headshot
Patrick
Mahomes
College Texas Tech
Team Kansas City Chiefs
15QB
6'3"Height
230Weight
24Age
3Exp
12Bye
Patrick Mahomes's Fantasy Scouting Report

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Based on our latest projection, you can expect Patrick Mahomes to be an elite fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 390 projected fantasy points puts him ahead of Lamar Jackson making him our #1 ranked quarterback. He has averaged 32.78 fantasy points in his past 18 games, which is more than our projected per game average. His projected per game average is 27.9 fantasy points. His rank based on average projected points is the same as his rank based on total fantasy points. He is owned in 100% of fantasy leagues so everyone expects him to be an elite quarterback. He is projected to live up to these high expectations. Last season he was also the #1 ranked quarterback.

These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.

PATRICK MAHOMES WEEK 3 AND 4 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Patrick Mahomes is projected for 25.2 fantasy points which is good enough to be the #4 ranked quarterback and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a slightly below average week with fewer fantasy points than he is projected to average the rest of the season. He is ranked above Jameis Winston but behind Lamar Jackson. Week 4 is projected to be slightly better based on projected rank (#1). He is projected for 29.5 fantasy points.

PATRICK MAHOMES IS A BAD DFS VALUE ON FANDUEL AT $9.2K AND DRAFTKINGS AT $7.6K

He is projected for 21.6 FanDuel points and 23.2 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is coming up -$693 short of $9.2K on FanDuel and -$561 short of $7.6K on DraftKings. There should be much better options (see below). Barring a significant lineup change consider him a daily fantasy player to fade. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINTTKLD20+40+RATE
2019KC22775571.482110.66687010147136.3
2018KC161658038366.050978.798950121717515113.8
2017KC11352262.92848.115101152176.4
Career (3 Seasons)191969246066.562028.968957131969123114.5
YEARTEAMGGSATTYDSAVGLGTD1ST
2019KC22210.50200
2018KC1616602724.5328218
2017KC117101.43500
Career (3 Seasons)1919692834.1028218
2019 Situational Stats
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
SEPTEMBER GAMES22775571.482110.6668703156.4142136.3210.50
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
SUNDAY GAMES22775571.482110.6668703156.4142136.3210.50
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
WINS22775571.482110.6668703156.4142136.3210.50
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
ROAD GAMES22775571.482110.6668703156.4142136.3210.50
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
Oakland Coliseum11443068.244310.074440186082131.21-1-10
TIAA Bank Field11332575.837811.456830135260143.21220
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
vs Jacksonville Jaguars11332575.837811.456830135260143.21220
vs Oakland Raiders11443068.244310.074440186082131.21-1-10
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
HOT WEATHER >= 8011332575.837811.456830135260143.21220
WARM (61-79 DEGREES)11443068.244310.074440186082131.21-1-10
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
OUTDOOR GAMES22775571.482110.6668703156.4142136.3210.50
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
ON GRASS FIELDS22775571.482110.6668703156.4142136.3210.50
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
MARGIN 15+11443068.244310.074440186082131.21-1-10
MARGIN 8-1411332575.837811.456830135260143.21220
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
FIRST HALF SEASON22775571.482110.6668703156.4142136.3210.50
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
OUTSIDE OWN DIVISION11332575.837811.456830135260143.21220
VS OWN DIVISION11443068.244310.074440186082131.21-1-10
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
VS AFC TEAMS22775571.482110.6668703156.4142136.3210.50
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
FOURTH QUARTER WITHIN 70000---0---0000---00---00---0
LAST TWO MINUTES OF HALF0086758710.883920466.720149.51-1-10
FOURTH DOWN0000---0---0000---00---00---0
FIRST DOWN0032247543313.5349301145.880147.900---0
BEHIND BY 1-TO-8 POINTS007571.4669.43441024010140.500---0
BEHIND BY 9-TO-16 POINTS00159601067.074210666.710103.700---0
OPP 19-1 - BY YARD LINE0011654.5282.5515103500190.31220
OPP 49-20 - BY YARD LINE0028217532711.6849501257.171152.81-1-10
THIRD DOWN00191473.721311.2168201071.432145.300---0
TIED00221007638681015010158.300---0
SECOND DOWN00261765.41756.7332201058.830110.3210.50
OWN 21-50 - BY YARD LINE00282071.437413.366810136560125.600---0
OVERTIME0000---0---0000---00---00---0
OWN 1-20 - BY YARD LINE0010880929.23200337.51010500---0
BEHIND00221463.61727.824420857.12011800---0
ATTEMPTS 31+00171270.61005.883410541.71010500---0
3RD QUARTER00181372.21206.672800538.5119000---0
4TH QUARTER0013861.5755.773410562.5111031-1-10
2ND QUARTER00282071.438013.574440147080153.31220
2ND HALF00312167.71956.2934101047.62295.51-1-10
1ST HALF00463473.962613.6168602161.8120155.31220
1ST QUARTER00181477.824613.67682075040155.800---0
AHEAD00533973.657310.8149402256.4112133.6210.50
AHEAD BY 1-TO-8 POINTS0021178133916.1449201164.780150.51220
ATTEMPTS 11-THROUGH-20002013651125.62200753.81079.600---0
ATTEMPTS 21-THROUGH-300020147027813.943301071.460152.100---0
ATTEMPTS 1-THROUGH-100020168033116.556830956.360158.3210.50
AS STARTER0000---0---0000---00---00---0
AHEAD BY 9-TO-16 POINTS0086758210.25391035010146.900---0
OVERALL22775571.482110.6668703156.4142136.3210.50
2019 Game Log
WKDATEOPPRESULTPAATTPACMPPAYDPATDPAINTSACYLSRUATTRUYDRUAVGRULGRUTDFL
109/08@JACW40-2633253783000122.00200
209/15@OAKW28-10443044340201-1-1.00-101
* Indicates player did not play that week