headshot
Patrick
Mahomes
College Texas Tech
Team Kansas City Chiefs
15QB
6'3"Height
230Weight
24Age
3Exp
12Bye
Patrick Mahomes's Fantasy Scouting Report

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Based on our latest projection, you can expect Patrick Mahomes to be an elite fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 445 projected fantasy points puts him ahead of Deshaun Watson making him our #1 ranked quarterback. He has averaged 32.32 fantasy points in his past 16 games, which is more than our projected per game average. His projected per game average is 27.8 fantasy points. His rank based on average projected points is the same as his rank based on total fantasy points. He is owned in 100% of fantasy leagues so everyone expects him to be an elite quarterback. He is projected to live up to these high expectations. Last season he was also the #1 ranked quarterback.

These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.

PATRICK MAHOMES WEEK 1 AND 2 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Patrick Mahomes is projected for 23.7 fantasy points which is good enough to be the #4 ranked quarterback and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a below average week with fewer fantasy points than he is projected to average the rest of the season. He is ranked above Carson Wentz but behind Drew Brees. Week 2 is projected to be slightly better based on projected rank (#1). He is projected for 33.9 fantasy points.

PATRICK MAHOMES IS A BAD DFS VALUE ON FANDUEL AT $8.7K AND DRAFTKINGS AT $7.2K

He is projected for 20.4 FanDuel points and 21.8 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is coming up -$588 short of $8.7K on FanDuel and -$853 short of $7.2K on DraftKings. There should be much better options (see below). Barring a significant lineup change consider him a daily fantasy player to fade. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Below the projection are actual stats from last season.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINTTKLD20+40+RATE
2019KC8829119366.326269.0283181813611114.1
2018KC161658038366.050978.798950121717515113.8
2017KC11352262.92848.115101152176.4
Career (3 Seasons)252590659866.080078.8489681426711327112.5
YEARTEAMGGSATTYDSAVGLGTD1ST
2019KC8817824.822507
2018KC1616602724.5328218
2017KC117101.43500
Career (3 Seasons)2525843644.3328225
2019 Situational Stats
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
NOVEMBER GAMES115036724468.9263302055.652119.300---0
OCTOBER GAMES338551606707.88525126519599.65183.60
SEPTEMBER GAMES4415610667.915109.68831006157.5223120.412645.30
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
OTHER DAYS (NON MON/SUN)11111090.9766.91211033010125.81220
SUNDAY GAMES7728018365.425509.118317110456.83510113.2168050
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
WINS5516711669.515869.5831106455.2233121.513665.10
LOSSES331247762.110408.3963714355.8137104.241640
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
HOME GAMES331116861.39688.7283713754.4126106.78253.10
ROAD GAMES5518012569.416589.21681107056244118.79576.30
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
Arrowhead Stadium331116861.39688.7283713754.4126106.78253.10
Empower Field at Mile High11111090.9766.91211033010125.81220
Ford Field11422457.13157.533001666.7408165490
Nissan Stadium115036724468.9263302055.652119.300---0
Oakland Coliseum11443068.244310.074440186082131.21-1-10
TIAA Bank Field11332575.837811.456830135260143.21220
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
vs Baltimore Ravens1137277337410.1183301451.941132492.30
vs Denver Broncos11111090.9766.91211033010125.81220
vs Detroit Lions11422457.13157.533001666.7408165490
vs Houston Texans11351954.32737.852311157.92196.51-1-10
vs Indianapolis Colts11392256.43218.2331101254.56491.93175.70
vs Jacksonville Jaguars11332575.837811.456830135260143.21220
vs Oakland Raiders11443068.244310.074440186082131.21-1-10
vs Tennessee Titans115036724468.9263302055.652119.300---0
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
BRISK (41-60 DEGREES)22744155.45948.0352412356.18594.141640
HOT WEATHER >= 8011332575.837811.456830135260143.21220
WARM (61-79 DEGREES)4414210372.513399.43831105553.4185127.66101.70
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
INDOOR GAMES11422457.13157.533001666.7408165490
OUTDOOR GAMES7724916967.923119.28831819153.83210119.711282.50
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
ON ARTIFICIAL SURFACES11422457.13157.533001666.7408165490
ON GRASS FIELDS7724916967.923119.28831819153.83210119.711282.50
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
MARGIN 0-75520312863.117298.52831017357218104.514795.60
MARGIN 15+22554072.75199.4444502152.592132.3210.50
MARGIN 8-1411332575.837811.456830135260143.21220
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
FIRST HALF SEASON7724115765.121809.05831518755.4318113.117824.80
SECOND HALF SEASON115036724468.9263302055.652119.300---0
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
OUTSIDE OWN DIVISION6623615364.821078.93831318656.2278109.915815.40
VS OWN DIVISION22554072.75199.4444502152.592132.3210.50
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
VS AFC TEAMS7724916967.923119.28831819153.83210119.711282.50
VS NFC TEAMS11422457.13157.533001666.7408165490
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
FOURTH QUARTER WITHIN 700291758.62899.9763101164.7521046254.20
LAST TWO MINUTES OF HALF003923593218.2339201565.253102.67111.60
FOURTH DOWN001110010101000110000108.33175.70
FIRST DOWN001298565.911608.9983813945.9174111.95122.40
BEHIND BY 1-TO-8 POINTS00159601369.074410555.631112.123919.50
BEHIND BY 9-TO-16 POINTS00986364.37587.7342403758.7113101.56254.20
OPP 19-1 - BY YARD LINE00412253.71523.7118701568.203101.84153.80
OPP 49-20 - BY YARD LINE001057672.49709.2449813343.4154122.3620.30
THIRD DOWN00633961.968910.9468702974.4105136.333411.30
TIED00513568.64789.3768401748.672124.53175.70
SECOND DOWN00986869.47677.8339303855.991102.76193.20
OWN 21-50 - BY YARD LINE001177765.811609.9168205166.2161103.96406.70
OVERTIME0000---0---0000---00---00---0
OWN 1-20 - BY YARD LINE00281864.334412.298310844.452118.8125250
BEHIND001137263.78947.9144504258.3144102.986480
ATTEMPTS 31+00703955.74907634023596096.700---0
3RD QUARTER00594067.84177.0736301947.5411052210
4TH QUARTER00512854.94218.2563201967.97495.38384.80
2ND QUARTER00936064.59301083713660134118.1561.20
2ND HALF001106861.88387.6263503855.9115100.5104040
1ST HALF0018112569.117889.88831316955.2255122.474260
1ST QUARTER00886573.98589.7568603350.8121127236180
AHEAD001278667.712549.8783914855.8154120610.20
AHEAD BY 1-TO-8 POINTS00725069.483811.6483612958112130.4420.50
ATTEMPTS 11-THROUGH-2000714664.85938.358341296340103.800---0
ATTEMPTS 21-THROUGH-3000704767.170310.0443402553.2120118.900---0
ATTEMPTS 1-THROUGH-1000806176.384010.568603049.2140134.417824.80
AS STARTER0000---0---0000---00---00---0
AHEAD BY 9-TO-16 POINTS00312064.52648.523920115520112.81000
OVERALL8829119366.326269.028318110755.43610114.117824.80
2019 Game Log
WKDATEOPPRESULTPAATTPACMPPAYDPATDPAINTSACYLSRUATTRUYDRUAVGRULGRUTDFL
109/08@JACW40-2633253783000122.00200
209/15@OAKW28-10443044340201-1-1.00-101
309/22BALW33-2837273743010492.251100
409/29@DETW34-30422431500006549.002500
510/06INDL19-13392232110403175.671400
610/13HOUL31-24351927331101-1-1.00-101
710/17@DENW30-61110761000122.00200
*810/27GBL31-240000000000000
*911/03MINW26-230000000000000
1011/10@TENL35-3250364463020000000
* Indicates player did not play that week