMES19839.200666.710
OTHER DAYS (NON MON/SUN)212917.611433.300
SUNDAY GAMES139598910.4775658.9120
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
WINS9555119.3553054.550
LOSSES76165210.733365980
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
HOME GAMES87179811.2664766.2110
ROAD GAMES8453658.1221942.220
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
AT&T Stadium15387.60036000
FedExField13155000000
Lincoln Financial Field87179811.2664766.2110
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum13227.300133.300
Mercedes-Benz Superdome12157.50015000
MetLife Stadium17436.111342.900
Nissan Stadium11011211.20066010
Raymond James Stadium111948.500327.310
Wembley Stadium14266.51125000
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
vs Atlanta Falcons15489.60012000
vs Carolina Panthers1913815.300777.820
vs Dallas Cowboys2191839.6221263.220
vs Houston Texans1121109.222866.720
vs Indianapolis Colts157314.60048010
vs Jacksonville Jaguars14266.51125000
vs Los Angeles Rams13227.300133.300
vs Minnesota Vikings110110111177020
vs New Orleans Saints12157.50015000
vs New York Giants2141349.622857.110
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers111948.500327.310
vs Tennessee Titans11011211.20066010
vs Washington Redskins212988.20065010
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
BRISK (41-60 DEGREES)63840210.6442360.550
COLD WEATHER <= 402232289.9221565.230
HOT WEATHER >= 803262549.8001038.520
WARM (61-79 DEGREES)32222610.3221463.630
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
INDOOR GAMES27537.600457.100
OUTDOOR GAMES14109111010.2886256.9130
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
ON ARTIFICIAL SURFACES314966.91175000
ON GRASS FIELDS13102106710.5775957.8130
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
MARGIN 0-71295100710.6775658.9120
MARGIN 15+4211567.4111047.610
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
FIRST HALF SEASON86164410.6333354.170
SECOND HALF SEASON8555199.455336060
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
OUTSIDE OWN DIVISION107174810.5444056.390
VS OWN DIVISION6454159.2442657.840
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
VS AFC TEAMS43132110.4332064.540
VS NFC TEAMS12858429.9554654.190
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
LAST TWO MINUTES OF HALF02125512.1221361.940
OPP 19-1 - BY YARD LINE0161187.47785000
FOURTH QUARTER WITHIN 701213611.333758.330
FOURTH DOWN03103.311133.300
BEHIND BY 9-TO-16 POINTS04545210332555.630
FIRST DOWN0545229.733275040
OPP 49-20 - BY YARD LINE0313039.8111754.830
OVERTIME000---000---00
THIRD DOWN0232058.9221773.920
TIED0171448.500952.910
SECOND DOWN03642611.8222158.370
POST SEASON155210.40036000
OWN 1-20 - BY YARD LINE010838.30044000
OWN 21-50 - BY YARD LINE05965911.2003762.7100
BEHIND BY 1-TO-8 POINTS01823112.8221372.250
BEHIND06872010.6554058.880
3RD QUARTER03434510.1111852.940
4TH QUARTER02122810.9441571.440
2ND QUARTER04141310.1332151.250
2ND HALF05557310.455336080
1ST HALF0615909.7333354.150
1ST QUARTER0201778.900126000
AHEAD0312999.6331754.840
AHEAD BY 1-TO-8 POINTS01617310.8331062.540
ATTEMPTS 21-THROUGH-30000---000---00
ATTEMPTS 31+000---000---00
ATTEMPTS 11-THROUGH-20000---000---00
ATTEMPTS 1-THROUGH-10000---000---00
AHEAD BY 9-TO-16 POINTS011938.500545.500
AS STARTER000---000---00
OVERALL16116116310886656.9130
2018 Game Log
WKDATEOPPRESULTTARRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETDRUATTRUYDRUAVGRULGRUTDFL
109/06ATLW18-12105489.60180000000
209/16@TBL27-211311948.55340000000
309/23INDW20-161057314.60280000000
409/30@TENL26-23141011211.20240000000
510/07MINL23-21111011011.00231000000
610/11@NYGW34-1397436.14151000000
710/21CARL21-1711913815.33270000000
810/28@JACW24-1864266.50151000000
9BYE-L0-0------------
1111/18@NOL48-732157.5080000000
1211/25NYGW25-22879113.00241000000
1312/03WASW28-13109839.22200000000
1412/09@DALL29-2385387.60120000000
1512/16@LARW30-2373227.33110000000
1612/23HOUW32-3016121109.17232000000
1712/30@WASW24-043155.0070000000
* Indicates player did not play that week