headshot
Aaron
Jones
College UTEP
Team Green Bay Packers
33RB
5'9"Height
208Weight
24Age
3Exp
7Bye
Aaron Jones's Fantasy Scouting Report

2018 FANTASY RECAP AND 2019 FANTASY PROJECTION

Aaron Jones had a good, but not elite, year in fantasy. He was the #80 ranked fantasy player this season and the #23 RB. He would be in the elite class of RBs if he had played more games. Based on average fantasy points he was the #15 RB. He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 5 games he averaged 15.4 fantasy points which was higher than his start (8.3 FP) and his ending average (11 FP). He is young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. His standard deviation divided by his average is 0.65 which is close to the league ratio. Our projected ceiling for Jones when he 'goes off' is 29 fantasy points (his average is 12.1FPs). Aaron Jones (2019 Season Projection: 163 Rush, 790 Yards, 8.6 TDs, 33 Rec, 249 Yards, 1.2 TDs) is projected to deliver comparable fantasy value in 2019 where his projection based rank has him as the #23 player at his position.

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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

He has demonstrated the solid year-to-year improvement that you look for in a younger player. His average Fantasy points increased by 70% this season.

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2017 TO 2018)

Aaron Jones played in 12 games in 2018. He was the #23 ranked fantasy RB based on total fantasy points. He averaged 12.1 FP per game (#15 ranked based on average). With a better rank based on average than total production, he could be worth more than some think, assuming he plays a full season. He is trending up based on improved per game fantasy ranking from 2017 to 2018. He is relatively weaker than stronger in more categories. The strengths are bolded below.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 13.2 points and on DraftKings it was 14.5 per game. We used his second highest game as his ceiling and second lowest as his floor. On DraftKings his floor was 4.1 and on FanDuel it was 4.1 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 27.3 and on FanDuel it was 24.8 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings.

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Career Stats
YEARTEAMGGSATTYDSAVGLGTD1ST
2018GB1281337285.4767841
2017GB124814485.5346421
Career (2 Seasons)241221411765.50671262
YEARTEAMGGSRECYDSAVGLGTD20+40+1ST
2018GB128262067.922412012
2017GB1249222.4490002
Career (2 Seasons)2412352286.512412014
2018 Situational Stats
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
DECEMBER GAMES3321223.862927446.300
NOVEMBER GAMES4573325.819674131219.311
OCTOBER GAMES3271676.293314194.800
SEPTEMBER GAMES2171076.373012221100
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
MONDAY GAMES18415.1316000---00
OTHER DAYS (NON MON/SUN)111403.628156312.611
SUNDAY GAMES101146475.736677211436.800
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
WINS4513296.51967477210.300
LOSSES8823994.922334191347.111
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
HOME GAMES5623655.9216751188800
ROAD GAMES7713635.120333151187.911
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
CenturyLink Field111403.628156312.611
FedExField16427317015500
Ford Field17405.721802199.500
Gillette Stadium114755.44130210500
Lambeau Field5623655.9216751188800
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum112867.2433120000
Soldier Field148203000---00
U.S. Bank Stadium117724.25111321700
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
vs Arizona Cardinals111363.32131416400
vs Atlanta Falcons117784.642913289.300
vs Buffalo Bills111655.943011171700
vs Chicago Bears148203000---00
vs Detroit Lions17405.721802199.500
vs Los Angeles Rams112867.2433120000
vs Miami Dolphins1151459.78672327900
vs Minnesota Vikings117724.25111321700
vs New England Patriots114755.44130210500
vs Seattle Seahawks111403.628156312.611
vs San Francisco 49ers18415.1316000---00
vs Washington Redskins16427317015500
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
BRISK (41-60 DEGREES)3261134.3630268013.311
COLD WEATHER <= 405653755.82167412816.800
HOT WEATHER >= 80112867.2433120000
WARM (61-79 DEGREES)16427317015500
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
INDOOR GAMES2241124.77181540800
OUTDOOR GAMES101096165.734677211667.911
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
ON ARTIFICIAL SURFACES4492274.613182121139.411
ON GRASS FIELDS88450162867614936.600
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
MARGIN 0-76632834.516334141007.111
MARGIN 15+2262108.1126734441100
MARGIN 8-144442355.3132918627.800
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
FIRST HALF SEASON6583496203328516.400
SECOND HALF SEASON6753795.121676181558.611
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
OUTSIDE OWN DIVISION91056085.834677211667.911
VS OWN DIVISION3281204.37181540800
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
VS AFC TEAMS3402857.116673654900
VS NFC TEAMS9934434.825335201527.611
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
FOURTH QUARTER WITHIN 704215.3181581.600
LAST TWO MINUTES OF HALF0231.513034113.711
FOURTH DOWN010000000---00
FIRST DOWN0744285.815673151036.900
BEHIND BY 1-TO-8 POINTS09829.14331324800
BEHIND BY 9-TO-16 POINTS0231104.871618779.611
OPP 19-1 - BY YARD LINE017865.19166294.500
OPP 49-20 - BY YARD LINE0341915.61033299310.311
THIRD DOWN08182.35403196.300
TIED0381764.6101528587.300
SECOND DOWN0502825.62133588410.511
OWN 21-50 - BY YARD LINE0694015.81967012826.800
OVERTIME000---00000---00
OWN 1-20 - BY YARD LINE013503.831303227.300
BEHIND0382356.214332111019.211
ATTEMPTS 31+000---00000---00
3RD QUARTER0372185.9113336416.800
4TH QUARTER022813.74101832400
2ND QUARTER0301234.11318358617.211
2ND HALF0592995.11533414735.200
1ST HALF0744295.8266741213311.111
1ST QUARTER0443067136717476.700
AHEAD0573175.6176747476.700
AHEAD BY 1-TO-8 POINTS0311996.4126733196.300
ATTEMPTS 11-THROUGH-200281445.1833300---00
ATTEMPTS 21-THROUGH-30000---00000---00
ATTEMPTS 1-THROUGH-1001055845.63367500---00
AS STARTER000---00000---00
AHEAD BY 9-TO-16 POINTS010434.32110214700
OVERALL121337285.541678262067.911
2018 Game Log
WKDATEOPPRESULTRUATTRUYDRUAVGRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETDFL
*109/09CHIW24-2300000000000
*209/16MINL29-2900000000000
309/23@WASL31-176427.00170155.00500
409/30BUFW22-011655.9130111717.001700
510/07@DETL31-237405.711802199.501200
610/15SFW33-308415.12160000000
810/28@LARL29-2712867.17331200.00100
911/04@NEL31-1714755.361302105.00701
1011/11MIAW31-12151459.676723279.001900
1111/15@SEAL27-2411403.648156312.602410
1211/25@MINL24-1717724.241113217.001000
1312/02ARIL20-1711363.271314164.00600
1412/09ATLW34-2017784.592913289.331500
1512/16@CHIL24-17482.0030000000
*1612/23@NYJW44-3800000000000
*1712/30DETL31-000000000000
* Indicates player did not play that week